Prediction 2909

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
Download CSV Dashboard
Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=MG (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 83.55 6.11 9.38 15.48 34.32 202.85 454.69 737.55 1133.59
2022-10-16 102.88 7.52 11.55 19.05 42.26 249.76 559.85 908.13 1395.76
2022-10-23 126.67 9.26 14.22 23.46 52.04 307.51 689.32 1118.14 1718.53
2022-10-30 155.96 11.40 17.51 28.88 64.07 378.62 848.71 1376.68 2115.90
2022-11-06 192.01 14.04 21.56 35.56 78.88 466.15 1044.92 1694.95 2605.06
2022-11-13 236.39 17.28 26.54 43.78 97.11 573.89 1286.42 2086.70 3207.17
2022-11-20 291.01 21.28 32.67 53.90 119.55 706.48 1583.63 2568.80 3948.14
2022-11-27 358.20 26.19 40.21 66.34 147.15 869.61 1949.29 3161.93 4859.76
2022-12-04 440.83 32.23 49.49 81.65 181.09 1070.22 2398.98 3891.36 5980.85
2022-12-11 542.39 39.65 60.89 100.46 222.81 1316.77 2951.64 4787.83 7358.69
2022-12-18 667.08 48.77 74.89 123.55 274.04 1619.49 3630.21 5888.53 9050.43
2022-12-25 819.96 59.95 92.06 151.87 336.84 1990.64 4462.16 7238.04 11124.56
2023-01-01 1006.98 73.62 113.05 186.50 413.67 2444.67 5479.92 8888.93 13661.91
2023-01-08 1235.00 90.29 138.65 228.74 507.34 2998.25 6720.81 10901.77 16755.55
2023-01-15 1511.62 110.51 169.71 279.97 620.97 3669.79 8226.13 13343.53 20508.45
2023-01-22 1844.63 134.86 207.10 341.65 757.77 4478.24 10038.33 16283.09 25026.43
2023-01-29 2240.93 163.83 251.59 415.05 920.58 5440.36 12194.99 19781.39 30403.15
2023-02-05 2704.45 197.72 303.63 500.89 1110.99 6565.65 14717.42 23873.01 36691.81
2023-02-12 3232.63 236.33 362.93 598.72 1327.97 7847.94 17591.76 28535.45 43857.78
2023-02-19 3811.40 278.65 427.90 705.91 1565.73 9253.02 20741.36 33644.39 51710.01
2023-02-26 4409.23 322.35 495.02 816.64 1811.32 10704.40 23994.75 38921.68 59820.98
2023-03-05 4973.22 363.58 558.34 921.10 2043.00 12073.60 27063.91 43900.14 67472.66
2023-03-12 5432.00 397.13 609.85 1006.07 2231.47 13187.39 29560.56 47949.94 73697.04
2023-03-19 5710.68 417.50 641.14 1057.68 2345.95 13863.94 31077.11 50409.92 77477.92
2023-03-26 5755.87 420.80 646.21 1066.05 2364.52 13973.67 31323.07 50808.89 78091.12
2023-04-02 5558.35 406.36 624.03 1029.47 2283.38 13494.14 30248.16 49065.28 75411.27
2023-04-09 5157.28 377.04 579.01 955.19 2118.62 12520.45 28065.56 45524.92 69969.88
2023-04-16 4622.85 337.97 519.01 856.20 1899.07 11222.99 25157.21 40807.31 62719.11
2023-04-23 4030.11 294.64 452.46 746.42 1655.57 9783.99 21931.57 35575.01 54677.29
2023-04-30 3439.63 251.47 386.17 637.06 1413.00 8350.46 18718.21 30362.64 46666.10
2023-05-07 2890.52 211.32 324.52 535.36 1187.43 7017.38 15730.00 25515.50 39216.25
2023-05-14 2402.57 175.65 269.74 444.98 986.98 5832.78 13074.64 21208.27 32596.21
2023-05-21 1981.90 144.89 222.51 367.07 814.17 4811.50 10785.35 17494.83 26888.81
2023-05-28 1626.45 118.91 182.60 301.24 668.15 3948.56 8851.01 14357.15 22066.33
2023-06-04 1330.10 97.24 149.33 246.35 546.41 3229.12 7238.31 11741.21 18045.74
2023-06-11 1085.22 79.34 121.84 200.99 445.81 2634.60 5905.67 9579.53 14723.34
2023-06-18 884.04 64.63 99.25 163.73 363.17 2146.21 4810.90 7803.71 11993.98
2023-06-25 719.42 52.60 80.77 133.24 295.54 1746.55 3915.03 6350.54 9760.51
2023-07-02 585.05 42.77 65.68 108.36 240.34 1420.35 3183.81 5164.44 7937.52
2023-07-09 475.57 34.77 53.39 88.08 195.36 1154.54 2588.00 4197.97 6452.10
2023-07-16 386.45 28.25 43.39 71.58 158.76 938.20 2103.06 3411.35 5243.10
2023-07-23 313.98 22.95 35.25 58.15 128.98 762.25 1708.65 2771.58 4259.80
2023-07-30 255.06 18.65 28.64 47.24 104.78 619.22 1388.02 2251.50 3460.46
2023-08-06 207.18 15.15 23.26 38.37 85.11 502.98 1127.47 1828.86 2810.87
2023-08-13 168.28 12.30 18.89 31.17 69.13 408.54 915.77 1485.46 2283.10
2023-08-20 136.68 9.99 15.34 25.31 56.15 331.82 743.80 1206.50 1854.35
2023-08-27 111.01 8.12 12.46 20.56 45.60 269.50 604.10 979.91 1506.07
2023-09-03 90.16 6.59 10.12 16.70 37.04 218.88 490.63 795.85 1223.19
2023-09-10 73.22 5.35 8.22 13.56 30.08 177.77 398.48 646.36 993.43
2023-09-17 59.47 4.35 6.68 11.01 24.43 144.37 323.63 524.95 806.83
2023-09-24 48.30 3.53 5.42 8.95 19.84 117.25 262.83 426.34 655.27
2023-10-01 67.86 4.96 7.62 12.57 27.88 164.74 369.29 599.01 920.66
Chat
chatbot