Prediction 2725
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=PI (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 55.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 59.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 62.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 59.0 | 69.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 69.0 | 81.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 34.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 48.0 | 66.0 | 80.0 | 93.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 40.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 | 93.0 | 109.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 49.0 | 18.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | 95.0 | 114.0 | 134.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 61.0 | 22.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 86.0 | 119.0 | 143.0 | 167.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 76.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 107.0 | 147.0 | 176.0 | 207.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 94.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 67.0 | 134.0 | 182.0 | 218.0 | 256.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 120.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 170.0 | 231.0 | 277.0 | 326.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 151.0 | 56.0 | 64.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 213.0 | 291.0 | 349.0 | 410.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 183.0 | 67.0 | 78.0 | 95.0 | 130.0 | 258.0 | 351.0 | 422.0 | 497.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 216.0 | 79.0 | 92.0 | 112.0 | 153.0 | 305.0 | 414.0 | 499.0 | 587.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 250.0 | 92.0 | 107.0 | 130.0 | 178.0 | 353.0 | 481.0 | 580.0 | 682.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 281.0 | 103.0 | 121.0 | 146.0 | 200.0 | 397.0 | 541.0 | 654.0 | 768.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 305.0 | 112.0 | 131.0 | 159.0 | 217.0 | 431.0 | 588.0 | 711.0 | 835.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 325.0 | 119.0 | 140.0 | 169.0 | 231.0 | 460.0 | 627.0 | 759.0 | 892.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 346.0 | 127.0 | 150.0 | 181.0 | 246.0 | 490.0 | 670.0 | 811.0 | 953.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 360.0 | 132.0 | 156.0 | 188.0 | 255.0 | 510.0 | 697.0 | 843.0 | 991.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 369.0 | 135.0 | 159.0 | 192.0 | 261.0 | 522.0 | 714.0 | 861.0 | 1013.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 379.0 | 139.0 | 163.0 | 197.0 | 268.0 | 536.0 | 733.0 | 883.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 385.0 | 141.0 | 165.0 | 199.0 | 272.0 | 543.0 | 744.0 | 894.0 | 1049.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 385.0 | 141.0 | 165.0 | 199.0 | 272.0 | 543.0 | 743.0 | 893.0 | 1050.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 378.0 | 138.0 | 162.0 | 195.0 | 267.0 | 532.0 | 727.0 | 874.0 | 1029.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 363.0 | 132.0 | 155.0 | 187.0 | 257.0 | 511.0 | 698.0 | 840.0 | 988.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 343.0 | 124.0 | 147.0 | 177.0 | 243.0 | 482.0 | 658.0 | 794.0 | 933.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 313.0 | 113.0 | 134.0 | 162.0 | 222.0 | 440.0 | 600.0 | 726.0 | 853.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 278.0 | 100.0 | 119.0 | 144.0 | 197.0 | 389.0 | 531.0 | 644.0 | 757.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 240.0 | 86.0 | 103.0 | 125.0 | 171.0 | 337.0 | 461.0 | 560.0 | 657.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 203.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 106.0 | 145.0 | 286.0 | 392.0 | 476.0 | 559.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 168.0 | 60.0 | 72.0 | 88.0 | 120.0 | 237.0 | 325.0 | 394.0 | 464.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 139.0 | 50.0 | 59.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 197.0 | 269.0 | 327.0 | 385.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 117.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 61.0 | 83.0 | 166.0 | 228.0 | 275.0 | 325.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 99.0 | 36.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 141.0 | 193.0 | 233.0 | 276.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 84.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 | 120.0 | 164.0 | 198.0 | 235.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 72.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 51.0 | 103.0 | 141.0 | 170.0 | 201.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 62.0 | 23.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 89.0 | 122.0 | 147.0 | 174.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 52.0 | 19.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 124.0 | 147.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 43.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 61.0 | 84.0 | 102.0 | 120.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 68.0 | 79.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 65.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 19.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 |
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