Prediction 2727
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RJ (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 667.0 | 208.0 | 250.0 | 309.0 | 440.0 | 1005.0 | 1461.0 | 1840.0 | 2267.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 727.0 | 219.0 | 266.0 | 330.0 | 474.0 | 1102.0 | 1617.0 | 2052.0 | 2542.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 777.0 | 228.0 | 277.0 | 345.0 | 502.0 | 1186.0 | 1758.0 | 2239.0 | 2775.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 826.0 | 237.0 | 287.0 | 360.0 | 530.0 | 1269.0 | 1901.0 | 2426.0 | 3001.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 875.0 | 247.0 | 300.0 | 377.0 | 560.0 | 1357.0 | 2049.0 | 2623.0 | 3248.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 932.0 | 259.0 | 314.0 | 398.0 | 596.0 | 1462.0 | 2217.0 | 2854.0 | 3546.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1015.0 | 278.0 | 339.0 | 433.0 | 650.0 | 1610.0 | 2445.0 | 3168.0 | 3954.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1119.0 | 303.0 | 371.0 | 477.0 | 717.0 | 1792.0 | 2726.0 | 3548.0 | 4448.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1254.0 | 336.0 | 412.0 | 532.0 | 801.0 | 2019.0 | 3083.0 | 4013.0 | 5051.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1426.0 | 378.0 | 464.0 | 600.0 | 906.0 | 2303.0 | 3533.0 | 4599.0 | 5799.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1639.0 | 428.0 | 528.0 | 683.0 | 1034.0 | 2652.0 | 4086.0 | 5315.0 | 6717.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1888.0 | 489.0 | 603.0 | 781.0 | 1184.0 | 3063.0 | 4736.0 | 6160.0 | 7809.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2146.0 | 551.0 | 680.0 | 882.0 | 1339.0 | 3490.0 | 5414.0 | 7042.0 | 8939.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2372.0 | 606.0 | 747.0 | 968.0 | 1475.0 | 3867.0 | 6014.0 | 7818.0 | 9910.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2543.0 | 647.0 | 797.0 | 1031.0 | 1576.0 | 4155.0 | 6483.0 | 8419.0 | 10625.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 2646.0 | 672.0 | 826.0 | 1068.0 | 1637.0 | 4336.0 | 6784.0 | 8797.0 | 11074.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 2713.0 | 687.0 | 845.0 | 1093.0 | 1677.0 | 4463.0 | 6991.0 | 9082.0 | 11418.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 2745.0 | 691.0 | 852.0 | 1105.0 | 1694.0 | 4535.0 | 7100.0 | 9251.0 | 11650.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 2746.0 | 687.0 | 849.0 | 1103.0 | 1691.0 | 4551.0 | 7109.0 | 9304.0 | 11748.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 2740.0 | 679.0 | 841.0 | 1095.0 | 1678.0 | 4545.0 | 7096.0 | 9311.0 | 11774.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2720.0 | 668.0 | 828.0 | 1078.0 | 1655.0 | 4508.0 | 7047.0 | 9257.0 | 11703.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2680.0 | 652.0 | 809.0 | 1053.0 | 1621.0 | 4436.0 | 6955.0 | 9124.0 | 11527.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2637.0 | 637.0 | 790.0 | 1027.0 | 1586.0 | 4362.0 | 6862.0 | 8991.0 | 11348.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2562.0 | 614.0 | 764.0 | 993.0 | 1534.0 | 4244.0 | 6693.0 | 8764.0 | 11064.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 2447.0 | 583.0 | 727.0 | 946.0 | 1462.0 | 4070.0 | 6432.0 | 8414.0 | 10633.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 2293.0 | 544.0 | 679.0 | 885.0 | 1369.0 | 3838.0 | 6075.0 | 7940.0 | 10022.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 2087.0 | 492.0 | 617.0 | 803.0 | 1246.0 | 3515.0 | 5581.0 | 7280.0 | 9164.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1852.0 | 433.0 | 545.0 | 710.0 | 1107.0 | 3140.0 | 5008.0 | 6523.0 | 8175.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1620.0 | 375.0 | 473.0 | 617.0 | 970.0 | 2766.0 | 4427.0 | 5779.0 | 7220.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1414.0 | 323.0 | 409.0 | 536.0 | 846.0 | 2430.0 | 3901.0 | 5122.0 | 6396.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1236.0 | 279.0 | 353.0 | 465.0 | 738.0 | 2132.0 | 3435.0 | 4543.0 | 5683.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1076.0 | 239.0 | 303.0 | 401.0 | 639.0 | 1855.0 | 3005.0 | 4000.0 | 5011.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 936.0 | 204.0 | 259.0 | 344.0 | 551.0 | 1608.0 | 2629.0 | 3510.0 | 4400.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 815.0 | 175.0 | 221.0 | 296.0 | 476.0 | 1395.0 | 2305.0 | 3082.0 | 3872.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 710.0 | 150.0 | 189.0 | 254.0 | 410.0 | 1212.0 | 2020.0 | 2705.0 | 3425.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 618.0 | 128.0 | 162.0 | 219.0 | 354.0 | 1057.0 | 1770.0 | 2378.0 | 3043.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 531.0 | 108.0 | 138.0 | 187.0 | 302.0 | 916.0 | 1532.0 | 2072.0 | 2684.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 447.0 | 89.0 | 114.0 | 156.0 | 253.0 | 781.0 | 1303.0 | 1780.0 | 2327.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 374.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 128.0 | 210.0 | 661.0 | 1104.0 | 1519.0 | 1995.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 311.0 | 59.0 | 77.0 | 104.0 | 174.0 | 558.0 | 937.0 | 1298.0 | 1705.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 263.0 | 49.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 146.0 | 478.0 | 808.0 | 1129.0 | 1486.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 232.0 | 43.0 | 55.0 | 74.0 | 128.0 | 426.0 | 723.0 | 1018.0 | 1344.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 210.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 67.0 | 116.0 | 391.0 | 666.0 | 943.0 | 1252.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 195.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 107.0 | 364.0 | 625.0 | 881.0 | 1179.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 181.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 100.0 | 340.0 | 590.0 | 825.0 | 1110.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 168.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 92.0 | 316.0 | 556.0 | 771.0 | 1042.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 157.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 85.0 | 296.0 | 524.0 | 726.0 | 987.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 148.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 279.0 | 494.0 | 686.0 | 938.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 138.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 74.0 | 261.0 | 462.0 | 643.0 | 880.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 126.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 67.0 | 239.0 | 424.0 | 592.0 | 809.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 115.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 61.0 | 218.0 | 387.0 | 543.0 | 741.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 107.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 57.0 | 203.0 | 362.0 | 509.0 | 693.0 |
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