Prediction 2716
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=ES (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 1243.0 | 265.0 | 341.0 | 462.0 | 746.0 | 1925.0 | 2958.0 | 3962.0 | 5152.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1145.0 | 226.0 | 298.0 | 402.0 | 668.0 | 1960.0 | 3150.0 | 4264.0 | 5529.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1152.0 | 205.0 | 272.0 | 369.0 | 642.0 | 2145.0 | 3592.0 | 4911.0 | 6468.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1265.0 | 226.0 | 299.0 | 410.0 | 703.0 | 2262.0 | 3753.0 | 5144.0 | 6885.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1149.0 | 199.0 | 264.0 | 364.0 | 639.0 | 2051.0 | 3431.0 | 4737.0 | 6352.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 994.0 | 165.0 | 223.0 | 305.0 | 549.0 | 1841.0 | 3155.0 | 4404.0 | 5834.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1051.0 | 169.0 | 228.0 | 317.0 | 571.0 | 1930.0 | 3352.0 | 4710.0 | 6215.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1113.0 | 168.0 | 226.0 | 316.0 | 585.0 | 2115.0 | 3753.0 | 5290.0 | 7042.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1016.0 | 145.0 | 197.0 | 275.0 | 519.0 | 2060.0 | 3748.0 | 5306.0 | 7112.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 955.0 | 140.0 | 191.0 | 268.0 | 500.0 | 1854.0 | 3325.0 | 4718.0 | 6295.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 926.0 | 136.0 | 184.0 | 262.0 | 489.0 | 1681.0 | 2974.0 | 4249.0 | 5624.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 847.0 | 121.0 | 166.0 | 234.0 | 434.0 | 1647.0 | 3028.0 | 4363.0 | 5804.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 810.0 | 106.0 | 146.0 | 208.0 | 396.0 | 1688.0 | 3182.0 | 4579.0 | 6192.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 812.0 | 113.0 | 154.0 | 221.0 | 401.0 | 1621.0 | 2985.0 | 4255.0 | 5827.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 686.0 | 92.0 | 126.0 | 182.0 | 342.0 | 1335.0 | 2427.0 | 3448.0 | 4747.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 572.0 | 83.0 | 115.0 | 164.0 | 291.0 | 1117.0 | 2044.0 | 2929.0 | 4057.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 580.0 | 80.0 | 111.0 | 161.0 | 288.0 | 1124.0 | 2064.0 | 2976.0 | 4180.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 579.0 | 77.0 | 106.0 | 155.0 | 277.0 | 1161.0 | 2150.0 | 3098.0 | 4392.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 486.0 | 65.0 | 91.0 | 131.0 | 232.0 | 1036.0 | 1951.0 | 2802.0 | 3971.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 431.0 | 60.0 | 83.0 | 122.0 | 212.0 | 867.0 | 1604.0 | 2296.0 | 3252.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 425.0 | 61.0 | 85.0 | 125.0 | 214.0 | 782.0 | 1429.0 | 2061.0 | 2936.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 383.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 107.0 | 186.0 | 764.0 | 1459.0 | 2145.0 | 3054.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 355.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 98.0 | 167.0 | 777.0 | 1516.0 | 2239.0 | 3152.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 368.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 99.0 | 174.0 | 762.0 | 1450.0 | 2117.0 | 2954.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 342.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 95.0 | 166.0 | 678.0 | 1287.0 | 1859.0 | 2592.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 277.0 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 133.0 | 578.0 | 1143.0 | 1667.0 | 2335.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 269.0 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 130.0 | 563.0 | 1119.0 | 1645.0 | 2316.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 284.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 133.0 | 587.0 | 1142.0 | 1674.0 | 2359.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 269.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 126.0 | 580.0 | 1132.0 | 1638.0 | 2300.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 244.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 117.0 | 541.0 | 1071.0 | 1534.0 | 2156.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 243.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 116.0 | 509.0 | 1001.0 | 1433.0 | 2034.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 233.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 111.0 | 476.0 | 939.0 | 1363.0 | 1952.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 207.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 99.0 | 449.0 | 911.0 | 1337.0 | 1916.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 204.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 96.0 | 455.0 | 929.0 | 1355.0 | 1939.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 223.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 104.0 | 475.0 | 947.0 | 1367.0 | 1955.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 207.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 98.0 | 443.0 | 886.0 | 1284.0 | 1838.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 168.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 79.0 | 376.0 | 772.0 | 1137.0 | 1637.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 167.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 80.0 | 353.0 | 714.0 | 1059.0 | 1536.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 170.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 80.0 | 353.0 | 713.0 | 1055.0 | 1527.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 152.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 70.0 | 345.0 | 706.0 | 1048.0 | 1497.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 147.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 68.0 | 330.0 | 661.0 | 987.0 | 1401.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 151.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 71.0 | 310.0 | 596.0 | 894.0 | 1279.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 127.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 59.0 | 269.0 | 529.0 | 806.0 | 1160.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 110.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 51.0 | 246.0 | 503.0 | 774.0 | 1107.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 117.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 54.0 | 252.0 | 502.0 | 771.0 | 1093.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 117.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 53.0 | 253.0 | 492.0 | 751.0 | 1064.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 101.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 46.0 | 233.0 | 455.0 | 694.0 | 998.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 98.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 45.0 | 218.0 | 421.0 | 644.0 | 944.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 99.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 45.0 | 210.0 | 408.0 | 626.0 | 921.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 87.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 199.0 | 404.0 | 621.0 | 903.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 85.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 197.0 | 401.0 | 609.0 | 884.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 92.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 204.0 | 398.0 | 597.0 | 886.0 |
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