Prediction 2718
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=MA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 66.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 21.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 | 76.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 73.0 | 89.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 88.0 | 107.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 111.0 | 136.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 49.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 115.0 | 146.0 | 179.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 65.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 103.0 | 153.0 | 195.0 | 240.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 90.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 141.0 | 210.0 | 266.0 | 330.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 126.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 197.0 | 293.0 | 373.0 | 462.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 174.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 75.0 | 111.0 | 273.0 | 406.0 | 517.0 | 640.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 232.0 | 63.0 | 78.0 | 100.0 | 148.0 | 364.0 | 542.0 | 690.0 | 853.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 294.0 | 79.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 | 188.0 | 459.0 | 686.0 | 874.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 356.0 | 96.0 | 120.0 | 153.0 | 228.0 | 555.0 | 831.0 | 1061.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 409.0 | 111.0 | 138.0 | 175.0 | 261.0 | 638.0 | 957.0 | 1221.0 | 1503.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 444.0 | 120.0 | 149.0 | 189.0 | 283.0 | 691.0 | 1039.0 | 1326.0 | 1632.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 460.0 | 124.0 | 154.0 | 195.0 | 293.0 | 716.0 | 1076.0 | 1373.0 | 1691.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 459.0 | 124.0 | 154.0 | 195.0 | 293.0 | 716.0 | 1076.0 | 1371.0 | 1689.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 446.0 | 120.0 | 150.0 | 189.0 | 284.0 | 696.0 | 1047.0 | 1330.0 | 1640.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 417.0 | 112.0 | 140.0 | 177.0 | 266.0 | 652.0 | 982.0 | 1243.0 | 1533.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 376.0 | 101.0 | 126.0 | 159.0 | 239.0 | 588.0 | 885.0 | 1118.0 | 1380.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 328.0 | 88.0 | 110.0 | 139.0 | 208.0 | 515.0 | 773.0 | 976.0 | 1206.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 278.0 | 75.0 | 93.0 | 118.0 | 176.0 | 438.0 | 655.0 | 827.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 229.0 | 62.0 | 76.0 | 97.0 | 145.0 | 360.0 | 538.0 | 679.0 | 839.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 185.0 | 50.0 | 62.0 | 78.0 | 117.0 | 291.0 | 435.0 | 550.0 | 679.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 147.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 | 93.0 | 232.0 | 347.0 | 441.0 | 544.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 119.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 187.0 | 279.0 | 357.0 | 439.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 97.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 152.0 | 228.0 | 292.0 | 359.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 82.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 128.0 | 193.0 | 248.0 | 305.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 72.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 113.0 | 170.0 | 219.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 65.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 103.0 | 155.0 | 199.0 | 247.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 60.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 95.0 | 144.0 | 185.0 | 230.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 57.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 90.0 | 136.0 | 174.0 | 218.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 52.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 126.0 | 162.0 | 203.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 47.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 75.0 | 115.0 | 148.0 | 186.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 42.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 68.0 | 104.0 | 134.0 | 169.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 38.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 61.0 | 94.0 | 120.0 | 151.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 33.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 107.0 | 134.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 117.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 83.0 | 102.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 74.0 | 91.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 70.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 |
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