Prediction 2715
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=DF (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 173.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 64.0 | 102.0 | 291.0 | 463.0 | 620.0 | 803.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 194.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 69.0 | 113.0 | 335.0 | 538.0 | 730.0 | 955.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 223.0 | 44.0 | 58.0 | 77.0 | 128.0 | 392.0 | 639.0 | 872.0 | 1143.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 259.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 88.0 | 147.0 | 462.0 | 763.0 | 1046.0 | 1369.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 305.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 | 103.0 | 171.0 | 547.0 | 917.0 | 1263.0 | 1648.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 368.0 | 68.0 | 89.0 | 122.0 | 204.0 | 662.0 | 1126.0 | 1557.0 | 2031.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 452.0 | 81.0 | 107.0 | 147.0 | 248.0 | 817.0 | 1408.0 | 1952.0 | 2555.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 570.0 | 100.0 | 131.0 | 183.0 | 310.0 | 1036.0 | 1802.0 | 2503.0 | 3300.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 740.0 | 128.0 | 167.0 | 234.0 | 400.0 | 1352.0 | 2361.0 | 3282.0 | 4367.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 970.0 | 165.0 | 216.0 | 304.0 | 524.0 | 1787.0 | 3122.0 | 4336.0 | 5807.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1266.0 | 213.0 | 280.0 | 394.0 | 685.0 | 2350.0 | 4103.0 | 5693.0 | 7645.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1619.0 | 270.0 | 357.0 | 502.0 | 877.0 | 3023.0 | 5271.0 | 7305.0 | 9819.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2010.0 | 333.0 | 442.0 | 620.0 | 1090.0 | 3763.0 | 6555.0 | 9067.0 | 12183.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2396.0 | 395.0 | 527.0 | 738.0 | 1300.0 | 4487.0 | 7814.0 | 10798.0 | 14494.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2732.0 | 449.0 | 602.0 | 839.0 | 1482.0 | 5104.0 | 8899.0 | 12298.0 | 16475.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 2992.0 | 489.0 | 659.0 | 917.0 | 1621.0 | 5567.0 | 9720.0 | 13431.0 | 17963.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 3142.0 | 512.0 | 691.0 | 960.0 | 1698.0 | 5810.0 | 10165.0 | 14064.0 | 18780.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 3177.0 | 517.0 | 698.0 | 968.0 | 1711.0 | 5834.0 | 10230.0 | 14190.0 | 18941.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 3112.0 | 506.0 | 682.0 | 946.0 | 1668.0 | 5677.0 | 9963.0 | 13875.0 | 18537.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 2962.0 | 481.0 | 647.0 | 900.0 | 1582.0 | 5376.0 | 9434.0 | 13196.0 | 17658.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2762.0 | 449.0 | 602.0 | 839.0 | 1472.0 | 4994.0 | 8761.0 | 12291.0 | 16498.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2543.0 | 415.0 | 556.0 | 776.0 | 1355.0 | 4600.0 | 8070.0 | 11338.0 | 15245.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2321.0 | 381.0 | 510.0 | 712.0 | 1239.0 | 4218.0 | 7395.0 | 10385.0 | 13990.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2114.0 | 349.0 | 467.0 | 654.0 | 1132.0 | 3870.0 | 6775.0 | 9489.0 | 12806.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1920.0 | 318.0 | 426.0 | 598.0 | 1033.0 | 3546.0 | 6196.0 | 8648.0 | 11687.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1730.0 | 287.0 | 385.0 | 542.0 | 935.0 | 3221.0 | 5625.0 | 7819.0 | 10577.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1542.0 | 257.0 | 345.0 | 485.0 | 836.0 | 2886.0 | 5039.0 | 7000.0 | 9470.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1359.0 | 226.0 | 304.0 | 427.0 | 738.0 | 2546.0 | 4448.0 | 6183.0 | 8355.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1192.0 | 198.0 | 266.0 | 373.0 | 647.0 | 2228.0 | 3896.0 | 5430.0 | 7331.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1038.0 | 173.0 | 231.0 | 323.0 | 563.0 | 1935.0 | 3380.0 | 4741.0 | 6398.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 898.0 | 150.0 | 199.0 | 277.0 | 486.0 | 1667.0 | 2908.0 | 4105.0 | 5540.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 767.0 | 128.0 | 170.0 | 235.0 | 415.0 | 1421.0 | 2473.0 | 3513.0 | 4742.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 646.0 | 108.0 | 143.0 | 197.0 | 349.0 | 1194.0 | 2075.0 | 2965.0 | 4006.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 537.0 | 90.0 | 119.0 | 163.0 | 290.0 | 993.0 | 1725.0 | 2468.0 | 3336.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 442.0 | 74.0 | 98.0 | 134.0 | 238.0 | 817.0 | 1421.0 | 2029.0 | 2742.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 358.0 | 60.0 | 79.0 | 108.0 | 192.0 | 664.0 | 1157.0 | 1643.0 | 2219.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 288.0 | 48.0 | 63.0 | 87.0 | 153.0 | 535.0 | 935.0 | 1319.0 | 1780.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 231.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 122.0 | 430.0 | 755.0 | 1057.0 | 1425.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 186.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 98.0 | 347.0 | 611.0 | 850.0 | 1147.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 153.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 80.0 | 286.0 | 506.0 | 700.0 | 945.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 130.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 68.0 | 245.0 | 435.0 | 600.0 | 809.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 115.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 60.0 | 219.0 | 388.0 | 537.0 | 723.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 105.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 55.0 | 202.0 | 358.0 | 497.0 | 671.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 99.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 52.0 | 190.0 | 337.0 | 471.0 | 636.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 93.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 49.0 | 181.0 | 321.0 | 450.0 | 611.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 88.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 172.0 | 307.0 | 434.0 | 589.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 87.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 169.0 | 304.0 | 432.0 | 588.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 90.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 174.0 | 316.0 | 450.0 | 615.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 95.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 49.0 | 185.0 | 339.0 | 483.0 | 663.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 102.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 53.0 | 200.0 | 369.0 | 528.0 | 727.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 111.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 57.0 | 218.0 | 405.0 | 582.0 | 803.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 122.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 62.0 | 239.0 | 445.0 | 643.0 | 889.0 |
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