Prediction 2899

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=AC (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 18.91 1.82 2.57 3.99 8.29 40.42 83.66 126.06 187.79
2022-10-16 21.97 2.11 2.98 4.64 9.63 46.95 97.18 146.43 218.12
2022-10-23 25.51 2.45 3.47 5.38 11.19 54.53 112.87 170.07 253.34
2022-10-30 29.63 2.85 4.02 6.25 12.99 63.33 131.07 197.50 294.20
2022-11-06 34.40 3.31 4.67 7.26 15.08 73.54 152.19 229.32 341.61
2022-11-13 39.94 3.84 5.42 8.43 17.51 85.37 176.68 266.22 396.56
2022-11-20 46.35 4.45 6.29 9.78 20.32 99.07 205.04 308.96 460.23
2022-11-27 53.77 5.17 7.30 11.35 23.57 114.93 237.87 358.42 533.91
2022-12-04 62.35 5.99 8.47 13.15 27.33 133.26 275.81 415.59 619.07
2022-12-11 72.24 6.94 9.81 15.24 31.67 154.41 319.57 481.54 717.30
2022-12-18 83.62 8.04 11.36 17.64 36.66 178.75 369.94 557.43 830.35
2022-12-25 96.68 9.29 13.13 20.40 42.39 206.66 427.70 644.47 960.01
2023-01-01 111.59 10.73 15.16 23.55 48.92 238.53 493.66 743.85 1108.05
2023-01-08 128.51 12.35 17.45 27.12 56.34 274.69 568.51 856.64 1276.06
2023-01-15 147.56 14.18 20.04 31.14 64.69 315.41 652.78 983.61 1465.20
2023-01-22 168.77 16.22 22.92 35.61 73.99 360.75 746.61 1125.00 1675.82
2023-01-29 192.05 18.46 26.08 40.52 84.20 410.50 849.58 1280.16 1906.95
2023-02-05 217.09 20.87 29.48 45.81 95.18 464.04 960.39 1447.13 2155.66
2023-02-12 243.35 23.39 33.05 51.35 106.69 520.16 1076.53 1622.13 2416.34
2023-02-19 269.90 25.94 36.66 56.95 118.33 576.92 1194.00 1799.14 2680.02
2023-02-26 295.48 28.40 40.13 62.35 129.55 631.61 1307.18 1969.67 2934.05
2023-03-05 318.49 30.61 43.26 67.20 139.64 680.79 1408.97 2123.05 3162.53
2023-03-12 337.15 32.40 45.79 71.14 147.81 720.66 1491.49 2247.40 3347.76
2023-03-19 349.75 33.62 47.50 73.80 153.34 747.60 1547.23 2331.39 3472.88
2023-03-26 355.01 34.12 48.22 74.91 155.65 758.85 1570.53 2366.49 3525.16
2023-04-02 352.38 33.87 47.86 74.35 154.49 753.21 1558.85 2348.90 3498.96
2023-04-09 342.12 32.88 46.46 72.19 149.99 731.29 1513.49 2280.55 3397.13
2023-04-16 325.32 31.27 44.18 68.64 142.63 695.38 1439.16 2168.55 3230.31
2023-04-23 303.57 29.18 41.23 64.05 133.09 648.89 1342.94 2023.56 3014.33
2023-04-30 278.66 26.78 37.85 58.80 122.17 595.64 1232.73 1857.50 2766.96
2023-05-07 252.27 24.25 34.26 53.23 110.60 539.23 1115.99 1681.59 2504.93
2023-05-14 225.79 21.70 30.67 47.64 98.99 482.64 998.88 1505.13 2242.06
2023-05-21 200.26 19.25 27.20 42.26 87.80 428.07 885.94 1334.95 1988.56
2023-05-28 176.35 16.95 23.95 37.21 77.32 376.95 780.14 1175.53 1751.09
2023-06-04 154.43 14.84 20.97 32.58 67.70 330.09 683.16 1029.40 1533.41
2023-06-11 134.65 12.94 18.29 28.41 59.04 287.83 595.69 897.59 1337.06
2023-06-18 117.03 11.25 15.89 24.69 51.31 250.15 517.72 780.11 1162.06
2023-06-25 101.46 9.75 13.78 21.41 44.48 216.88 448.86 676.34 1007.49
2023-07-02 87.80 8.44 11.92 18.53 38.50 187.68 388.43 585.29 871.86
2023-07-09 75.88 7.29 10.31 16.01 33.27 162.19 335.68 505.80 753.45
2023-07-16 65.51 6.30 8.90 13.82 28.72 140.02 289.79 436.66 650.45
2023-07-23 56.51 5.43 7.67 11.92 24.77 120.79 249.98 376.67 561.09
2023-07-30 48.72 4.68 6.62 10.28 21.36 104.13 215.51 324.74 483.74
2023-08-06 41.98 4.04 5.70 8.86 18.41 89.74 185.72 279.85 416.87
2023-08-13 36.17 3.48 4.91 7.63 15.86 77.31 160.00 241.09 359.13
2023-08-20 31.15 2.99 4.23 6.57 13.66 66.58 137.80 207.65 309.31
2023-08-27 26.82 2.58 3.64 5.66 11.76 57.34 118.67 178.81 266.36
2023-09-03 23.10 2.22 3.14 4.87 10.13 49.37 102.18 153.96 229.34
2023-09-10 19.89 1.91 2.70 4.20 8.72 42.50 87.97 132.55 197.45
2023-09-17 17.12 1.65 2.32 3.61 7.51 36.59 75.73 114.11 169.98
2023-09-24 14.74 1.42 2.00 3.11 6.46 31.50 65.19 98.23 146.33
2023-10-01 16.28 1.56 2.21 3.44 7.14 34.80 72.02 108.52 161.66
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