Prediction 2902

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=AP (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 1.62 0.16 0.22 0.34 0.71 3.68 7.61 11.43 17.16
2022-10-16 1.88 0.18 0.26 0.39 0.83 4.27 8.84 13.28 19.94
2022-10-23 2.18 0.21 0.30 0.46 0.96 4.96 10.27 15.43 23.16
2022-10-30 2.53 0.25 0.35 0.53 1.11 5.77 11.92 17.92 26.90
2022-11-06 2.94 0.29 0.40 0.62 1.29 6.70 13.85 20.81 31.23
2022-11-13 3.41 0.33 0.47 0.72 1.50 7.78 16.08 24.16 36.27
2022-11-20 3.96 0.39 0.54 0.83 1.74 9.03 18.66 28.05 42.10
2022-11-27 4.60 0.45 0.63 0.97 2.02 10.48 21.66 32.55 48.87
2022-12-04 5.34 0.52 0.73 1.12 2.35 12.15 25.13 37.76 56.69
2022-12-11 6.19 0.60 0.85 1.30 2.72 14.09 29.14 43.79 65.74
2022-12-18 7.17 0.70 0.98 1.51 3.15 16.33 33.77 50.74 76.18
2022-12-25 8.30 0.81 1.14 1.75 3.65 18.91 39.10 58.75 88.19
2023-01-01 9.60 0.93 1.32 2.02 4.22 21.86 45.21 67.93 101.98
2023-01-08 11.08 1.08 1.52 2.33 4.88 25.24 52.19 78.42 117.73
2023-01-15 12.77 1.24 1.75 2.68 5.62 29.08 60.12 90.34 135.62
2023-01-22 14.67 1.43 2.01 3.08 6.45 33.40 69.06 103.77 155.78
2023-01-29 16.78 1.63 2.30 3.53 7.38 38.22 79.02 118.74 178.26
2023-02-05 19.11 1.86 2.62 4.02 8.40 43.52 89.98 135.21 202.98
2023-02-12 21.62 2.10 2.96 4.55 9.51 49.24 101.80 152.97 229.64
2023-02-19 24.26 2.36 3.32 5.10 10.67 55.25 114.23 171.65 257.68
2023-02-26 26.94 2.62 3.69 5.66 11.85 61.36 126.86 190.62 286.17
2023-03-05 29.54 2.88 4.05 6.21 12.99 67.28 139.10 209.02 313.79
2023-03-12 31.91 3.10 4.37 6.71 14.03 72.65 150.21 225.72 338.86
2023-03-19 33.85 3.29 4.64 7.12 14.89 77.07 159.35 239.45 359.47
2023-03-26 35.19 3.42 4.82 7.40 15.48 80.14 165.70 248.99 373.78
2023-04-02 35.81 3.48 4.91 7.53 15.75 81.55 168.61 253.36 380.35
2023-04-09 35.64 3.47 4.88 7.49 15.67 81.15 167.78 252.11 378.47
2023-04-16 34.68 3.37 4.75 7.29 15.25 78.98 163.29 245.37 368.35
2023-04-23 33.05 3.22 4.53 6.95 14.54 75.27 155.62 233.84 351.05
2023-04-30 30.90 3.01 4.23 6.50 13.59 70.37 145.50 218.64 328.23
2023-05-07 28.42 2.77 3.89 5.97 12.50 64.71 133.79 201.04 301.81
2023-05-14 25.76 2.51 3.53 5.42 11.33 58.66 121.29 182.26 273.62
2023-05-21 23.09 2.25 3.16 4.85 10.15 52.57 108.69 163.33 245.19
2023-05-28 20.49 1.99 2.81 4.31 9.01 46.67 96.49 144.99 217.66
2023-06-04 18.06 1.76 2.47 3.80 7.94 41.12 85.03 127.77 191.81
2023-06-11 15.82 1.54 2.17 3.33 6.96 36.03 74.50 111.95 168.06
2023-06-18 13.80 1.34 1.89 2.90 6.07 31.43 64.99 97.65 146.60
2023-06-25 12.00 1.17 1.64 2.52 5.28 27.33 56.50 84.90 127.45
2023-07-02 10.41 1.01 1.43 2.19 4.58 23.70 49.00 73.63 110.53
2023-07-09 9.01 0.88 1.23 1.89 3.96 20.51 42.41 63.73 95.67
2023-07-16 7.79 0.76 1.07 1.64 3.42 17.73 36.65 55.08 82.68
2023-07-23 6.72 0.65 0.92 1.41 2.96 15.31 31.65 47.55 71.39
2023-07-30 5.80 0.56 0.79 1.22 2.55 13.20 27.30 41.02 61.59
2023-08-06 5.00 0.49 0.68 1.05 2.20 11.38 23.54 35.37 53.10
2023-08-13 4.31 0.42 0.59 0.91 1.89 9.81 20.29 30.48 45.76
2023-08-20 3.71 0.36 0.51 0.78 1.63 8.45 17.48 26.26 39.42
2023-08-27 3.20 0.31 0.44 0.67 1.41 7.28 15.05 22.62 33.95
2023-09-03 2.75 0.27 0.38 0.58 1.21 6.27 12.96 19.48 29.24
2023-09-10 2.37 0.23 0.32 0.50 1.04 5.40 11.16 16.77 25.18
2023-09-17 2.04 0.20 0.28 0.43 0.90 4.65 9.61 14.44 21.68
2023-09-24 1.76 0.17 0.24 0.37 0.77 4.00 8.27 12.43 18.66
2023-10-01 1.39 0.14 0.19 0.29 0.61 3.17 6.55 9.84 14.77
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