Prediction 2719
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=MG (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 322.0 | 89.0 | 110.0 | 137.0 | 205.0 | 496.0 | 750.0 | 964.0 | 1200.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 349.0 | 92.0 | 115.0 | 145.0 | 218.0 | 547.0 | 836.0 | 1085.0 | 1367.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 386.0 | 99.0 | 123.0 | 157.0 | 238.0 | 615.0 | 944.0 | 1232.0 | 1563.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 430.0 | 108.0 | 135.0 | 172.0 | 264.0 | 692.0 | 1067.0 | 1396.0 | 1774.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 476.0 | 119.0 | 149.0 | 190.0 | 293.0 | 771.0 | 1191.0 | 1561.0 | 1983.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 515.0 | 127.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 | 315.0 | 843.0 | 1310.0 | 1723.0 | 2185.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 563.0 | 138.0 | 170.0 | 220.0 | 344.0 | 927.0 | 1449.0 | 1909.0 | 2412.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 625.0 | 153.0 | 188.0 | 243.0 | 381.0 | 1034.0 | 1625.0 | 2142.0 | 2687.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 717.0 | 173.0 | 214.0 | 278.0 | 435.0 | 1191.0 | 1879.0 | 2472.0 | 3078.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 854.0 | 202.0 | 252.0 | 331.0 | 515.0 | 1427.0 | 2256.0 | 2953.0 | 3662.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1054.0 | 243.0 | 308.0 | 408.0 | 632.0 | 1770.0 | 2801.0 | 3645.0 | 4521.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1338.0 | 304.0 | 390.0 | 517.0 | 798.0 | 2255.0 | 3564.0 | 4622.0 | 5752.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1713.0 | 388.0 | 500.0 | 662.0 | 1022.0 | 2894.0 | 4563.0 | 5911.0 | 7394.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2153.0 | 489.0 | 631.0 | 831.0 | 1287.0 | 3640.0 | 5729.0 | 7420.0 | 9336.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2676.0 | 612.0 | 787.0 | 1031.0 | 1605.0 | 4519.0 | 7101.0 | 9216.0 | 11647.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 3291.0 | 758.0 | 970.0 | 1264.0 | 1980.0 | 5536.0 | 8687.0 | 11327.0 | 14349.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 3992.0 | 924.0 | 1175.0 | 1526.0 | 2406.0 | 6684.0 | 10469.0 | 13731.0 | 17407.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 4775.0 | 1107.0 | 1398.0 | 1814.0 | 2878.0 | 7955.0 | 12434.0 | 16402.0 | 20810.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 5610.0 | 1300.0 | 1631.0 | 2120.0 | 3377.0 | 9302.0 | 14518.0 | 19236.0 | 24413.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 6419.0 | 1483.0 | 1854.0 | 2415.0 | 3858.0 | 10600.0 | 16533.0 | 21967.0 | 27835.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 7081.0 | 1628.0 | 2033.0 | 2658.0 | 4249.0 | 11658.0 | 18181.0 | 24186.0 | 30628.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 7485.0 | 1709.0 | 2137.0 | 2807.0 | 4485.0 | 12300.0 | 19188.0 | 25523.0 | 32286.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 7568.0 | 1716.0 | 2153.0 | 2838.0 | 4534.0 | 12426.0 | 19415.0 | 25798.0 | 32606.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 7296.0 | 1645.0 | 2069.0 | 2740.0 | 4377.0 | 11984.0 | 18761.0 | 24889.0 | 31465.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 6718.0 | 1509.0 | 1903.0 | 2529.0 | 4040.0 | 11052.0 | 17347.0 | 22960.0 | 29064.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 5943.0 | 1336.0 | 1686.0 | 2246.0 | 3587.0 | 9802.0 | 15429.0 | 20396.0 | 25853.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 5044.0 | 1136.0 | 1433.0 | 1912.0 | 3054.0 | 8350.0 | 13194.0 | 17405.0 | 22089.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 4141.0 | 935.0 | 1180.0 | 1572.0 | 2510.0 | 6875.0 | 10918.0 | 14385.0 | 18241.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 3334.0 | 755.0 | 953.0 | 1265.0 | 2017.0 | 5543.0 | 8855.0 | 11640.0 | 14757.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 2657.0 | 602.0 | 761.0 | 1006.0 | 1600.0 | 4416.0 | 7093.0 | 9313.0 | 11796.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 2100.0 | 474.0 | 600.0 | 792.0 | 1256.0 | 3481.0 | 5615.0 | 7370.0 | 9322.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1654.0 | 372.0 | 471.0 | 620.0 | 981.0 | 2730.0 | 4413.0 | 5794.0 | 7328.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1297.0 | 291.0 | 369.0 | 484.0 | 765.0 | 2130.0 | 3442.0 | 4522.0 | 5730.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1006.0 | 226.0 | 286.0 | 375.0 | 593.0 | 1648.0 | 2652.0 | 3493.0 | 4433.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 773.0 | 175.0 | 221.0 | 290.0 | 458.0 | 1267.0 | 2026.0 | 2682.0 | 3410.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 586.0 | 133.0 | 168.0 | 222.0 | 349.0 | 964.0 | 1531.0 | 2038.0 | 2598.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 435.0 | 100.0 | 125.0 | 165.0 | 262.0 | 723.0 | 1140.0 | 1527.0 | 1955.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 320.0 | 74.0 | 92.0 | 122.0 | 194.0 | 538.0 | 847.0 | 1138.0 | 1462.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 237.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 89.0 | 143.0 | 402.0 | 634.0 | 851.0 | 1094.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 177.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 106.0 | 303.0 | 481.0 | 643.0 | 826.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 137.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 80.0 | 233.0 | 374.0 | 494.0 | 634.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 109.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 63.0 | 185.0 | 300.0 | 392.0 | 504.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 89.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 151.0 | 246.0 | 318.0 | 412.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 75.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 128.0 | 209.0 | 270.0 | 352.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 67.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | 114.0 | 185.0 | 242.0 | 315.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 59.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 103.0 | 167.0 | 220.0 | 285.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 56.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 97.0 | 159.0 | 211.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 56.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 98.0 | 160.0 | 213.0 | 274.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 57.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 99.0 | 162.0 | 218.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 56.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 98.0 | 162.0 | 218.0 | 281.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 56.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 98.0 | 162.0 | 219.0 | 283.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 56.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 99.0 | 165.0 | 222.0 | 286.0 |
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