Prediction 2732
Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=SC (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 288.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 126.0 | 654.0 | 1345.0 | 2123.0 | 3114.0 |
2024-10-13 | 277.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 120.0 | 635.0 | 1311.0 | 2078.0 | 3075.0 |
2024-10-20 | 275.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 56.0 | 119.0 | 635.0 | 1313.0 | 2082.0 | 3112.0 |
2024-10-27 | 279.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 56.0 | 121.0 | 644.0 | 1337.0 | 2119.0 | 3196.0 |
2024-11-03 | 285.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 123.0 | 658.0 | 1372.0 | 2177.0 | 3305.0 |
2024-11-10 | 291.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 125.0 | 676.0 | 1424.0 | 2272.0 | 3456.0 |
2024-11-17 | 304.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 61.0 | 130.0 | 706.0 | 1504.0 | 2418.0 | 3642.0 |
2024-11-24 | 325.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 65.0 | 140.0 | 759.0 | 1633.0 | 2640.0 | 3915.0 |
2024-12-01 | 364.0 | 32.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 156.0 | 858.0 | 1856.0 | 2998.0 | 4402.0 |
2024-12-08 | 431.0 | 37.0 | 56.0 | 86.0 | 185.0 | 1025.0 | 2219.0 | 3560.0 | 5236.0 |
2024-12-15 | 534.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 105.0 | 229.0 | 1282.0 | 2766.0 | 4397.0 | 6541.0 |
2024-12-22 | 671.0 | 55.0 | 83.0 | 130.0 | 285.0 | 1616.0 | 3465.0 | 5467.0 | 8237.0 |
2024-12-29 | 822.0 | 66.0 | 98.0 | 157.0 | 347.0 | 1985.0 | 4226.0 | 6647.0 | 10119.0 |
2025-01-05 | 974.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 184.0 | 408.0 | 2352.0 | 4981.0 | 7845.0 | 12014.0 |
2025-01-12 | 1126.0 | 88.0 | 132.0 | 213.0 | 469.0 | 2714.0 | 5759.0 | 9119.0 | 13937.0 |
2025-01-19 | 1311.0 | 104.0 | 155.0 | 251.0 | 547.0 | 3154.0 | 6752.0 | 10765.0 | 16343.0 |
2025-01-26 | 1591.0 | 130.0 | 193.0 | 309.0 | 667.0 | 3821.0 | 8294.0 | 13287.0 | 19992.0 |
2025-02-02 | 2044.0 | 168.0 | 251.0 | 399.0 | 860.0 | 4907.0 | 10789.0 | 17301.0 | 25916.0 |
2025-02-09 | 2734.0 | 223.0 | 336.0 | 531.0 | 1151.0 | 6568.0 | 14564.0 | 23267.0 | 34938.0 |
2025-02-16 | 3686.0 | 296.0 | 447.0 | 706.0 | 1546.0 | 8863.0 | 19733.0 | 31342.0 | 47425.0 |
2025-02-23 | 4842.0 | 381.0 | 576.0 | 915.0 | 2021.0 | 11649.0 | 25954.0 | 41007.0 | 62535.0 |
2025-03-02 | 6087.0 | 471.0 | 711.0 | 1138.0 | 2528.0 | 14644.0 | 32567.0 | 51201.0 | 78685.0 |
2025-03-09 | 7220.0 | 552.0 | 831.0 | 1338.0 | 2983.0 | 17353.0 | 38506.0 | 60341.0 | 93326.0 |
2025-03-16 | 8085.0 | 614.0 | 922.0 | 1490.0 | 3321.0 | 19410.0 | 42960.0 | 67242.0 | 104294.0 |
2025-03-23 | 8503.0 | 647.0 | 970.0 | 1568.0 | 3484.0 | 20415.0 | 45155.0 | 70715.0 | 109640.0 |
