Prediction 2713
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=BA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 120.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 61.0 | 84.0 | 169.0 | 230.0 | 273.0 | 323.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 132.0 | 46.0 | 55.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 188.0 | 255.0 | 304.0 | 361.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 147.0 | 50.0 | 59.0 | 72.0 | 101.0 | 210.0 | 287.0 | 345.0 | 410.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 161.0 | 53.0 | 63.0 | 78.0 | 110.0 | 231.0 | 319.0 | 384.0 | 457.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 176.0 | 58.0 | 69.0 | 86.0 | 120.0 | 253.0 | 352.0 | 422.0 | 502.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 200.0 | 67.0 | 80.0 | 98.0 | 137.0 | 288.0 | 400.0 | 479.0 | 567.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 235.0 | 79.0 | 94.0 | 115.0 | 161.0 | 338.0 | 470.0 | 564.0 | 664.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 278.0 | 93.0 | 111.0 | 135.0 | 191.0 | 401.0 | 557.0 | 675.0 | 791.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 328.0 | 109.0 | 131.0 | 160.0 | 225.0 | 473.0 | 656.0 | 799.0 | 935.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 387.0 | 128.0 | 156.0 | 190.0 | 266.0 | 558.0 | 772.0 | 943.0 | 1104.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 473.0 | 157.0 | 191.0 | 233.0 | 326.0 | 682.0 | 940.0 | 1151.0 | 1346.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 603.0 | 200.0 | 243.0 | 297.0 | 417.0 | 870.0 | 1195.0 | 1464.0 | 1712.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 769.0 | 256.0 | 309.0 | 378.0 | 532.0 | 1109.0 | 1521.0 | 1859.0 | 2178.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 948.0 | 317.0 | 381.0 | 466.0 | 657.0 | 1367.0 | 1879.0 | 2285.0 | 2684.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 1148.0 | 386.0 | 462.0 | 565.0 | 796.0 | 1656.0 | 2280.0 | 2763.0 | 3254.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1379.0 | 465.0 | 555.0 | 679.0 | 956.0 | 1989.0 | 2740.0 | 3323.0 | 3917.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 1625.0 | 549.0 | 655.0 | 802.0 | 1127.0 | 2345.0 | 3235.0 | 3930.0 | 4635.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1861.0 | 630.0 | 752.0 | 919.0 | 1291.0 | 2686.0 | 3717.0 | 4518.0 | 5326.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 2085.0 | 707.0 | 845.0 | 1031.0 | 1446.0 | 3011.0 | 4181.0 | 5077.0 | 5978.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 2301.0 | 782.0 | 935.0 | 1140.0 | 1596.0 | 3324.0 | 4626.0 | 5621.0 | 6617.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2490.0 | 846.0 | 1012.0 | 1234.0 | 1729.0 | 3598.0 | 5015.0 | 6104.0 | 7182.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2616.0 | 889.0 | 1064.0 | 1298.0 | 1817.0 | 3782.0 | 5280.0 | 6435.0 | 7572.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2671.0 | 910.0 | 1087.0 | 1328.0 | 1856.0 | 3866.0 | 5401.0 | 6587.0 | 7750.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2659.0 | 907.0 | 1084.0 | 1324.0 | 1849.0 | 3855.0 | 5388.0 | 6564.0 | 7728.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 2607.0 | 891.0 | 1062.0 | 1298.0 | 1814.0 | 3786.0 | 5292.0 | 6432.0 | 7582.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 2518.0 | 863.0 | 1025.0 | 1252.0 | 1754.0 | 3663.0 | 5118.0 | 6213.0 | 7332.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 2374.0 | 816.0 | 966.0 | 1178.0 | 1653.0 | 3461.0 | 4834.0 | 5863.0 | 6932.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 2180.0 | 751.0 | 887.0 | 1080.0 | 1516.0 | 3182.0 | 4451.0 | 5393.0 | 6389.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1950.0 | 671.0 | 793.0 | 966.0 | 1354.0 | 2848.0 | 3987.0 | 4838.0 | 5740.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1718.0 | 590.0 | 697.0 | 849.0 | 1191.0 | 2510.0 | 3512.0 | 4279.0 | 5079.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1486.0 | 508.0 | 601.0 | 732.0 | 1028.0 | 2171.0 | 3034.0 | 3718.0 | 4418.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1251.0 | 426.0 | 504.0 | 615.0 | 865.0 | 1829.0 | 2557.0 | 3145.0 | 3741.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1029.0 | 348.0 | 413.0 | 504.0 | 710.0 | 1503.0 | 2105.0 | 2595.0 | 3084.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 836.0 | 281.0 | 333.0 | 408.0 | 576.0 | 1218.0 | 1710.0 | 2113.0 | 2510.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 671.0 | 223.0 | 266.0 | 326.0 | 462.0 | 976.0 | 1370.0 | 1699.0 | 2019.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 529.0 | 174.0 | 208.0 | 256.0 | 364.0 | 767.0 | 1078.0 | 1342.0 | 1597.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 412.0 | 135.0 | 161.0 | 200.0 | 283.0 | 598.0 | 844.0 | 1050.0 | 1253.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 331.0 | 107.0 | 129.0 | 160.0 | 226.0 | 482.0 | 683.0 | 846.0 | 1016.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 281.0 | 90.0 | 109.0 | 134.0 | 191.0 | 410.0 | 584.0 | 720.0 | 870.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 245.0 | 78.0 | 94.0 | 116.0 | 166.0 | 359.0 | 513.0 | 632.0 | 766.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 212.0 | 67.0 | 81.0 | 100.0 | 144.0 | 314.0 | 449.0 | 555.0 | 674.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 183.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 123.0 | 272.0 | 391.0 | 486.0 | 590.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 160.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 | 238.0 | 345.0 | 430.0 | 520.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 142.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 | 95.0 | 213.0 | 308.0 | 385.0 | 465.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 126.0 | 38.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 190.0 | 275.0 | 344.0 | 414.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 110.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 73.0 | 167.0 | 241.0 | 301.0 | 363.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 94.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 143.0 | 209.0 | 260.0 | 313.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 81.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 123.0 | 179.0 | 224.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 70.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 106.0 | 156.0 | 196.0 | 236.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 60.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 92.0 | 134.0 | 169.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 81.0 | 118.0 | 150.0 | 182.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 50.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 77.0 | 111.0 | 141.0 | 172.0 |
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