Prediction 2732

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model LNCC-AR_p-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=SC (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 288.0 27.0 39.0 60.0 126.0 654.0 1345.0 2123.0 3114.0
2024-10-13 277.0 25.0 37.0 57.0 120.0 635.0 1311.0 2078.0 3075.0
2024-10-20 275.0 24.0 36.0 56.0 119.0 635.0 1313.0 2082.0 3112.0
2024-10-27 279.0 24.0 36.0 56.0 121.0 644.0 1337.0 2119.0 3196.0
2024-11-03 285.0 24.0 36.0 57.0 123.0 658.0 1372.0 2177.0 3305.0
2024-11-10 291.0 25.0 37.0 58.0 125.0 676.0 1424.0 2272.0 3456.0
2024-11-17 304.0 26.0 38.0 61.0 130.0 706.0 1504.0 2418.0 3642.0
2024-11-24 325.0 28.0 41.0 65.0 140.0 759.0 1633.0 2640.0 3915.0
2024-12-01 364.0 32.0 47.0 73.0 156.0 858.0 1856.0 2998.0 4402.0
2024-12-08 431.0 37.0 56.0 86.0 185.0 1025.0 2219.0 3560.0 5236.0
2024-12-15 534.0 45.0 68.0 105.0 229.0 1282.0 2766.0 4397.0 6541.0
2024-12-22 671.0 55.0 83.0 130.0 285.0 1616.0 3465.0 5467.0 8237.0
2024-12-29 822.0 66.0 98.0 157.0 347.0 1985.0 4226.0 6647.0 10119.0
2025-01-05 974.0 76.0 114.0 184.0 408.0 2352.0 4981.0 7845.0 12014.0
2025-01-12 1126.0 88.0 132.0 213.0 469.0 2714.0 5759.0 9119.0 13937.0
2025-01-19 1311.0 104.0 155.0 251.0 547.0 3154.0 6752.0 10765.0 16343.0
2025-01-26 1591.0 130.0 193.0 309.0 667.0 3821.0 8294.0 13287.0 19992.0
2025-02-02 2044.0 168.0 251.0 399.0 860.0 4907.0 10789.0 17301.0 25916.0
2025-02-09 2734.0 223.0 336.0 531.0 1151.0 6568.0 14564.0 23267.0 34938.0
2025-02-16 3686.0 296.0 447.0 706.0 1546.0 8863.0 19733.0 31342.0 47425.0
2025-02-23 4842.0 381.0 576.0 915.0 2021.0 11649.0 25954.0 41007.0 62535.0
2025-03-02 6087.0 471.0 711.0 1138.0 2528.0 14644.0 32567.0 51201.0 78685.0
2025-03-09 7220.0 552.0 831.0 1338.0 2983.0 17353.0 38506.0 60341.0 93326.0
2025-03-16 8085.0 614.0 922.0 1490.0 3321.0 19410.0 42960.0 67242.0 104294.0
2025-03-23 8503.0 647.0 970.0 1568.0 3484.0 20415.0 45155.0 70715.0 109640.0
2025-03-30 8458.0 643.0 966.0 1557.0 3452.0 20305.0 44923.0 70591.0 108857.0
2025-04-06 8024.0 613.0 923.0 1478.0 3268.0 19294.0 42783.0 67592.0 103647.0
2025-04-13 7372.0 566.0 855.0 1359.0 2999.0 17792.0 39571.0 62973.0 95780.0
2025-04-20 6671.0 512.0 776.0 1228.0 2713.0 16165.0 36095.0 57966.0 87280.0
2025-04-27 5999.0 459.0 697.0 1100.0 2438.0 14596.0 32731.0 53006.0 79362.0
2025-05-04 5352.0 405.0 616.0 972.0 2171.0 13060.0 29381.0 47853.0 71569.0
2025-05-11 4701.0 350.0 532.0 842.0 1897.0 11516.0 25982.0 42407.0 63621.0
2025-05-18 4029.0 294.0 445.0 710.0 1613.0 9913.0 22429.0 36618.0 55308.0
2025-05-25 3345.0 238.0 359.0 580.0 1327.0 8266.0 18763.0 30563.0 46504.0
2025-06-01 2668.0 185.0 279.0 456.0 1048.0 6633.0 15109.0 24556.0 37608.0
2025-06-08 2019.0 136.0 206.0 340.0 786.0 5069.0 11600.0 18817.0 28976.0
2025-06-15 1453.0 93.0 143.0 240.0 558.0 3696.0 8511.0 13823.0 21330.0
2025-06-22 1006.0 61.0 95.0 162.0 381.0 2604.0 6057.0 9913.0 15321.0
2025-06-29 690.0 38.0 62.0 107.0 256.0 1825.0 4302.0 7159.0 11091.0
2025-07-06 495.0 25.0 41.0 72.0 180.0 1336.0 3203.0 5441.0 8508.0
2025-07-13 388.0 18.0 31.0 54.0 139.0 1064.0 2599.0 4501.0 7154.0
2025-07-20 333.0 15.0 25.0 45.0 117.0 919.0 2292.0 4006.0 6510.0
2025-07-27 301.0 14.0 23.0 41.0 105.0 837.0 2133.0 3732.0 6191.0
2025-08-03 272.0 13.0 21.0 36.0 94.0 771.0 2010.0 3529.0 5947.0
2025-08-10 243.0 11.0 18.0 32.0 82.0 707.0 1878.0 3334.0 5665.0
2025-08-17 216.0 9.0 15.0 27.0 72.0 648.0 1749.0 3141.0 5370.0
2025-08-24 193.0 8.0 13.0 23.0 64.0 594.0 1621.0 2945.0 5049.0
2025-08-31 174.0 6.0 11.0 21.0 57.0 546.0 1499.0 2748.0 4725.0
2025-09-07 159.0 5.0 10.0 18.0 51.0 501.0 1383.0 2555.0 4415.0
2025-09-14 145.0 5.0 9.0 16.0 46.0 460.0 1279.0 2375.0 4126.0
2025-09-21 135.0 4.0 8.0 14.0 42.0 430.0 1201.0 2237.0 3903.0
2025-09-28 129.0 4.0 7.0 13.0 39.0 408.0 1147.0 2138.0 3741.0
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