2025-03-30 | 8458.0 | 643.0 | 966.0 | 1557.0 | 3452.0 | 20305.0 | 44923.0 | 70591.0 | 108857.0 |
2025-04-06 | 8024.0 | 613.0 | 923.0 | 1478.0 | 3268.0 | 19294.0 | 42783.0 | 67592.0 | 103647.0 |
2025-04-13 | 7372.0 | 566.0 | 855.0 | 1359.0 | 2999.0 | 17792.0 | 39571.0 | 62973.0 | 95780.0 |
2025-04-20 | 6671.0 | 512.0 | 776.0 | 1228.0 | 2713.0 | 16165.0 | 36095.0 | 57966.0 | 87280.0 |
2025-04-27 | 5999.0 | 459.0 | 697.0 | 1100.0 | 2438.0 | 14596.0 | 32731.0 | 53006.0 | 79362.0 |
2025-05-04 | 5352.0 | 405.0 | 616.0 | 972.0 | 2171.0 | 13060.0 | 29381.0 | 47853.0 | 71569.0 |
2025-05-11 | 4701.0 | 350.0 | 532.0 | 842.0 | 1897.0 | 11516.0 | 25982.0 | 42407.0 | 63621.0 |
2025-05-18 | 4029.0 | 294.0 | 445.0 | 710.0 | 1613.0 | 9913.0 | 22429.0 | 36618.0 | 55308.0 |
2025-05-25 | 3345.0 | 238.0 | 359.0 | 580.0 | 1327.0 | 8266.0 | 18763.0 | 30563.0 | 46504.0 |
2025-06-01 | 2668.0 | 185.0 | 279.0 | 456.0 | 1048.0 | 6633.0 | 15109.0 | 24556.0 | 37608.0 |
2025-06-08 | 2019.0 | 136.0 | 206.0 | 340.0 | 786.0 | 5069.0 | 11600.0 | 18817.0 | 28976.0 |
2025-06-15 | 1453.0 | 93.0 | 143.0 | 240.0 | 558.0 | 3696.0 | 8511.0 | 13823.0 | 21330.0 |
2025-06-22 | 1006.0 | 61.0 | 95.0 | 162.0 | 381.0 | 2604.0 | 6057.0 | 9913.0 | 15321.0 |
2025-06-29 | 690.0 | 38.0 | 62.0 | 107.0 | 256.0 | 1825.0 | 4302.0 | 7159.0 | 11091.0 |
2025-07-06 | 495.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | 180.0 | 1336.0 | 3203.0 | 5441.0 | 8508.0 |
2025-07-13 | 388.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 139.0 | 1064.0 | 2599.0 | 4501.0 | 7154.0 |
2025-07-20 | 333.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 117.0 | 919.0 | 2292.0 | 4006.0 | 6510.0 |
2025-07-27 | 301.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 105.0 | 837.0 | 2133.0 | 3732.0 | 6191.0 |
2025-08-03 | 272.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 94.0 | 771.0 | 2010.0 | 3529.0 | 5947.0 |
2025-08-10 | 243.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | 707.0 | 1878.0 | 3334.0 | 5665.0 |
2025-08-17 | 216.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 72.0 | 648.0 | 1749.0 | 3141.0 | 5370.0 |
2025-08-24 | 193.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 64.0 | 594.0 | 1621.0 | 2945.0 | 5049.0 |
2025-08-31 | 174.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 57.0 | 546.0 | 1499.0 | 2748.0 | 4725.0 |
2025-09-07 | 159.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 51.0 | 501.0 | 1383.0 | 2555.0 | 4415.0 |
2025-09-14 | 145.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 46.0 | 460.0 | 1279.0 | 2375.0 | 4126.0 |
2025-09-21 | 135.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 430.0 | 1201.0 | 2237.0 | 3903.0 |
2025-09-28 | 129.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 39.0 | 408.0 | 1147.0 | 2138.0 | 3741.0 |