Prediction 2701
Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=RN (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 60.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 92.0 | 139.0 | 177.0 | 217.0 |
2023-10-15 | 57.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 90.0 | 137.0 | 175.0 | 216.0 |
2023-10-22 | 54.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 85.0 | 130.0 | 167.0 | 207.0 |
2023-10-29 | 49.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 78.0 | 120.0 | 155.0 | 193.0 |
2023-11-05 | 45.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 74.0 | 113.0 | 146.0 | 183.0 |
2023-11-12 | 44.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 72.0 | 110.0 | 143.0 | 179.0 |
2023-11-19 | 44.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 72.0 | 111.0 | 144.0 | 180.0 |
2023-11-26 | 46.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 76.0 | 118.0 | 153.0 | 192.0 |
2023-12-03 | 52.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 85.0 | 132.0 | 171.0 | 214.0 |
2023-12-10 | 59.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 97.0 | 152.0 | 195.0 | 246.0 |
2023-12-17 | 69.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 114.0 | 178.0 | 228.0 | 289.0 |
2023-12-24 | 80.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 49.0 | 131.0 | 206.0 | 266.0 | 336.0 |
2023-12-31 | 91.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 148.0 | 233.0 | 304.0 | 383.0 |
2024-01-07 | 103.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 63.0 | 169.0 | 265.0 | 346.0 | 436.0 |
2024-01-14 | 117.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 192.0 | 300.0 | 392.0 | 493.0 |
2024-01-21 | 132.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 81.0 | 218.0 | 341.0 | 446.0 | 559.0 |
2024-01-28 | 152.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 93.0 | 250.0 | 393.0 | 514.0 | 644.0 |
2024-02-04 | 174.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 68.0 | 106.0 | 287.0 | 451.0 | 591.0 | 739.0 |
2024-02-11 | 198.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 77.0 | 121.0 | 327.0 | 514.0 | 670.0 | 839.0 |
2024-02-18 | 223.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 | 86.0 | 136.0 | 370.0 | 578.0 | 749.0 | 941.0 |
2024-02-25 | 242.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 93.0 | 147.0 | 401.0 | 625.0 | 808.0 | 1019.0 |
2024-03-03 | 253.0 | 59.0 | 74.0 | 97.0 | 153.0 | 420.0 | 653.0 | 845.0 | 1068.0 |
2024-03-10 | 268.0 | 62.0 | 78.0 | 103.0 | 162.0 | 447.0 | 688.0 | 895.0 | 1134.0 |
2024-03-17 | 283.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 109.0 | 170.0 | 473.0 | 725.0 | 948.0 | 1202.0 |
2024-03-24 | 295.0 | 68.0 | 86.0 | 113.0 | 177.0 | 492.0 | 755.0 | 991.0 | 1257.0 |
2024-03-31 | 304.0 | 69.0 | 88.0 | 116.0 | 182.0 | 507.0 | 782.0 | 1029.0 | 1305.0 |
2024-04-07 | 312.0 | 70.0 | 89.0 | 118.0 | 187.0 | 519.0 | 808.0 | 1063.0 | 1350.0 |
2024-04-14 | 321.0 | 71.0 | 91.0 | 121.0 | 192.0 | 533.0 | 837.0 | 1102.0 | 1399.0 |
2024-04-21 | 332.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 125.0 | 199.0 | 551.0 | 870.0 | 1142.0 | 1452.0 |
2024-04-28 | 335.0 | 74.0 | 94.0 | 125.0 | 200.0 | 555.0 | 881.0 | 1154.0 | 1467.0 |
2024-05-05 | 328.0 | 72.0 | 91.0 | 122.0 | 196.0 | 542.0 | 864.0 | 1133.0 | 1439.0 |
2024-05-12 | 322.0 | 71.0 | 89.0 | 119.0 | 191.0 | 533.0 | 846.0 | 1111.0 | 1411.0 |
2024-05-19 | 319.0 | 70.0 | 89.0 | 118.0 | 189.0 | 530.0 | 837.0 | 1101.0 | 1399.0 |
2024-05-26 | 319.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 118.0 | 189.0 | 532.0 | 837.0 | 1103.0 | 1403.0 |
2024-06-02 | 325.0 | 72.0 | 92.0 | 121.0 | 192.0 | 542.0 | 853.0 | 1125.0 | 1431.0 |
2024-06-09 | 331.0 | 74.0 | 94.0 | 123.0 | 196.0 | 554.0 | 873.0 | 1153.0 | 1465.0 |
2024-06-16 | 333.0 | 74.0 | 95.0 | 124.0 | 199.0 | 559.0 | 885.0 | 1168.0 | 1484.0 |
2024-06-23 | 336.0 | 75.0 | 96.0 | 126.0 | 201.0 | 564.0 | 898.0 | 1179.0 | 1500.0 |
2024-06-30 | 334.0 | 75.0 | 96.0 | 125.0 | 201.0 | 562.0 | 897.0 | 1176.0 | 1499.0 |
2024-07-07 | 320.0 | 72.0 | 92.0 | 120.0 | 193.0 | 536.0 | 859.0 | 1126.0 | 1440.0 |
2024-07-14 | 295.0 | 66.0 | 84.0 | 110.0 | 178.0 | 493.0 | 791.0 | 1041.0 | 1333.0 |
2024-07-21 | 262.0 | 59.0 | 74.0 | 98.0 | 158.0 | 438.0 | 701.0 | 928.0 | 1192.0 |
2024-07-28 | 225.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 84.0 | 135.0 | 376.0 | 600.0 | 798.0 | 1027.0 |
2024-08-04 | 189.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 71.0 | 114.0 | 316.0 | 502.0 | 672.0 | 867.0 |
2024-08-11 | 159.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 59.0 | 95.0 | 265.0 | 420.0 | 567.0 | 730.0 |
2024-08-18 | 135.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 81.0 | 226.0 | 358.0 | 486.0 | 623.0 |
2024-08-25 | 121.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 73.0 | 203.0 | 324.0 | 439.0 | 559.0 |
2024-09-01 | 117.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 197.0 | 314.0 | 424.0 | 535.0 |
2024-09-08 | 117.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 196.0 | 316.0 | 421.0 | 530.0 |
2024-09-15 | 120.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 72.0 | 202.0 | 327.0 | 433.0 | 545.0 |
2024-09-22 | 128.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 76.0 | 215.0 | 348.0 | 460.0 | 581.0 |
2024-09-29 | 133.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 79.0 | 223.0 | 362.0 | 480.0 | 608.0 |