Prediction 2734
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=SP (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 1685.0 | 335.0 | 439.0 | 593.0 | 971.0 | 2938.0 | 4845.0 | 6633.0 | 8522.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1624.0 | 313.0 | 411.0 | 560.0 | 926.0 | 2892.0 | 4859.0 | 6739.0 | 8700.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1609.0 | 300.0 | 397.0 | 543.0 | 912.0 | 2910.0 | 4956.0 | 6929.0 | 8963.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1659.0 | 300.0 | 401.0 | 550.0 | 934.0 | 3017.0 | 5191.0 | 7280.0 | 9439.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1796.0 | 313.0 | 423.0 | 584.0 | 1001.0 | 3256.0 | 5653.0 | 7915.0 | 10306.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 1930.0 | 322.0 | 438.0 | 607.0 | 1053.0 | 3530.0 | 6219.0 | 8733.0 | 11410.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 2113.0 | 341.0 | 465.0 | 649.0 | 1134.0 | 3902.0 | 6942.0 | 9755.0 | 12801.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 2312.0 | 364.0 | 495.0 | 697.0 | 1225.0 | 4303.0 | 7698.0 | 10817.0 | 14180.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2533.0 | 393.0 | 535.0 | 757.0 | 1337.0 | 4744.0 | 8478.0 | 11871.0 | 15663.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 2798.0 | 431.0 | 587.0 | 835.0 | 1480.0 | 5271.0 | 9367.0 | 13092.0 | 17510.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 3201.0 | 487.0 | 668.0 | 952.0 | 1698.0 | 6060.0 | 10706.0 | 15021.0 | 20405.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 3830.0 | 575.0 | 797.0 | 1134.0 | 2034.0 | 7291.0 | 12847.0 | 18190.0 | 24922.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 4742.0 | 707.0 | 986.0 | 1398.0 | 2521.0 | 9079.0 | 16036.0 | 22930.0 | 31366.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 5931.0 | 886.0 | 1236.0 | 1745.0 | 3156.0 | 11407.0 | 20323.0 | 29191.0 | 39571.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 7509.0 | 1133.0 | 1572.0 | 2208.0 | 3998.0 | 14459.0 | 26075.0 | 37412.0 | 50271.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 9545.0 | 1460.0 | 1999.0 | 2805.0 | 5077.0 | 18384.0 | 33586.0 | 47968.0 | 63963.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 12149.0 | 1872.0 | 2535.0 | 3562.0 | 6438.0 | 23396.0 | 43204.0 | 61440.0 | 81399.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 15376.0 | 2380.0 | 3190.0 | 4496.0 | 8115.0 | 29614.0 | 55070.0 | 78059.0 | 102976.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 19039.0 | 2953.0 | 3927.0 | 5557.0 | 10017.0 | 36695.0 | 68425.0 | 96870.0 | 127512.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 22973.0 | 3574.0 | 4731.0 | 6708.0 | 12064.0 | 44354.0 | 82649.0 | 116913.0 | 153735.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 26916.0 | 4189.0 | 5543.0 | 7873.0 | 14128.0 | 52050.0 | 96693.0 | 136685.0 | 180189.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 30675.0 | 4769.0 | 6333.0 | 8983.0 | 16101.0 | 59423.0 | 109894.0 | 155445.0 | 205712.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 34088.0 | 5292.0 | 7065.0 | 10005.0 | 17888.0 | 66111.0 | 121633.0 | 172356.0 | 229507.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 36974.0 | 5720.0 | 7706.0 | 10878.0 | 19396.0 | 71739.0 | 131318.0 | 186553.0 | 250034.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 38841.0 | 5990.0 | 8146.0 | 11455.0 | 20379.0 | 75366.0 | 137354.0 | 195833.0 | 263494.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 39397.0 | 6065.0 | 8311.0 | 11656.0 | 20687.0 | 76481.0 | 138992.0 | 198666.0 | 267835.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 38612.0 | 5945.0 | 8180.0 | 11451.0 | 20270.0 | 74878.0 | 135962.0 | 194593.0 | 261949.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 36533.0 | 5622.0 | 7755.0 | 10845.0 | 19179.0 | 70754.0 | 128471.0 | 183593.0 | 247134.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 33503.0 | 5151.0 | 7102.0 | 9948.0 | 17582.0 | 64768.0 | 117684.0 | 167831.0 | 225786.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 29918.0 | 4589.0 | 6310.0 | 8872.0 | 15689.0 | 57677.0 | 104988.0 | 149425.0 | 200843.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 25964.0 | 3967.0 | 5440.0 | 7677.0 | 13590.0 | 49919.0 | 90987.0 | 129244.0 | 173484.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 21705.0 | 3295.0 | 4510.0 | 6384.0 | 11326.0 | 41645.0 | 75892.0 | 107769.0 | 144365.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 17372.0 | 2616.0 | 3579.0 | 5074.0 | 9025.0 | 33256.0 | 60558.0 | 86030.0 | 115041.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 13427.0 | 2005.0 | 2742.0 | 3891.0 | 6941.0 | 25663.0 | 46625.0 | 66233.0 | 88698.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 10110.0 | 1498.0 | 2047.0 | 2903.0 | 5199.0 | 19337.0 | 34970.0 | 49619.0 | 66829.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 7514.0 | 1103.0 | 1505.0 | 2132.0 | 3840.0 | 14415.0 | 25907.0 | 36732.0 | 49951.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 5551.0 | 805.0 | 1099.0 | 1556.0 | 2819.0 | 10712.0 | 19142.0 | 27175.0 | 37337.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 4099.0 | 586.0 | 805.0 | 1138.0 | 2072.0 | 7969.0 | 14207.0 | 20218.0 | 27943.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 3040.0 | 431.0 | 596.0 | 841.0 | 1536.0 | 5958.0 | 10652.0 | 15173.0 | 20921.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 2288.0 | 323.0 | 450.0 | 634.0 | 1160.0 | 4517.0 | 8151.0 | 11584.0 | 15846.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 1777.0 | 249.0 | 346.0 | 490.0 | 902.0 | 3532.0 | 6458.0 | 9158.0 | 12410.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 1445.0 | 199.0 | 275.0 | 395.0 | 732.0 | 2891.0 | 5354.0 | 7616.0 | 10268.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 1219.0 | 163.0 | 224.0 | 328.0 | 613.0 | 2444.0 | 4567.0 | 6567.0 | 8812.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 1017.0 | 133.0 | 182.0 | 270.0 | 509.0 | 2042.0 | 3834.0 | 5613.0 | 7459.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 813.0 | 105.0 | 145.0 | 216.0 | 407.0 | 1641.0 | 3094.0 | 4598.0 | 6064.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 626.0 | 81.0 | 112.0 | 165.0 | 309.0 | 1266.0 | 2398.0 | 3614.0 | 4748.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 468.0 | 59.0 | 83.0 | 120.0 | 227.0 | 962.0 | 1826.0 | 2754.0 | 3734.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 374.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 92.0 | 175.0 | 787.0 | 1504.0 | 2260.0 | 3189.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 346.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 81.0 | 159.0 | 736.0 | 1423.0 | 2109.0 | 3062.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 344.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 80.0 | 158.0 | 730.0 | 1420.0 | 2077.0 | 3033.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 328.0 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 76.0 | 151.0 | 692.0 | 1357.0 | 2005.0 | 2904.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 299.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 136.0 | 631.0 | 1260.0 | 1900.0 | 2730.0 |
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