Prediction 2724
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=PE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 377.0 | 115.0 | 140.0 | 171.0 | 246.0 | 560.0 | 792.0 | 978.0 | 1194.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 335.0 | 103.0 | 125.0 | 154.0 | 223.0 | 501.0 | 714.0 | 889.0 | 1091.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 300.0 | 93.0 | 113.0 | 141.0 | 202.0 | 450.0 | 645.0 | 809.0 | 990.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 290.0 | 86.0 | 106.0 | 133.0 | 192.0 | 437.0 | 630.0 | 790.0 | 966.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 285.0 | 83.0 | 102.0 | 128.0 | 187.0 | 430.0 | 623.0 | 780.0 | 957.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 269.0 | 80.0 | 98.0 | 125.0 | 180.0 | 406.0 | 590.0 | 741.0 | 905.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 266.0 | 80.0 | 98.0 | 124.0 | 180.0 | 402.0 | 585.0 | 737.0 | 892.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 288.0 | 82.0 | 101.0 | 127.0 | 187.0 | 435.0 | 636.0 | 799.0 | 969.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 306.0 | 85.0 | 105.0 | 132.0 | 196.0 | 465.0 | 683.0 | 854.0 | 1043.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 315.0 | 91.0 | 110.0 | 140.0 | 206.0 | 481.0 | 709.0 | 890.0 | 1080.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 345.0 | 99.0 | 120.0 | 152.0 | 225.0 | 528.0 | 781.0 | 984.0 | 1188.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 396.0 | 110.0 | 135.0 | 169.0 | 252.0 | 606.0 | 897.0 | 1134.0 | 1378.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 439.0 | 124.0 | 152.0 | 191.0 | 282.0 | 672.0 | 998.0 | 1262.0 | 1539.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 478.0 | 139.0 | 169.0 | 215.0 | 313.0 | 735.0 | 1092.0 | 1387.0 | 1682.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 540.0 | 156.0 | 191.0 | 241.0 | 352.0 | 831.0 | 1234.0 | 1575.0 | 1906.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 606.0 | 174.0 | 213.0 | 268.0 | 393.0 | 932.0 | 1383.0 | 1767.0 | 2152.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 651.0 | 189.0 | 231.0 | 292.0 | 426.0 | 1002.0 | 1486.0 | 1899.0 | 2316.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 695.0 | 204.0 | 248.0 | 314.0 | 458.0 | 1072.0 | 1591.0 | 2032.0 | 2470.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 753.0 | 216.0 | 264.0 | 332.0 | 490.0 | 1162.0 | 1723.0 | 2201.0 | 2677.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 796.0 | 226.0 | 276.0 | 346.0 | 515.0 | 1226.0 | 1818.0 | 2320.0 | 2827.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 814.0 | 232.0 | 285.0 | 358.0 | 532.0 | 1252.0 | 1857.0 | 2366.0 | 2878.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 839.0 | 238.0 | 292.0 | 369.0 | 548.0 | 1290.0 | 1914.0 | 2438.0 | 2956.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 873.0 | 243.0 | 300.0 | 378.0 | 564.0 | 1342.0 | 1990.0 | 2535.0 | 3074.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 881.0 | 246.0 | 304.0 | 384.0 | 571.0 | 1354.0 | 2002.0 | 2549.0 | 3096.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 866.0 | 244.0 | 301.0 | 382.0 | 566.0 | 1329.0 | 1961.0 | 2493.0 | 3028.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 861.0 | 241.0 | 297.0 | 377.0 | 559.0 | 1321.0 | 1946.0 | 2471.0 | 3000.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 854.0 | 235.0 | 290.0 | 366.0 | 547.0 | 1313.0 | 1928.0 | 2443.0 | 2968.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 820.0 | 225.0 | 278.0 | 351.0 | 525.0 | 1261.0 | 1846.0 | 2332.0 | 2838.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 775.0 | 215.0 | 265.0 | 335.0 | 501.0 | 1191.0 | 1742.0 | 2195.0 | 2681.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 744.0 | 205.0 | 253.0 | 319.0 | 478.0 | 1146.0 | 1676.0 | 2110.0 | 2585.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 715.0 | 196.0 | 241.0 | 303.0 | 455.0 | 1107.0 | 1618.0 | 2034.0 | 2488.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 668.0 | 186.0 | 227.0 | 287.0 | 429.0 | 1036.0 | 1515.0 | 1900.0 | 2322.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 615.0 | 174.0 | 212.0 | 268.0 | 400.0 | 954.0 | 1397.0 | 1751.0 | 2147.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 582.0 | 164.0 | 200.0 | 252.0 | 376.0 | 903.0 | 1323.0 | 1662.0 | 2035.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 552.0 | 154.0 | 189.0 | 237.0 | 354.0 | 860.0 | 1263.0 | 1588.0 | 1931.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 512.0 | 144.0 | 177.0 | 223.0 | 329.0 | 797.0 | 1174.0 | 1474.0 | 1789.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 474.0 | 135.0 | 166.0 | 209.0 | 308.0 | 735.0 | 1086.0 | 1366.0 | 1662.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 451.0 | 127.0 | 157.0 | 196.0 | 290.0 | 699.0 | 1034.0 | 1305.0 | 1587.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 434.0 | 120.0 | 148.0 | 185.0 | 275.0 | 674.0 | 997.0 | 1261.0 | 1528.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 411.0 | 113.0 | 140.0 | 176.0 | 261.0 | 638.0 | 945.0 | 1198.0 | 1455.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 390.0 | 107.0 | 133.0 | 168.0 | 249.0 | 603.0 | 894.0 | 1138.0 | 1392.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 381.0 | 103.0 | 128.0 | 163.0 | 242.0 | 588.0 | 871.0 | 1114.0 | 1367.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 376.0 | 99.0 | 124.0 | 158.0 | 237.0 | 581.0 | 862.0 | 1105.0 | 1358.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 365.0 | 95.0 | 120.0 | 154.0 | 231.0 | 565.0 | 839.0 | 1078.0 | 1334.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 354.0 | 92.0 | 116.0 | 150.0 | 226.0 | 547.0 | 814.0 | 1047.0 | 1305.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 347.0 | 90.0 | 113.0 | 145.0 | 221.0 | 535.0 | 798.0 | 1027.0 | 1285.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 337.0 | 86.0 | 108.0 | 140.0 | 214.0 | 523.0 | 780.0 | 1004.0 | 1258.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 320.0 | 82.0 | 103.0 | 134.0 | 204.0 | 499.0 | 746.0 | 959.0 | 1205.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 300.0 | 77.0 | 97.0 | 126.0 | 192.0 | 467.0 | 702.0 | 901.0 | 1135.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 281.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 117.0 | 178.0 | 438.0 | 659.0 | 844.0 | 1065.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 260.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 | 107.0 | 163.0 | 408.0 | 614.0 | 788.0 | 993.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 235.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 96.0 | 146.0 | 372.0 | 563.0 | 722.0 | 909.0 |
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