Prediction 2731
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RS (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 74.0 | 155.0 | 242.0 | 353.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 74.0 | 156.0 | 247.0 | 366.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 75.0 | 163.0 | 260.0 | 390.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 35.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 85.0 | 185.0 | 303.0 | 447.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 42.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 101.0 | 218.0 | 351.0 | 526.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 44.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 105.0 | 224.0 | 356.0 | 548.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 46.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 110.0 | 232.0 | 367.0 | 560.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 53.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 123.0 | 264.0 | 425.0 | 652.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 67.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 28.0 | 155.0 | 339.0 | 546.0 | 825.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 87.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 35.0 | 203.0 | 450.0 | 719.0 | 1076.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 120.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 49.0 | 286.0 | 640.0 | 1028.0 | 1522.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 164.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 67.0 | 397.0 | 896.0 | 1447.0 | 2167.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 221.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 90.0 | 543.0 | 1229.0 | 1995.0 | 3037.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 293.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 120.0 | 723.0 | 1635.0 | 2672.0 | 4127.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 380.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 69.0 | 156.0 | 940.0 | 2123.0 | 3501.0 | 5439.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 492.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 89.0 | 201.0 | 1212.0 | 2734.0 | 4534.0 | 7027.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 641.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 114.0 | 261.0 | 1569.0 | 3534.0 | 5859.0 | 8999.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 853.0 | 60.0 | 93.0 | 151.0 | 346.0 | 2080.0 | 4684.0 | 7733.0 | 11713.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1152.0 | 81.0 | 127.0 | 203.0 | 465.0 | 2805.0 | 6302.0 | 10343.0 | 15550.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1551.0 | 111.0 | 173.0 | 274.0 | 626.0 | 3781.0 | 8481.0 | 13813.0 | 20739.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2061.0 | 149.0 | 231.0 | 366.0 | 831.0 | 5036.0 | 11282.0 | 18292.0 | 27504.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2639.0 | 192.0 | 297.0 | 472.0 | 1065.0 | 6470.0 | 14495.0 | 23446.0 | 35430.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 3249.0 | 239.0 | 366.0 | 585.0 | 1311.0 | 7997.0 | 17900.0 | 28965.0 | 44060.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 3806.0 | 281.0 | 427.0 | 689.0 | 1537.0 | 9403.0 | 21011.0 | 33957.0 | 52167.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 4212.0 | 311.0 | 469.0 | 764.0 | 1698.0 | 10432.0 | 23269.0 | 37660.0 | 58370.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 4452.0 | 326.0 | 491.0 | 807.0 | 1795.0 | 11027.0 | 24605.0 | 39960.0 | 62292.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 4471.0 | 324.0 | 489.0 | 808.0 | 1801.0 | 11066.0 | 24740.0 | 40345.0 | 63264.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 4266.0 | 306.0 | 462.0 | 767.0 | 1713.0 | 10549.0 | 23627.0 | 38629.0 | 60623.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 3851.0 | 274.0 | 415.0 | 689.0 | 1542.0 | 9507.0 | 21369.0 | 35006.0 | 54812.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 3334.0 | 236.0 | 360.0 | 595.0 | 1332.0 | 8212.0 | 18568.0 | 30480.0 | 47367.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 2763.0 | 195.0 | 299.0 | 490.0 | 1103.0 | 6793.0 | 15468.0 | 25383.0 | 39134.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 2211.0 | 156.0 | 240.0 | 391.0 | 883.0 | 5432.0 | 12462.0 | 20403.0 | 31147.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1712.0 | 121.0 | 187.0 | 302.0 | 685.0 | 4206.0 | 9724.0 | 15866.0 | 24009.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1292.0 | 91.0 | 141.0 | 227.0 | 517.0 | 3185.0 | 7401.0 | 12050.0 | 18152.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 953.0 | 67.0 | 104.0 | 167.0 | 382.0 | 2365.0 | 5519.0 | 8977.0 | 13518.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 691.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 121.0 | 277.0 | 1738.0 | 4055.0 | 6602.0 | 10000.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 502.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 200.0 | 1283.0 | 2984.0 | 4880.0 | 7476.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 364.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 63.0 | 144.0 | 944.0 | 2187.0 | 3604.0 | 5609.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 261.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 44.0 | 102.0 | 687.0 | 1591.0 | 2649.0 | 4172.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 185.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 71.0 | 492.0 | 1144.0 | 1931.0 | 3042.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 128.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 48.0 | 342.0 | 809.0 | 1378.0 | 2139.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 88.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 237.0 | 571.0 | 977.0 | 1478.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 60.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 163.0 | 400.0 | 675.0 | 1008.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 40.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 111.0 | 278.0 | 467.0 | 698.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 85.0 | 216.0 | 366.0 | 564.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 24.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 68.0 | 172.0 | 296.0 | 488.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 54.0 | 135.0 | 234.0 | 395.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 103.0 | 184.0 | 319.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 101.0 | 185.0 | 307.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 39.0 | 100.0 | 178.0 | 299.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 41.0 | 106.0 | 185.0 | 304.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 105.0 | 183.0 | 302.0 |
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