Prediction 2709
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AC (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 38.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 62.0 | 98.0 | 128.0 | 163.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 42.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 71.0 | 114.0 | 150.0 | 190.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 48.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 83.0 | 133.0 | 176.0 | 223.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 55.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 95.0 | 153.0 | 204.0 | 260.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 61.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 107.0 | 174.0 | 233.0 | 297.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 68.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 119.0 | 196.0 | 263.0 | 336.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 76.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 44.0 | 133.0 | 221.0 | 296.0 | 380.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 85.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 49.0 | 150.0 | 250.0 | 335.0 | 431.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 97.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 55.0 | 171.0 | 284.0 | 382.0 | 492.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 110.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 63.0 | 194.0 | 324.0 | 435.0 | 562.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 123.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 70.0 | 219.0 | 365.0 | 491.0 | 634.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 137.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 78.0 | 244.0 | 408.0 | 550.0 | 711.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 152.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 51.0 | 86.0 | 270.0 | 452.0 | 609.0 | 789.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 164.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 293.0 | 491.0 | 661.0 | 861.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 174.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 | 98.0 | 312.0 | 523.0 | 706.0 | 923.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 179.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 321.0 | 537.0 | 729.0 | 954.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 177.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 60.0 | 99.0 | 318.0 | 533.0 | 726.0 | 951.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 169.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 57.0 | 95.0 | 303.0 | 509.0 | 697.0 | 913.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 158.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | 89.0 | 284.0 | 477.0 | 657.0 | 859.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 147.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 83.0 | 264.0 | 444.0 | 614.0 | 801.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 138.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 77.0 | 247.0 | 414.0 | 575.0 | 746.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 129.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 73.0 | 231.0 | 387.0 | 538.0 | 695.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 120.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 67.0 | 214.0 | 358.0 | 499.0 | 642.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 111.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 62.0 | 198.0 | 331.0 | 460.0 | 591.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 103.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 183.0 | 306.0 | 423.0 | 545.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 95.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 53.0 | 169.0 | 283.0 | 389.0 | 503.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 88.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 156.0 | 260.0 | 356.0 | 463.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 79.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 140.0 | 233.0 | 319.0 | 416.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 70.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 123.0 | 204.0 | 279.0 | 364.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 60.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 106.0 | 176.0 | 239.0 | 313.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 52.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 91.0 | 152.0 | 206.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 46.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 81.0 | 134.0 | 182.0 | 237.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 41.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 73.0 | 121.0 | 164.0 | 214.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 66.0 | 111.0 | 151.0 | 196.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 60.0 | 101.0 | 137.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 54.0 | 91.0 | 125.0 | 162.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 50.0 | 83.0 | 114.0 | 149.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 47.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 141.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 45.0 | 75.0 | 103.0 | 136.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 44.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 133.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 71.0 | 98.0 | 129.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 72.0 | 98.0 | 129.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 44.0 | 74.0 | 102.0 | 132.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 48.0 | 80.0 | 109.0 | 141.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 30.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 119.0 | 154.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 57.0 | 96.0 | 131.0 | 169.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 63.0 | 106.0 | 143.0 | 186.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 69.0 | 117.0 | 157.0 | 205.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 44.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 130.0 | 175.0 | 229.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 49.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 86.0 | 146.0 | 196.0 | 257.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 54.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 30.0 | 96.0 | 163.0 | 220.0 | 289.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 60.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 107.0 | 181.0 | 244.0 | 322.0 |
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