Prediction 2711
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AM (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 52.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 83.0 | 121.0 | 154.0 | 190.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 56.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 88.0 | 131.0 | 165.0 | 203.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 62.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 97.0 | 145.0 | 184.0 | 227.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 71.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 112.0 | 166.0 | 214.0 | 267.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 79.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 126.0 | 189.0 | 242.0 | 302.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 87.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 137.0 | 206.0 | 262.0 | 326.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 96.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 150.0 | 225.0 | 288.0 | 359.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 107.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 169.0 | 255.0 | 325.0 | 410.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 117.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 187.0 | 283.0 | 360.0 | 455.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 125.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 199.0 | 300.0 | 382.0 | 480.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 133.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 55.0 | 83.0 | 211.0 | 319.0 | 407.0 | 509.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 143.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 60.0 | 91.0 | 230.0 | 350.0 | 443.0 | 560.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 152.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | 246.0 | 372.0 | 474.0 | 597.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 159.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 100.0 | 255.0 | 384.0 | 492.0 | 608.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 166.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 69.0 | 103.0 | 265.0 | 401.0 | 508.0 | 628.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 172.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 71.0 | 108.0 | 276.0 | 417.0 | 528.0 | 656.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 177.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 111.0 | 282.0 | 425.0 | 544.0 | 671.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 179.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 74.0 | 111.0 | 284.0 | 429.0 | 548.0 | 667.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 178.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 110.0 | 282.0 | 426.0 | 544.0 | 660.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 176.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 72.0 | 110.0 | 279.0 | 420.0 | 541.0 | 661.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 171.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 71.0 | 108.0 | 274.0 | 413.0 | 532.0 | 654.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 164.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 263.0 | 397.0 | 510.0 | 627.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 154.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 64.0 | 97.0 | 247.0 | 375.0 | 482.0 | 593.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 147.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 236.0 | 361.0 | 464.0 | 577.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 141.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 90.0 | 228.0 | 351.0 | 450.0 | 563.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 134.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 85.0 | 215.0 | 331.0 | 428.0 | 529.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 128.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 80.0 | 202.0 | 311.0 | 403.0 | 495.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 123.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 195.0 | 301.0 | 387.0 | 481.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 117.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 185.0 | 286.0 | 370.0 | 462.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 110.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 173.0 | 266.0 | 346.0 | 428.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 103.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 65.0 | 163.0 | 251.0 | 324.0 | 401.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 97.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 154.0 | 237.0 | 306.0 | 382.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 90.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 144.0 | 221.0 | 288.0 | 361.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 84.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 134.0 | 205.0 | 266.0 | 333.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 78.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 125.0 | 191.0 | 245.0 | 307.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 73.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 117.0 | 178.0 | 230.0 | 289.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 69.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 111.0 | 169.0 | 219.0 | 275.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 65.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 104.0 | 159.0 | 205.0 | 256.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 61.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 97.0 | 148.0 | 190.0 | 234.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 58.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 92.0 | 140.0 | 180.0 | 222.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 55.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 89.0 | 136.0 | 174.0 | 217.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 52.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 85.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 50.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 81.0 | 123.0 | 157.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 50.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 81.0 | 123.0 | 156.0 | 195.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 50.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 159.0 | 200.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 50.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 81.0 | 124.0 | 160.0 | 200.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 51.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 82.0 | 126.0 | 160.0 | 200.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 53.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 85.0 | 131.0 | 166.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 55.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 89.0 | 138.0 | 177.0 | 222.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 58.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 94.0 | 145.0 | 188.0 | 236.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 61.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 99.0 | 154.0 | 197.0 | 247.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 65.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 106.0 | 165.0 | 212.0 | 264.0 |
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