Prediction 2910

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=MS (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 14.96 0.80 1.34 2.25 5.61 41.41 101.07 175.69 275.64
2022-10-16 17.87 0.96 1.60 2.69 6.71 49.48 120.76 209.93 329.36
2022-10-23 21.35 1.14 1.91 3.21 8.01 59.12 144.30 250.84 393.54
2022-10-30 25.51 1.37 2.28 3.84 9.57 70.64 172.41 299.72 470.23
2022-11-06 30.48 1.63 2.72 4.59 11.44 84.40 206.00 358.11 561.84
2022-11-13 36.42 1.95 3.25 5.48 13.67 100.84 246.13 427.86 671.27
2022-11-20 43.51 2.33 3.89 6.55 16.33 120.47 294.05 511.17 801.98
2022-11-27 51.98 2.79 4.64 7.83 19.51 143.92 351.28 610.66 958.06
2022-12-04 62.10 3.33 5.55 9.35 23.30 171.91 419.61 729.44 1144.41
2022-12-11 74.16 3.97 6.63 11.17 27.83 205.32 501.15 871.19 1366.81
2022-12-18 88.56 4.75 7.91 13.33 33.23 245.17 598.41 1040.28 1632.08
2022-12-25 105.71 5.67 9.44 15.92 39.67 292.66 714.34 1241.80 1948.25
2023-01-01 126.14 6.76 11.27 18.99 47.33 349.21 852.36 1481.74 2324.68
2023-01-08 150.42 8.06 13.44 22.65 56.44 416.43 1016.43 1766.96 2772.16
2023-01-15 179.21 9.61 16.01 26.98 67.25 496.16 1211.04 2105.26 3302.92
2023-01-22 213.26 11.43 19.05 32.11 80.03 590.43 1441.14 2505.26 3930.48
2023-01-29 253.35 13.58 22.63 38.14 95.07 701.40 1711.98 2976.09 4669.16
2023-02-05 300.22 16.09 26.82 45.20 112.66 831.18 2028.76 3526.77 5533.11
2023-02-12 354.55 19.00 31.68 53.38 133.05 981.59 2395.90 4165.00 6534.44
2023-02-19 416.72 22.33 37.23 62.74 156.37 1153.69 2815.97 4895.24 7680.10
2023-02-26 486.55 26.08 43.47 73.26 182.58 1347.04 3287.88 5715.60 8967.17
2023-03-05 563.00 30.18 50.30 84.77 211.26 1558.69 3804.49 6613.67 10376.13
2023-03-12 643.67 34.50 57.50 96.91 241.54 1782.03 4349.62 7561.32 11862.90
2023-03-19 724.44 38.83 64.72 109.07 271.84 2005.64 4895.42 8510.13 13351.47
2023-03-26 799.33 42.84 71.41 120.35 299.95 2212.96 5401.45 9389.82 14731.61
2023-04-02 860.95 46.14 76.92 129.62 323.07 2383.56 5817.86 10113.69 15867.29
2023-04-09 901.79 48.33 80.56 135.77 338.40 2496.65 6093.89 10593.54 16620.12
2023-04-16 916.13 49.10 81.85 137.93 343.78 2536.34 6190.77 10761.95 16884.34
2023-04-23 901.79 48.33 80.56 135.77 338.40 2496.65 6093.89 10593.54 16620.12
2023-04-30 860.95 46.14 76.92 129.62 323.07 2383.56 5817.86 10113.69 15867.29
2023-05-07 799.33 42.84 71.41 120.35 299.95 2212.96 5401.45 9389.82 14731.61
2023-05-14 724.44 38.83 64.72 109.07 271.84 2005.64 4895.42 8510.13 13351.47
2023-05-21 643.67 34.50 57.50 96.91 241.54 1782.03 4349.62 7561.32 11862.90
2023-05-28 563.00 30.18 50.30 84.77 211.26 1558.69 3804.49 6613.67 10376.13
2023-06-04 486.55 26.08 43.47 73.26 182.58 1347.04 3287.88 5715.60 8967.17
2023-06-11 416.72 22.33 37.23 62.74 156.37 1153.69 2815.97 4895.24 7680.10
2023-06-18 354.55 19.00 31.68 53.38 133.05 981.59 2395.90 4165.00 6534.44
2023-06-25 300.22 16.09 26.82 45.20 112.66 831.18 2028.76 3526.77 5533.11
2023-07-02 253.35 13.58 22.63 38.14 95.07 701.40 1711.98 2976.09 4669.16
2023-07-09 213.26 11.43 19.05 32.11 80.03 590.43 1441.14 2505.26 3930.48
2023-07-16 179.21 9.61 16.01 26.98 67.25 496.16 1211.04 2105.26 3302.92
2023-07-23 150.42 8.06 13.44 22.65 56.44 416.43 1016.43 1766.95 2772.16
2023-07-30 126.14 6.76 11.27 18.99 47.33 349.21 852.36 1481.74 2324.68
2023-08-06 105.71 5.67 9.44 15.92 39.67 292.66 714.34 1241.80 1948.25
2023-08-13 88.56 4.75 7.91 13.33 33.23 245.17 598.41 1040.28 1632.08
2023-08-20 74.16 3.97 6.63 11.17 27.83 205.32 501.15 871.19 1366.81
2023-08-27 62.10 3.33 5.55 9.35 23.30 171.91 419.61 729.44 1144.41
2023-09-03 51.98 2.79 4.64 7.83 19.51 143.92 351.28 610.66 958.06
2023-09-10 43.51 2.33 3.89 6.55 16.33 120.47 294.05 511.17 801.98
2023-09-17 36.42 1.95 3.25 5.48 13.67 100.84 246.13 427.86 671.27
2023-09-24 30.48 1.63 2.72 4.59 11.44 84.40 206.00 358.11 561.84
2023-10-01 12.52 0.67 1.12 1.88 4.70 34.65 84.58 147.04 230.68
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