Prediction 2723
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=PB (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 60.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 88.0 | 123.0 | 151.0 | 180.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 60.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 | 152.0 | 183.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 61.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 91.0 | 128.0 | 158.0 | 190.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 66.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | 98.0 | 139.0 | 172.0 | 206.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 74.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 110.0 | 157.0 | 194.0 | 232.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 84.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 125.0 | 181.0 | 223.0 | 268.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 96.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 144.0 | 208.0 | 257.0 | 309.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 108.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 72.0 | 162.0 | 235.0 | 291.0 | 352.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 119.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 79.0 | 179.0 | 259.0 | 321.0 | 388.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 128.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 86.0 | 194.0 | 281.0 | 348.0 | 420.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 138.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 64.0 | 93.0 | 210.0 | 305.0 | 377.0 | 455.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 150.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 | 100.0 | 228.0 | 333.0 | 411.0 | 498.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 165.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 109.0 | 249.0 | 364.0 | 451.0 | 549.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 179.0 | 53.0 | 65.0 | 82.0 | 118.0 | 272.0 | 396.0 | 493.0 | 601.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 191.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 126.0 | 290.0 | 420.0 | 527.0 | 643.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 200.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 91.0 | 132.0 | 303.0 | 439.0 | 553.0 | 674.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 210.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 95.0 | 138.0 | 317.0 | 458.0 | 580.0 | 706.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 220.0 | 65.0 | 79.0 | 99.0 | 145.0 | 333.0 | 482.0 | 612.0 | 744.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 238.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 | 107.0 | 155.0 | 359.0 | 520.0 | 660.0 | 804.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 260.0 | 75.0 | 93.0 | 117.0 | 170.0 | 393.0 | 570.0 | 725.0 | 884.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 285.0 | 82.0 | 101.0 | 127.0 | 185.0 | 428.0 | 622.0 | 791.0 | 967.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 306.0 | 88.0 | 109.0 | 136.0 | 199.0 | 460.0 | 670.0 | 851.0 | 1038.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 323.0 | 93.0 | 115.0 | 144.0 | 211.0 | 486.0 | 707.0 | 898.0 | 1089.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 334.0 | 97.0 | 119.0 | 149.0 | 220.0 | 502.0 | 734.0 | 929.0 | 1120.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 342.0 | 100.0 | 121.0 | 153.0 | 226.0 | 515.0 | 753.0 | 951.0 | 1145.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 352.0 | 103.0 | 125.0 | 158.0 | 234.0 | 531.0 | 776.0 | 979.0 | 1181.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 361.0 | 106.0 | 129.0 | 162.0 | 239.0 | 544.0 | 795.0 | 1002.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 364.0 | 106.0 | 130.0 | 163.0 | 240.0 | 547.0 | 801.0 | 1007.0 | 1222.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 359.0 | 105.0 | 129.0 | 161.0 | 236.0 | 540.0 | 791.0 | 991.0 | 1206.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 344.0 | 101.0 | 124.0 | 155.0 | 227.0 | 519.0 | 758.0 | 951.0 | 1159.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 322.0 | 95.0 | 116.0 | 145.0 | 213.0 | 486.0 | 708.0 | 890.0 | 1086.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 296.0 | 88.0 | 107.0 | 134.0 | 196.0 | 449.0 | 651.0 | 822.0 | 1005.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 272.0 | 81.0 | 98.0 | 124.0 | 181.0 | 414.0 | 598.0 | 759.0 | 930.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 253.0 | 74.0 | 91.0 | 115.0 | 167.0 | 384.0 | 556.0 | 705.0 | 869.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 236.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 107.0 | 155.0 | 358.0 | 519.0 | 658.0 | 815.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 217.0 | 63.0 | 78.0 | 98.0 | 142.0 | 329.0 | 478.0 | 604.0 | 750.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 193.0 | 56.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 126.0 | 293.0 | 428.0 | 538.0 | 667.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 170.0 | 49.0 | 61.0 | 76.0 | 111.0 | 258.0 | 375.0 | 473.0 | 583.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 148.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 98.0 | 226.0 | 327.0 | 414.0 | 507.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 132.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 87.0 | 201.0 | 290.0 | 368.0 | 448.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 120.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 183.0 | 263.0 | 335.0 | 408.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 112.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 171.0 | 245.0 | 312.0 | 378.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 105.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 69.0 | 160.0 | 231.0 | 292.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 98.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 148.0 | 215.0 | 270.0 | 328.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 91.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 59.0 | 138.0 | 200.0 | 251.0 | 304.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 84.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 129.0 | 187.0 | 234.0 | 284.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 79.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 122.0 | 177.0 | 222.0 | 270.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 77.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 118.0 | 172.0 | 216.0 | 263.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 75.0 | 22.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 116.0 | 168.0 | 212.0 | 260.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 73.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 112.0 | 164.0 | 208.0 | 255.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 70.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 108.0 | 159.0 | 201.0 | 246.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 67.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 43.0 | 103.0 | 152.0 | 192.0 | 236.0 |
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