Prediction 2720
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=MS (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 35.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 60.0 | 98.0 | 132.0 | 172.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 64.0 | 104.0 | 141.0 | 183.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 38.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 67.0 | 111.0 | 151.0 | 194.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 71.0 | 119.0 | 162.0 | 209.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 42.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 75.0 | 127.0 | 173.0 | 227.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 45.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 137.0 | 186.0 | 248.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 48.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 86.0 | 147.0 | 200.0 | 270.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 52.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 94.0 | 161.0 | 221.0 | 296.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 58.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 106.0 | 180.0 | 250.0 | 331.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 67.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 123.0 | 209.0 | 291.0 | 383.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 80.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 148.0 | 251.0 | 349.0 | 460.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 99.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 53.0 | 182.0 | 311.0 | 430.0 | 566.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 122.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 66.0 | 225.0 | 387.0 | 534.0 | 703.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 148.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 80.0 | 274.0 | 473.0 | 649.0 | 859.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 178.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 96.0 | 329.0 | 568.0 | 776.0 | 1029.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 210.0 | 36.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 114.0 | 389.0 | 669.0 | 917.0 | 1212.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 247.0 | 42.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 | 134.0 | 456.0 | 782.0 | 1076.0 | 1416.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 287.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 90.0 | 156.0 | 530.0 | 908.0 | 1254.0 | 1649.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 330.0 | 56.0 | 75.0 | 104.0 | 180.0 | 609.0 | 1047.0 | 1445.0 | 1910.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 373.0 | 63.0 | 85.0 | 118.0 | 205.0 | 687.0 | 1190.0 | 1642.0 | 2185.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 417.0 | 70.0 | 95.0 | 132.0 | 230.0 | 766.0 | 1336.0 | 1844.0 | 2462.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 460.0 | 77.0 | 105.0 | 146.0 | 254.0 | 841.0 | 1478.0 | 2041.0 | 2727.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 497.0 | 83.0 | 114.0 | 158.0 | 275.0 | 906.0 | 1598.0 | 2210.0 | 2944.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 529.0 | 89.0 | 121.0 | 168.0 | 292.0 | 964.0 | 1700.0 | 2359.0 | 3126.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 558.0 | 94.0 | 128.0 | 178.0 | 308.0 | 1018.0 | 1790.0 | 2494.0 | 3290.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 582.0 | 98.0 | 133.0 | 185.0 | 319.0 | 1064.0 | 1864.0 | 2610.0 | 3426.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 597.0 | 100.0 | 135.0 | 189.0 | 325.0 | 1093.0 | 1912.0 | 2684.0 | 3523.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 598.0 | 100.0 | 134.0 | 188.0 | 324.0 | 1096.0 | 1917.0 | 2687.0 | 3550.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 585.0 | 97.0 | 130.0 | 183.0 | 315.0 | 1075.0 | 1879.0 | 2626.0 | 3495.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 556.0 | 92.0 | 124.0 | 174.0 | 299.0 | 1024.0 | 1789.0 | 2499.0 | 3341.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 509.0 | 85.0 | 114.0 | 159.0 | 274.0 | 940.0 | 1639.0 | 2293.0 | 3073.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 446.0 | 75.0 | 101.0 | 140.0 | 241.0 | 825.0 | 1436.0 | 2011.0 | 2702.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 378.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 119.0 | 205.0 | 701.0 | 1217.0 | 1705.0 | 2299.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 317.0 | 54.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 173.0 | 589.0 | 1022.0 | 1432.0 | 1931.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 268.0 | 47.0 | 62.0 | 86.0 | 147.0 | 498.0 | 867.0 | 1215.0 | 1639.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 230.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 126.0 | 426.0 | 745.0 | 1041.0 | 1410.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 200.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 63.0 | 109.0 | 369.0 | 649.0 | 899.0 | 1226.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 175.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 96.0 | 323.0 | 571.0 | 788.0 | 1075.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 154.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 84.0 | 283.0 | 502.0 | 693.0 | 937.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 134.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 73.0 | 247.0 | 435.0 | 606.0 | 807.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 116.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 213.0 | 373.0 | 525.0 | 689.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 100.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 183.0 | 320.0 | 453.0 | 593.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 86.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 47.0 | 158.0 | 278.0 | 395.0 | 518.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 75.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 138.0 | 245.0 | 348.0 | 461.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 67.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 123.0 | 219.0 | 310.0 | 418.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 60.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 111.0 | 200.0 | 279.0 | 384.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 55.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 102.0 | 182.0 | 254.0 | 352.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 51.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 94.0 | 166.0 | 234.0 | 319.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 47.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 87.0 | 151.0 | 216.0 | 289.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 44.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 82.0 | 141.0 | 202.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 80.0 | 138.0 | 196.0 | 265.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 80.0 | 140.0 | 198.0 | 269.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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