Prediction 2730
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RR (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 29.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 70.0 | 103.0 | 144.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 68.0 | 99.0 | 144.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 32.0 | 66.0 | 102.0 | 143.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 34.0 | 67.0 | 102.0 | 148.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 83.0 | 131.0 | 183.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | 124.0 | 186.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 88.0 | 132.0 | 195.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 43.0 | 89.0 | 136.0 | 201.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 44.0 | 93.0 | 149.0 | 213.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 86.0 | 130.0 | 197.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 42.0 | 88.0 | 134.0 | 198.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 40.0 | 83.0 | 128.0 | 190.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 35.0 | 73.0 | 117.0 | 169.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 138.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 | 57.0 | 93.0 | 132.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 25.0 | 53.0 | 84.0 | 121.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 102.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 38.0 | 61.0 | 89.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 88.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 35.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 81.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 88.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 39.0 | 62.0 | 95.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 93.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 40.0 | 64.0 | 97.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 49.0 | 79.0 | 115.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 51.0 | 79.0 | 119.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 53.0 | 83.0 | 122.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 52.0 | 84.0 | 123.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 56.0 | 93.0 | 132.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 54.0 | 86.0 | 130.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 59.0 | 94.0 | 139.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 58.0 | 92.0 | 139.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 58.0 | 94.0 | 139.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 51.0 | 83.0 | 126.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 53.0 | 87.0 | 130.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 52.0 | 83.0 | 128.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 49.0 | 80.0 | 121.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 71.0 | 110.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 74.0 | 111.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 107.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 42.0 | 68.0 | 105.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 18.0 | 41.0 | 67.0 | 104.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 44.0 | 72.0 | 110.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 71.0 | 108.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 45.0 | 74.0 | 113.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 47.0 | 78.0 | 119.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 51.0 | 84.0 | 127.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 52.0 | 85.0 | 129.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 55.0 | 90.0 | 137.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 57.0 | 95.0 | 143.0 |
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