Prediction 2728
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RN (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 113.0 | 36.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 169.0 | 241.0 | 298.0 | 360.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 113.0 | 35.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 75.0 | 171.0 | 245.0 | 305.0 | 368.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 110.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 73.0 | 168.0 | 243.0 | 304.0 | 366.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 106.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 163.0 | 237.0 | 298.0 | 358.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 103.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 67.0 | 159.0 | 231.0 | 292.0 | 351.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 102.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 67.0 | 158.0 | 231.0 | 292.0 | 353.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 106.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 165.0 | 242.0 | 307.0 | 373.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 117.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 181.0 | 267.0 | 340.0 | 415.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 135.0 | 38.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 88.0 | 209.0 | 310.0 | 395.0 | 482.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 163.0 | 46.0 | 56.0 | 71.0 | 106.0 | 251.0 | 375.0 | 478.0 | 581.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 202.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 88.0 | 131.0 | 310.0 | 464.0 | 592.0 | 718.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 251.0 | 71.0 | 86.0 | 109.0 | 163.0 | 387.0 | 578.0 | 735.0 | 892.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 307.0 | 87.0 | 105.0 | 133.0 | 199.0 | 475.0 | 708.0 | 898.0 | 1090.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 363.0 | 102.0 | 124.0 | 158.0 | 235.0 | 562.0 | 837.0 | 1058.0 | 1287.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 413.0 | 116.0 | 141.0 | 179.0 | 267.0 | 640.0 | 952.0 | 1202.0 | 1464.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 453.0 | 126.0 | 154.0 | 196.0 | 293.0 | 702.0 | 1043.0 | 1317.0 | 1606.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 486.0 | 134.0 | 164.0 | 209.0 | 314.0 | 753.0 | 1118.0 | 1411.0 | 1728.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 509.0 | 139.0 | 171.0 | 217.0 | 328.0 | 788.0 | 1169.0 | 1475.0 | 1818.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 522.0 | 141.0 | 174.0 | 222.0 | 335.0 | 808.0 | 1200.0 | 1514.0 | 1881.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 530.0 | 143.0 | 176.0 | 223.0 | 340.0 | 819.0 | 1218.0 | 1540.0 | 1927.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 534.0 | 143.0 | 176.0 | 224.0 | 341.0 | 824.0 | 1228.0 | 1555.0 | 1953.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 535.0 | 143.0 | 176.0 | 224.0 | 341.0 | 826.0 | 1233.0 | 1565.0 | 1963.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 540.0 | 143.0 | 177.0 | 226.0 | 344.0 | 835.0 | 1251.0 | 1593.0 | 1989.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 553.0 | 146.0 | 181.0 | 231.0 | 352.0 | 858.0 | 1289.0 | 1645.0 | 2046.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 569.0 | 149.0 | 186.0 | 238.0 | 362.0 | 886.0 | 1334.0 | 1707.0 | 2114.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 585.0 | 152.0 | 190.0 | 245.0 | 371.0 | 914.0 | 1377.0 | 1766.0 | 2180.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 589.0 | 152.0 | 191.0 | 246.0 | 372.0 | 922.0 | 1389.0 | 1788.0 | 2202.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 574.0 | 147.0 | 186.0 | 240.0 | 362.0 | 902.0 | 1358.0 | 1755.0 | 2157.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 543.0 | 139.0 | 175.0 | 226.0 | 341.0 | 854.0 | 1286.0 | 1667.0 | 2051.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 502.0 | 128.0 | 162.0 | 208.0 | 315.0 | 792.0 | 1193.0 | 1549.0 | 1913.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 452.0 | 116.0 | 146.0 | 186.0 | 283.0 | 714.0 | 1077.0 | 1397.0 | 1734.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 398.0 | 103.0 | 129.0 | 164.0 | 250.0 | 631.0 | 954.0 | 1236.0 | 1539.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 348.0 | 91.0 | 113.0 | 143.0 | 219.0 | 553.0 | 838.0 | 1086.0 | 1354.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 306.0 | 80.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 | 192.0 | 486.0 | 740.0 | 958.0 | 1190.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 273.0 | 72.0 | 89.0 | 113.0 | 172.0 | 434.0 | 664.0 | 859.0 | 1062.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 250.0 | 66.0 | 81.0 | 103.0 | 157.0 | 397.0 | 610.0 | 789.0 | 971.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 231.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 96.0 | 145.0 | 367.0 | 565.0 | 730.0 | 899.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 213.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | 89.0 | 134.0 | 340.0 | 523.0 | 676.0 | 834.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 198.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 316.0 | 485.0 | 628.0 | 778.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 184.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | 76.0 | 115.0 | 294.0 | 449.0 | 583.0 | 727.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 171.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 106.0 | 273.0 | 417.0 | 542.0 | 680.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 162.0 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 100.0 | 258.0 | 394.0 | 513.0 | 646.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 156.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 63.0 | 96.0 | 248.0 | 380.0 | 493.0 | 622.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 151.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 241.0 | 370.0 | 479.0 | 602.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 147.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 | 91.0 | 236.0 | 363.0 | 468.0 | 587.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 144.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 89.0 | 231.0 | 355.0 | 457.0 | 571.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 139.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 86.0 | 223.0 | 344.0 | 442.0 | 552.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 133.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 82.0 | 214.0 | 330.0 | 424.0 | 530.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 126.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 204.0 | 313.0 | 403.0 | 505.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 117.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 190.0 | 292.0 | 376.0 | 472.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 109.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 67.0 | 177.0 | 271.0 | 351.0 | 441.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 103.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 168.0 | 256.0 | 332.0 | 418.0 |
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