Prediction 2712
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AP (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 74.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 135.0 | 231.0 | 314.0 | 408.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 58.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 106.0 | 183.0 | 253.0 | 337.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 53.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 96.0 | 163.0 | 226.0 | 299.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 46.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 83.0 | 142.0 | 194.0 | 259.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 70.0 | 120.0 | 166.0 | 228.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 36.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 68.0 | 118.0 | 165.0 | 227.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 36.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 66.0 | 115.0 | 161.0 | 221.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 58.0 | 100.0 | 139.0 | 193.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 54.0 | 93.0 | 128.0 | 174.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 56.0 | 97.0 | 134.0 | 179.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 33.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 109.0 | 153.0 | 206.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 40.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 76.0 | 133.0 | 187.0 | 252.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 47.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 91.0 | 162.0 | 225.0 | 302.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 53.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 103.0 | 187.0 | 260.0 | 352.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 61.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 119.0 | 217.0 | 305.0 | 414.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 68.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 134.0 | 245.0 | 348.0 | 470.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 73.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 144.0 | 263.0 | 375.0 | 507.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 77.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 153.0 | 281.0 | 400.0 | 544.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 83.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 165.0 | 304.0 | 433.0 | 592.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 87.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 173.0 | 319.0 | 457.0 | 629.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 86.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 172.0 | 317.0 | 456.0 | 630.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 81.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 163.0 | 302.0 | 434.0 | 599.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 75.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 150.0 | 278.0 | 402.0 | 556.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 70.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 140.0 | 259.0 | 376.0 | 522.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 66.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 132.0 | 244.0 | 353.0 | 489.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 59.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 119.0 | 219.0 | 317.0 | 435.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 50.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 186.0 | 267.0 | 368.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 42.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 83.0 | 155.0 | 224.0 | 310.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 36.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 72.0 | 134.0 | 195.0 | 272.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 64.0 | 119.0 | 175.0 | 244.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 57.0 | 107.0 | 157.0 | 218.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 52.0 | 98.0 | 143.0 | 199.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 49.0 | 93.0 | 134.0 | 191.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 48.0 | 91.0 | 134.0 | 192.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 49.0 | 94.0 | 138.0 | 197.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 51.0 | 98.0 | 143.0 | 203.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 54.0 | 102.0 | 149.0 | 210.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 57.0 | 108.0 | 158.0 | 223.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 60.0 | 114.0 | 168.0 | 237.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 62.0 | 119.0 | 176.0 | 248.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 66.0 | 126.0 | 186.0 | 262.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 70.0 | 136.0 | 201.0 | 283.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 75.0 | 146.0 | 216.0 | 305.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 78.0 | 152.0 | 227.0 | 321.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 79.0 | 155.0 | 232.0 | 328.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 36.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 76.0 | 150.0 | 224.0 | 319.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 33.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 71.0 | 140.0 | 210.0 | 300.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 66.0 | 131.0 | 196.0 | 278.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 29.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 61.0 | 121.0 | 182.0 | 256.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 112.0 | 168.0 | 235.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 53.0 | 104.0 | 156.0 | 218.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 48.0 | 94.0 | 141.0 | 197.0 |
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