Prediction 2705
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=SC (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 42.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 97.0 | 206.0 | 320.0 | 465.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 37.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 84.0 | 179.0 | 280.0 | 409.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 71.0 | 152.0 | 237.0 | 347.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 59.0 | 126.0 | 198.0 | 293.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 48.0 | 107.0 | 171.0 | 257.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 57.0 | 122.0 | 196.0 | 292.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 71.0 | 153.0 | 246.0 | 368.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 35.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 87.0 | 194.0 | 318.0 | 479.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 40.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 102.0 | 232.0 | 384.0 | 583.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 110.0 | 251.0 | 417.0 | 633.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 46.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 113.0 | 251.0 | 415.0 | 627.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 51.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 121.0 | 261.0 | 418.0 | 628.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 62.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 144.0 | 307.0 | 475.0 | 716.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 81.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 35.0 | 194.0 | 416.0 | 647.0 | 991.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 107.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 260.0 | 574.0 | 912.0 | 1428.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 134.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 54.0 | 333.0 | 753.0 | 1231.0 | 1956.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 170.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 68.0 | 425.0 | 975.0 | 1628.0 | 2594.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 237.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 96.0 | 588.0 | 1342.0 | 2252.0 | 3551.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 365.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 150.0 | 898.0 | 2020.0 | 3360.0 | 5216.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 583.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 108.0 | 241.0 | 1430.0 | 3186.0 | 5232.0 | 8025.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 901.0 | 69.0 | 105.0 | 167.0 | 372.0 | 2210.0 | 4907.0 | 7993.0 | 12209.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1294.0 | 98.0 | 149.0 | 238.0 | 530.0 | 3177.0 | 7059.0 | 11466.0 | 17528.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1704.0 | 128.0 | 194.0 | 311.0 | 693.0 | 4188.0 | 9323.0 | 15126.0 | 23171.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 2067.0 | 154.0 | 234.0 | 377.0 | 835.0 | 5071.0 | 11309.0 | 18356.0 | 28199.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 2320.0 | 174.0 | 263.0 | 422.0 | 933.0 | 5674.0 | 12667.0 | 20600.0 | 31720.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2444.0 | 183.0 | 279.0 | 445.0 | 982.0 | 5959.0 | 13303.0 | 21695.0 | 33419.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 2458.0 | 185.0 | 280.0 | 446.0 | 989.0 | 5994.0 | 13370.0 | 21838.0 | 33584.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2419.0 | 180.0 | 273.0 | 436.0 | 974.0 | 5905.0 | 13181.0 | 21583.0 | 33061.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2367.0 | 173.0 | 262.0 | 422.0 | 950.0 | 5808.0 | 12996.0 | 21338.0 | 32516.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2309.0 | 164.0 | 249.0 | 405.0 | 923.0 | 5715.0 | 12844.0 | 21127.0 | 32057.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2220.0 | 152.0 | 233.0 | 383.0 | 881.0 | 5545.0 | 12511.0 | 20616.0 | 31214.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2061.0 | 137.0 | 211.0 | 348.0 | 810.0 | 5187.0 | 11760.0 | 19387.0 | 29364.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1801.0 | 116.0 | 181.0 | 299.0 | 702.0 | 4560.0 | 10395.0 | 17122.0 | 25994.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1473.0 | 93.0 | 146.0 | 241.0 | 570.0 | 3750.0 | 8598.0 | 14160.0 | 21587.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1123.0 | 70.0 | 111.0 | 182.0 | 432.0 | 2880.0 | 6660.0 | 10948.0 | 16794.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 796.0 | 49.0 | 78.0 | 127.0 | 303.0 | 2064.0 | 4834.0 | 7960.0 | 12307.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 534.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 83.0 | 200.0 | 1407.0 | 3362.0 | 5565.0 | 8696.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 350.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 128.0 | 946.0 | 2318.0 | 3874.0 | 6099.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 233.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 83.0 | 649.0 | 1625.0 | 2756.0 | 4359.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 162.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 56.0 | 459.0 | 1162.0 | 1999.0 | 3163.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 115.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 327.0 | 825.0 | 1434.0 | 2267.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 81.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 28.0 | 227.0 | 568.0 | 992.0 | 1583.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 55.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 155.0 | 390.0 | 683.0 | 1108.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 41.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 117.0 | 300.0 | 530.0 | 874.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 36.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 107.0 | 284.0 | 508.0 | 842.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 38.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 114.0 | 304.0 | 549.0 | 904.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 40.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 121.0 | 319.0 | 577.0 | 945.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 39.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 116.0 | 304.0 | 550.0 | 902.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 33.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 99.0 | 261.0 | 475.0 | 786.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 25.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 78.0 | 212.0 | 387.0 | 653.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 61.0 | 173.0 | 318.0 | 549.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 53.0 | 152.0 | 282.0 | 494.0 |
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