Prediction 2714
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=CE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 90.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 63.0 | 129.0 | 178.0 | 215.0 | 252.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 84.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 122.0 | 169.0 | 204.0 | 240.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 81.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 118.0 | 165.0 | 200.0 | 235.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 80.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 118.0 | 165.0 | 201.0 | 237.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 82.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 120.0 | 169.0 | 207.0 | 244.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 85.0 | 28.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | 125.0 | 176.0 | 216.0 | 255.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 88.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 130.0 | 184.0 | 226.0 | 269.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 90.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 133.0 | 189.0 | 233.0 | 280.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 92.0 | 30.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 136.0 | 193.0 | 238.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 93.0 | 30.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 138.0 | 197.0 | 244.0 | 294.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 98.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 66.0 | 147.0 | 210.0 | 261.0 | 313.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 110.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 74.0 | 166.0 | 238.0 | 296.0 | 353.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 131.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 197.0 | 283.0 | 353.0 | 422.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 158.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 105.0 | 239.0 | 343.0 | 429.0 | 517.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 194.0 | 60.0 | 73.0 | 90.0 | 128.0 | 292.0 | 419.0 | 526.0 | 641.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 235.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 108.0 | 156.0 | 352.0 | 506.0 | 637.0 | 784.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 277.0 | 86.0 | 103.0 | 126.0 | 184.0 | 414.0 | 597.0 | 751.0 | 930.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 318.0 | 98.0 | 117.0 | 144.0 | 211.0 | 474.0 | 686.0 | 862.0 | 1067.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 355.0 | 109.0 | 131.0 | 161.0 | 236.0 | 530.0 | 768.0 | 964.0 | 1186.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 389.0 | 120.0 | 144.0 | 178.0 | 260.0 | 583.0 | 846.0 | 1061.0 | 1293.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 423.0 | 130.0 | 157.0 | 196.0 | 282.0 | 636.0 | 923.0 | 1155.0 | 1396.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 459.0 | 141.0 | 171.0 | 215.0 | 306.0 | 694.0 | 1004.0 | 1256.0 | 1509.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 504.0 | 156.0 | 189.0 | 237.0 | 336.0 | 764.0 | 1103.0 | 1379.0 | 1654.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 562.0 | 175.0 | 211.0 | 263.0 | 375.0 | 853.0 | 1227.0 | 1533.0 | 1845.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 632.0 | 198.0 | 237.0 | 295.0 | 422.0 | 958.0 | 1377.0 | 1721.0 | 2081.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 708.0 | 222.0 | 265.0 | 328.0 | 473.0 | 1070.0 | 1539.0 | 1922.0 | 2332.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 774.0 | 243.0 | 289.0 | 357.0 | 517.0 | 1165.0 | 1679.0 | 2096.0 | 2548.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 820.0 | 257.0 | 306.0 | 378.0 | 548.0 | 1230.0 | 1778.0 | 2217.0 | 2697.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 841.0 | 263.0 | 313.0 | 387.0 | 562.0 | 1259.0 | 1824.0 | 2272.0 | 2762.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 837.0 | 261.0 | 312.0 | 387.0 | 559.0 | 1252.0 | 1819.0 | 2265.0 | 2748.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 814.0 | 253.0 | 304.0 | 377.0 | 543.0 | 1217.0 | 1770.0 | 2205.0 | 2670.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 786.0 | 244.0 | 294.0 | 365.0 | 525.0 | 1176.0 | 1711.0 | 2133.0 | 2576.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 763.0 | 236.0 | 285.0 | 354.0 | 509.0 | 1140.0 | 1659.0 | 2070.0 | 2498.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 747.0 | 230.0 | 278.0 | 346.0 | 499.0 | 1117.0 | 1623.0 | 2030.0 | 2448.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 735.0 | 227.0 | 272.0 | 339.0 | 491.0 | 1100.0 | 1597.0 | 1999.0 | 2415.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 717.0 | 221.0 | 264.0 | 329.0 | 478.0 | 1073.0 | 1556.0 | 1951.0 | 2364.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 685.0 | 211.0 | 251.0 | 313.0 | 456.0 | 1028.0 | 1489.0 | 1868.0 | 2272.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 641.0 | 197.0 | 234.0 | 291.0 | 425.0 | 965.0 | 1398.0 | 1753.0 | 2138.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 586.0 | 180.0 | 214.0 | 266.0 | 388.0 | 889.0 | 1288.0 | 1613.0 | 1967.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 527.0 | 161.0 | 192.0 | 239.0 | 347.0 | 803.0 | 1166.0 | 1455.0 | 1772.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 471.0 | 142.0 | 172.0 | 214.0 | 309.0 | 722.0 | 1052.0 | 1307.0 | 1587.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 424.0 | 127.0 | 154.0 | 193.0 | 277.0 | 653.0 | 954.0 | 1182.0 | 1429.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 387.0 | 114.0 | 140.0 | 175.0 | 251.0 | 595.0 | 873.0 | 1080.0 | 1302.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 353.0 | 103.0 | 127.0 | 160.0 | 229.0 | 544.0 | 800.0 | 989.0 | 1196.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 322.0 | 94.0 | 115.0 | 144.0 | 209.0 | 496.0 | 728.0 | 904.0 | 1099.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 292.0 | 85.0 | 103.0 | 130.0 | 189.0 | 450.0 | 660.0 | 823.0 | 1008.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 261.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 115.0 | 169.0 | 403.0 | 592.0 | 742.0 | 915.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 231.0 | 68.0 | 81.0 | 102.0 | 150.0 | 359.0 | 528.0 | 666.0 | 823.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 205.0 | 60.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 133.0 | 319.0 | 471.0 | 596.0 | 736.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 182.0 | 53.0 | 64.0 | 81.0 | 118.0 | 285.0 | 423.0 | 537.0 | 659.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 167.0 | 48.0 | 58.0 | 74.0 | 108.0 | 261.0 | 391.0 | 495.0 | 605.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 157.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 | 101.0 | 247.0 | 371.0 | 470.0 | 573.0 |
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