Prediction 2721
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=MT (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 99.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 67.0 | 144.0 | 204.0 | 253.0 | 302.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 104.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 70.0 | 153.0 | 218.0 | 272.0 | 328.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 111.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 74.0 | 165.0 | 236.0 | 296.0 | 359.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 118.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 79.0 | 177.0 | 255.0 | 322.0 | 391.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 126.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 190.0 | 275.0 | 346.0 | 424.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 132.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 | 88.0 | 201.0 | 293.0 | 370.0 | 455.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 138.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 62.0 | 91.0 | 211.0 | 309.0 | 389.0 | 482.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 141.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 64.0 | 93.0 | 216.0 | 317.0 | 400.0 | 497.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 143.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 64.0 | 94.0 | 218.0 | 321.0 | 405.0 | 503.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 147.0 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 96.0 | 224.0 | 331.0 | 418.0 | 518.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 161.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 105.0 | 247.0 | 365.0 | 461.0 | 568.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 192.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 | 125.0 | 295.0 | 437.0 | 553.0 | 678.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 241.0 | 70.0 | 84.0 | 106.0 | 156.0 | 370.0 | 548.0 | 694.0 | 848.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 301.0 | 87.0 | 105.0 | 132.0 | 195.0 | 463.0 | 685.0 | 869.0 | 1059.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 367.0 | 106.0 | 128.0 | 161.0 | 238.0 | 568.0 | 839.0 | 1065.0 | 1298.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 435.0 | 126.0 | 153.0 | 191.0 | 282.0 | 676.0 | 999.0 | 1266.0 | 1547.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 503.0 | 145.0 | 176.0 | 221.0 | 326.0 | 783.0 | 1157.0 | 1466.0 | 1795.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 562.0 | 163.0 | 198.0 | 248.0 | 365.0 | 876.0 | 1297.0 | 1642.0 | 2016.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 607.0 | 176.0 | 214.0 | 267.0 | 393.0 | 946.0 | 1401.0 | 1774.0 | 2181.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 634.0 | 184.0 | 224.0 | 279.0 | 410.0 | 988.0 | 1464.0 | 1855.0 | 2280.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 647.0 | 187.0 | 228.0 | 285.0 | 417.0 | 1006.0 | 1492.0 | 1892.0 | 2321.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 651.0 | 188.0 | 229.0 | 286.0 | 419.0 | 1009.0 | 1500.0 | 1900.0 | 2326.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 659.0 | 191.0 | 231.0 | 289.0 | 423.0 | 1019.0 | 1515.0 | 1915.0 | 2341.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 679.0 | 196.0 | 237.0 | 297.0 | 435.0 | 1048.0 | 1558.0 | 1966.0 | 2398.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 710.0 | 205.0 | 247.0 | 310.0 | 455.0 | 1097.0 | 1631.0 | 2053.0 | 2497.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 749.0 | 216.0 | 260.0 | 327.0 | 480.0 | 1160.0 | 1723.0 | 2163.0 | 2625.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 785.0 | 225.0 | 271.0 | 342.0 | 504.0 | 1221.0 | 1813.0 | 2270.0 | 2752.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 812.0 | 232.0 | 280.0 | 354.0 | 522.0 | 1268.0 | 1882.0 | 2353.0 | 2853.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 824.0 | 235.0 | 284.0 | 359.0 | 530.0 | 1290.0 | 1914.0 | 2391.0 | 2904.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 812.0 | 232.0 | 280.0 | 353.0 | 523.0 | 1272.0 | 1886.0 | 2358.0 | 2869.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 768.0 | 220.0 | 265.0 | 334.0 | 495.0 | 1203.0 | 1784.0 | 2234.0 | 2723.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 696.0 | 200.0 | 241.0 | 303.0 | 449.0 | 1088.0 | 1614.0 | 2024.0 | 2471.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 604.0 | 174.0 | 210.0 | 263.0 | 390.0 | 944.0 | 1400.0 | 1760.0 | 2152.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 514.0 | 148.0 | 179.0 | 224.0 | 331.0 | 802.0 | 1186.0 | 1497.0 | 1834.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 437.0 | 126.0 | 153.0 | 191.0 | 282.0 | 683.0 | 1008.0 | 1275.0 | 1567.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 379.0 | 108.0 | 132.0 | 165.0 | 244.0 | 592.0 | 873.0 | 1106.0 | 1361.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 336.0 | 95.0 | 117.0 | 147.0 | 216.0 | 526.0 | 777.0 | 985.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 302.0 | 84.0 | 105.0 | 132.0 | 194.0 | 474.0 | 703.0 | 890.0 | 1094.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 273.0 | 75.0 | 94.0 | 119.0 | 175.0 | 430.0 | 643.0 | 810.0 | 994.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 247.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 | 108.0 | 159.0 | 389.0 | 587.0 | 739.0 | 906.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 223.0 | 60.0 | 76.0 | 97.0 | 143.0 | 351.0 | 533.0 | 671.0 | 822.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 199.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 128.0 | 313.0 | 477.0 | 603.0 | 739.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 174.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 75.0 | 112.0 | 272.0 | 416.0 | 528.0 | 648.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 147.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 63.0 | 94.0 | 230.0 | 351.0 | 449.0 | 551.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 121.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 78.0 | 191.0 | 290.0 | 373.0 | 458.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 101.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 64.0 | 159.0 | 240.0 | 311.0 | 382.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 85.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 135.0 | 204.0 | 264.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 75.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 119.0 | 180.0 | 233.0 | 288.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 68.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 107.0 | 163.0 | 210.0 | 259.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 62.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 97.0 | 150.0 | 191.0 | 236.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 57.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 90.0 | 139.0 | 177.0 | 219.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 55.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 87.0 | 134.0 | 171.0 | 212.0 |
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