Prediction 2700
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=RJ (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 151.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 | 98.0 | 236.0 | 350.0 | 438.0 | 532.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 136.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 216.0 | 323.0 | 407.0 | 498.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 128.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 80.0 | 204.0 | 307.0 | 390.0 | 481.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 125.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 78.0 | 200.0 | 303.0 | 387.0 | 481.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 127.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 51.0 | 78.0 | 203.0 | 308.0 | 395.0 | 493.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 130.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 80.0 | 208.0 | 316.0 | 408.0 | 511.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 133.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 82.0 | 213.0 | 324.0 | 420.0 | 529.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 136.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 218.0 | 333.0 | 433.0 | 548.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 140.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 85.0 | 226.0 | 347.0 | 453.0 | 573.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 145.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 88.0 | 237.0 | 367.0 | 479.0 | 604.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 153.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 59.0 | 93.0 | 251.0 | 395.0 | 515.0 | 646.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 166.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 63.0 | 101.0 | 273.0 | 433.0 | 564.0 | 707.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 181.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 69.0 | 110.0 | 299.0 | 476.0 | 621.0 | 779.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 200.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 77.0 | 122.0 | 331.0 | 530.0 | 691.0 | 871.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 230.0 | 54.0 | 68.0 | 89.0 | 140.0 | 379.0 | 606.0 | 792.0 | 1005.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 272.0 | 64.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 | 165.0 | 449.0 | 715.0 | 939.0 | 1196.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 328.0 | 77.0 | 97.0 | 126.0 | 198.0 | 541.0 | 863.0 | 1135.0 | 1451.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 393.0 | 91.0 | 115.0 | 150.0 | 236.0 | 650.0 | 1038.0 | 1369.0 | 1750.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 461.0 | 104.0 | 134.0 | 175.0 | 276.0 | 766.0 | 1227.0 | 1623.0 | 2068.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 532.0 | 120.0 | 154.0 | 202.0 | 319.0 | 889.0 | 1429.0 | 1894.0 | 2401.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 601.0 | 135.0 | 173.0 | 229.0 | 360.0 | 1006.0 | 1621.0 | 2153.0 | 2719.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 660.0 | 149.0 | 190.0 | 251.0 | 396.0 | 1108.0 | 1788.0 | 2378.0 | 2995.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 713.0 | 161.0 | 205.0 | 271.0 | 429.0 | 1200.0 | 1935.0 | 2579.0 | 3248.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 765.0 | 173.0 | 219.0 | 290.0 | 459.0 | 1288.0 | 2072.0 | 2768.0 | 3498.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 817.0 | 184.0 | 233.0 | 309.0 | 490.0 | 1381.0 | 2212.0 | 2961.0 | 3774.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 875.0 | 194.0 | 247.0 | 327.0 | 522.0 | 1484.0 | 2372.0 | 3179.0 | 4090.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 937.0 | 204.0 | 261.0 | 347.0 | 556.0 | 1597.0 | 2549.0 | 3420.0 | 4441.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 998.0 | 213.0 | 274.0 | 365.0 | 588.0 | 1711.0 | 2733.0 | 3670.0 | 4795.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1045.0 | 218.0 | 282.0 | 377.0 | 612.0 | 1801.0 | 2887.0 | 3877.0 | 5080.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1064.0 | 219.0 | 285.0 | 381.0 | 620.0 | 1843.0 | 2969.0 | 3987.0 | 5229.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1040.0 | 211.0 | 276.0 | 370.0 | 603.0 | 1809.0 | 2931.0 | 3940.0 | 5158.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 966.0 | 194.0 | 254.0 | 342.0 | 558.0 | 1687.0 | 2753.0 | 3704.0 | 4831.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 861.0 | 173.0 | 226.0 | 303.0 | 495.0 | 1510.0 | 2482.0 | 3343.0 | 4339.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 744.0 | 151.0 | 195.0 | 261.0 | 426.0 | 1308.0 | 2164.0 | 2923.0 | 3774.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 628.0 | 128.0 | 165.0 | 219.0 | 358.0 | 1108.0 | 1846.0 | 2500.0 | 3219.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 527.0 | 108.0 | 138.0 | 183.0 | 299.0 | 935.0 | 1570.0 | 2135.0 | 2749.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 451.0 | 92.0 | 117.0 | 155.0 | 254.0 | 805.0 | 1362.0 | 1862.0 | 2404.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 400.0 | 79.0 | 101.0 | 135.0 | 224.0 | 722.0 | 1230.0 | 1690.0 | 2192.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 372.0 | 71.0 | 92.0 | 123.0 | 206.0 | 676.0 | 1160.0 | 1601.0 | 2088.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 353.0 | 64.0 | 85.0 | 115.0 | 194.0 | 648.0 | 1118.0 | 1547.0 | 2029.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 337.0 | 59.0 | 79.0 | 108.0 | 184.0 | 623.0 | 1078.0 | 1493.0 | 1968.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 318.0 | 54.0 | 73.0 | 101.0 | 172.0 | 590.0 | 1025.0 | 1419.0 | 1879.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 291.0 | 49.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 157.0 | 544.0 | 945.0 | 1309.0 | 1740.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 258.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 | 81.0 | 139.0 | 485.0 | 843.0 | 1167.0 | 1556.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 221.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 69.0 | 118.0 | 419.0 | 728.0 | 1009.0 | 1349.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 185.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 99.0 | 353.0 | 615.0 | 852.0 | 1144.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 152.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 81.0 | 292.0 | 511.0 | 709.0 | 956.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 125.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 66.0 | 241.0 | 422.0 | 588.0 | 795.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 104.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 200.0 | 352.0 | 492.0 | 667.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 87.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 46.0 | 169.0 | 298.0 | 420.0 | 570.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 76.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 147.0 | 261.0 | 369.0 | 502.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 69.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 134.0 | 240.0 | 341.0 | 464.0 |
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