Prediction 2710
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AL (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 178.0 | 51.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 117.0 | 271.0 | 393.0 | 495.0 | 607.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 156.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 99.0 | 243.0 | 361.0 | 459.0 | 569.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 147.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 233.0 | 346.0 | 443.0 | 550.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 145.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 60.0 | 92.0 | 230.0 | 344.0 | 444.0 | 550.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 137.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 86.0 | 221.0 | 339.0 | 441.0 | 552.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 125.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 77.0 | 205.0 | 322.0 | 422.0 | 535.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 119.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 195.0 | 303.0 | 399.0 | 506.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 118.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 73.0 | 191.0 | 291.0 | 382.0 | 479.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 114.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 185.0 | 282.0 | 371.0 | 464.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 111.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 181.0 | 284.0 | 374.0 | 473.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 117.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 193.0 | 307.0 | 408.0 | 516.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 130.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 78.0 | 215.0 | 343.0 | 457.0 | 576.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 139.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 52.0 | 83.0 | 231.0 | 369.0 | 491.0 | 622.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 143.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 54.0 | 85.0 | 239.0 | 384.0 | 510.0 | 651.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 155.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 58.0 | 92.0 | 259.0 | 412.0 | 546.0 | 692.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 175.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 103.0 | 291.0 | 456.0 | 606.0 | 763.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 191.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 71.0 | 113.0 | 319.0 | 505.0 | 674.0 | 853.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 206.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 | 121.0 | 348.0 | 560.0 | 749.0 | 959.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 228.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 84.0 | 134.0 | 387.0 | 627.0 | 836.0 | 1074.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 251.0 | 54.0 | 70.0 | 92.0 | 148.0 | 424.0 | 685.0 | 908.0 | 1168.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 263.0 | 57.0 | 73.0 | 96.0 | 155.0 | 445.0 | 717.0 | 947.0 | 1222.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 270.0 | 58.0 | 75.0 | 99.0 | 159.0 | 460.0 | 740.0 | 977.0 | 1264.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 282.0 | 61.0 | 78.0 | 103.0 | 166.0 | 481.0 | 769.0 | 1017.0 | 1312.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 294.0 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 108.0 | 174.0 | 500.0 | 797.0 | 1056.0 | 1359.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 299.0 | 65.0 | 84.0 | 110.0 | 177.0 | 509.0 | 815.0 | 1078.0 | 1388.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 304.0 | 66.0 | 85.0 | 112.0 | 179.0 | 518.0 | 833.0 | 1096.0 | 1412.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 309.0 | 68.0 | 86.0 | 113.0 | 182.0 | 528.0 | 850.0 | 1113.0 | 1428.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 307.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 112.0 | 181.0 | 525.0 | 850.0 | 1111.0 | 1420.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 303.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 | 111.0 | 180.0 | 517.0 | 838.0 | 1097.0 | 1399.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 303.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 | 111.0 | 179.0 | 513.0 | 827.0 | 1085.0 | 1377.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 299.0 | 66.0 | 84.0 | 109.0 | 176.0 | 505.0 | 809.0 | 1065.0 | 1345.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 287.0 | 63.0 | 80.0 | 104.0 | 170.0 | 487.0 | 784.0 | 1032.0 | 1304.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 281.0 | 62.0 | 78.0 | 102.0 | 166.0 | 474.0 | 768.0 | 1012.0 | 1279.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 282.0 | 62.0 | 78.0 | 102.0 | 167.0 | 473.0 | 767.0 | 1010.0 | 1277.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 280.0 | 61.0 | 77.0 | 101.0 | 166.0 | 470.0 | 763.0 | 1005.0 | 1271.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 269.0 | 59.0 | 74.0 | 97.0 | 160.0 | 454.0 | 742.0 | 983.0 | 1244.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 259.0 | 56.0 | 71.0 | 93.0 | 153.0 | 437.0 | 716.0 | 955.0 | 1207.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 251.0 | 54.0 | 69.0 | 90.0 | 148.0 | 424.0 | 692.0 | 923.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 243.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 87.0 | 144.0 | 411.0 | 667.0 | 888.0 | 1127.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 230.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 83.0 | 136.0 | 391.0 | 638.0 | 851.0 | 1089.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 215.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | 77.0 | 127.0 | 368.0 | 608.0 | 813.0 | 1048.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 201.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 72.0 | 118.0 | 347.0 | 576.0 | 770.0 | 994.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 187.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 68.0 | 111.0 | 323.0 | 534.0 | 712.0 | 919.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 168.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 61.0 | 99.0 | 289.0 | 480.0 | 639.0 | 825.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 146.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | 86.0 | 252.0 | 421.0 | 561.0 | 724.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 129.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 76.0 | 221.0 | 366.0 | 489.0 | 631.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 114.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 68.0 | 194.0 | 318.0 | 425.0 | 549.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 99.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 59.0 | 168.0 | 277.0 | 369.0 | 480.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 85.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 144.0 | 241.0 | 322.0 | 419.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 74.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 127.0 | 211.0 | 282.0 | 365.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 66.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 113.0 | 185.0 | 248.0 | 320.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 59.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 35.0 | 101.0 | 164.0 | 220.0 | 284.0 |
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