Prediction 2726
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=PR (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 1431.0 | 199.0 | 274.0 | 398.0 | 729.0 | 2808.0 | 5174.0 | 7575.0 | 10723.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1395.0 | 183.0 | 255.0 | 374.0 | 700.0 | 2789.0 | 5255.0 | 7760.0 | 11053.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1356.0 | 169.0 | 237.0 | 352.0 | 671.0 | 2758.0 | 5300.0 | 7879.0 | 11293.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1319.0 | 157.0 | 221.0 | 333.0 | 645.0 | 2719.0 | 5312.0 | 7947.0 | 11454.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1307.0 | 150.0 | 213.0 | 323.0 | 633.0 | 2717.0 | 5365.0 | 8075.0 | 11709.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 1326.0 | 150.0 | 212.0 | 322.0 | 636.0 | 2780.0 | 5527.0 | 8383.0 | 12196.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1371.0 | 153.0 | 215.0 | 327.0 | 652.0 | 2902.0 | 5779.0 | 8875.0 | 12915.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1444.0 | 158.0 | 223.0 | 338.0 | 682.0 | 3081.0 | 6140.0 | 9509.0 | 13841.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1546.0 | 167.0 | 236.0 | 357.0 | 726.0 | 3322.0 | 6639.0 | 10286.0 | 15010.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1670.0 | 178.0 | 251.0 | 380.0 | 780.0 | 3613.0 | 7239.0 | 11171.0 | 16264.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1827.0 | 192.0 | 272.0 | 412.0 | 847.0 | 3973.0 | 7982.0 | 12246.0 | 17745.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 2027.0 | 210.0 | 299.0 | 454.0 | 934.0 | 4417.0 | 8913.0 | 13610.0 | 19577.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2277.0 | 233.0 | 335.0 | 508.0 | 1045.0 | 4968.0 | 10072.0 | 15355.0 | 21934.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2599.0 | 264.0 | 382.0 | 580.0 | 1187.0 | 5677.0 | 11542.0 | 17600.0 | 25145.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 3001.0 | 305.0 | 442.0 | 672.0 | 1367.0 | 6565.0 | 13354.0 | 20444.0 | 29276.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 3483.0 | 353.0 | 516.0 | 783.0 | 1584.0 | 7625.0 | 15490.0 | 23876.0 | 34353.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 4031.0 | 409.0 | 599.0 | 911.0 | 1833.0 | 8826.0 | 17909.0 | 27830.0 | 40250.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 4634.0 | 472.0 | 692.0 | 1052.0 | 2111.0 | 10169.0 | 20615.0 | 32212.0 | 46865.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 5307.0 | 542.0 | 796.0 | 1209.0 | 2427.0 | 11683.0 | 23644.0 | 37103.0 | 54168.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 6023.0 | 616.0 | 907.0 | 1375.0 | 2761.0 | 13302.0 | 26869.0 | 42276.0 | 61736.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6727.0 | 689.0 | 1012.0 | 1538.0 | 3090.0 | 14911.0 | 30120.0 | 47352.0 | 69088.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 7365.0 | 756.0 | 1105.0 | 1687.0 | 3386.0 | 16370.0 | 33145.0 | 51892.0 | 75786.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 7872.0 | 807.0 | 1175.0 | 1804.0 | 3621.0 | 17546.0 | 35625.0 | 55540.0 | 80982.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 8261.0 | 844.0 | 1226.0 | 1887.0 | 3792.0 | 18446.0 | 37512.0 | 58287.0 | 84834.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 8473.0 | 865.0 | 1251.0 | 1926.0 | 3879.0 | 18945.0 | 38562.0 | 59861.0 | 86813.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 8426.0 | 857.0 | 1238.0 | 1903.0 | 3847.0 | 18853.0 | 38383.0 | 59666.0 | 86251.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 8141.0 | 827.0 | 1190.0 | 1825.0 | 3701.0 | 18213.0 | 37155.0 | 57745.0 | 83390.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 7645.0 | 779.0 | 1115.0 | 1702.0 | 3458.0 | 17098.0 | 34949.0 | 54217.0 | 78519.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 6969.0 | 713.0 | 1013.0 | 1541.0 | 3136.0 | 15596.0 | 31889.0 | 49392.0 | 71709.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 6173.0 | 634.0 | 895.0 | 1356.0 | 2762.0 | 13817.0 | 28259.0 | 43719.0 | 63677.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 5297.0 | 546.0 | 764.0 | 1158.0 | 2361.0 | 11865.0 | 24327.0 | 37509.0 | 54820.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 4404.0 | 454.0 | 632.0 | 959.0 | 1959.0 | 9885.0 | 20341.0 | 31219.0 | 45739.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 3569.0 | 366.0 | 508.0 | 774.0 | 1584.0 | 8039.0 | 16600.0 | 25344.0 | 37222.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 2815.0 | 286.0 | 397.0 | 607.0 | 1246.0 | 6377.0 | 13196.0 | 20084.0 | 29525.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2181.0 | 218.0 | 304.0 | 467.0 | 960.0 | 4978.0 | 10307.0 | 15672.0 | 23093.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1687.0 | 164.0 | 231.0 | 358.0 | 737.0 | 3883.0 | 8029.0 | 12273.0 | 18111.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1311.0 | 124.0 | 177.0 | 275.0 | 569.0 | 3050.0 | 6287.0 | 9728.0 | 14343.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1039.0 | 95.0 | 138.0 | 215.0 | 447.0 | 2436.0 | 5009.0 | 7877.0 | 11604.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 836.0 | 73.0 | 109.0 | 169.0 | 355.0 | 1968.0 | 4054.0 | 6482.0 | 9553.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 679.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 134.0 | 285.0 | 1603.0 | 3331.0 | 5380.0 | 7995.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 562.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 109.0 | 234.0 | 1330.0 | 2811.0 | 4542.0 | 6878.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 475.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 90.0 | 197.0 | 1128.0 | 2437.0 | 3917.0 | 6037.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 412.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 170.0 | 982.0 | 2166.0 | 3463.0 | 5420.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 359.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 149.0 | 862.0 | 1939.0 | 3097.0 | 4898.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 310.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 129.0 | 755.0 | 1730.0 | 2770.0 | 4420.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 274.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 114.0 | 679.0 | 1582.0 | 2535.0 | 4079.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 249.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 103.0 | 631.0 | 1482.0 | 2386.0 | 3865.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 235.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 95.0 | 606.0 | 1420.0 | 2313.0 | 3739.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 229.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 91.0 | 596.0 | 1394.0 | 2298.0 | 3701.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 226.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 89.0 | 591.0 | 1391.0 | 2303.0 | 3684.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 225.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 87.0 | 589.0 | 1393.0 | 2311.0 | 3670.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 223.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 86.0 | 584.0 | 1391.0 | 2308.0 | 3660.0 |
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