Prediction 2708
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=TO (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 35.0 | 51.0 | 64.0 | 77.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 81.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 73.0 | 90.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 45.0 | 66.0 | 85.0 | 107.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 36.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 106.0 | 136.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 46.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 72.0 | 107.0 | 136.0 | 172.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 56.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 88.0 | 132.0 | 167.0 | 208.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 63.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 100.0 | 149.0 | 190.0 | 232.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 66.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 105.0 | 157.0 | 200.0 | 243.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 108.0 | 161.0 | 205.0 | 250.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 73.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 116.0 | 173.0 | 220.0 | 271.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 85.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 53.0 | 136.0 | 204.0 | 260.0 | 322.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 106.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 170.0 | 256.0 | 325.0 | 403.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 131.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 81.0 | 211.0 | 318.0 | 405.0 | 497.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 153.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 62.0 | 94.0 | 246.0 | 373.0 | 474.0 | 578.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 166.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 67.0 | 102.0 | 267.0 | 405.0 | 516.0 | 626.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 169.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 104.0 | 272.0 | 413.0 | 526.0 | 639.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 169.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 105.0 | 272.0 | 413.0 | 528.0 | 646.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 175.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 71.0 | 109.0 | 282.0 | 427.0 | 548.0 | 676.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 190.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 78.0 | 119.0 | 306.0 | 465.0 | 598.0 | 742.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 211.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 87.0 | 132.0 | 340.0 | 519.0 | 668.0 | 829.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 231.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 95.0 | 145.0 | 372.0 | 570.0 | 735.0 | 910.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 241.0 | 62.0 | 77.0 | 99.0 | 152.0 | 389.0 | 598.0 | 770.0 | 955.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 239.0 | 62.0 | 77.0 | 99.0 | 150.0 | 386.0 | 594.0 | 765.0 | 950.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 227.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 143.0 | 367.0 | 563.0 | 726.0 | 907.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 212.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | 88.0 | 133.0 | 342.0 | 525.0 | 677.0 | 850.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 202.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 | 84.0 | 127.0 | 325.0 | 497.0 | 642.0 | 806.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 198.0 | 52.0 | 65.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 317.0 | 485.0 | 627.0 | 785.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 197.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 123.0 | 314.0 | 482.0 | 623.0 | 776.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 194.0 | 51.0 | 63.0 | 80.0 | 122.0 | 310.0 | 477.0 | 616.0 | 764.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 186.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 76.0 | 117.0 | 297.0 | 458.0 | 592.0 | 733.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 171.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 107.0 | 273.0 | 423.0 | 547.0 | 678.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 152.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 | 95.0 | 243.0 | 376.0 | 487.0 | 606.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 133.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 212.0 | 327.0 | 425.0 | 530.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 116.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 185.0 | 285.0 | 372.0 | 464.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 104.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 65.0 | 166.0 | 255.0 | 333.0 | 415.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 96.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 153.0 | 235.0 | 307.0 | 382.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 90.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 56.0 | 143.0 | 221.0 | 288.0 | 357.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 84.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 134.0 | 206.0 | 268.0 | 334.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 76.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 122.0 | 188.0 | 246.0 | 307.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 69.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 110.0 | 170.0 | 222.0 | 280.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 62.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 99.0 | 152.0 | 200.0 | 253.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 56.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 91.0 | 140.0 | 182.0 | 232.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 53.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 86.0 | 132.0 | 172.0 | 218.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 52.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 128.0 | 165.0 | 210.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 51.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | 127.0 | 163.0 | 207.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 51.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | 127.0 | 163.0 | 206.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 52.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 128.0 | 165.0 | 209.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 53.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 85.0 | 131.0 | 170.0 | 214.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 55.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 88.0 | 136.0 | 177.0 | 222.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 57.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 92.0 | 142.0 | 185.0 | 231.0 |
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