Prediction 2911

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=MT (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 29.22 6.78 8.51 11.30 17.63 47.86 76.20 100.47 128.29
2022-10-16 33.95 7.87 9.88 13.12 20.48 55.60 88.53 116.71 149.04
2022-10-23 39.43 9.14 11.48 15.24 23.79 64.59 102.84 135.58 173.13
2022-10-30 45.81 10.62 13.34 17.71 27.64 75.03 119.46 157.49 201.11
2022-11-06 53.21 12.34 15.49 20.57 32.10 87.15 138.76 182.93 233.60
2022-11-13 61.79 14.33 17.99 23.89 37.28 101.22 161.15 212.46 271.30
2022-11-20 71.76 16.64 20.89 27.74 43.29 117.55 187.15 246.73 315.06
2022-11-27 83.32 19.32 24.26 32.21 50.27 136.48 217.29 286.47 365.81
2022-12-04 96.72 22.43 28.16 37.39 58.35 158.43 252.24 332.55 424.65
2022-12-11 112.24 26.03 32.68 43.39 67.72 183.86 292.72 385.92 492.79
2022-12-18 130.20 30.19 37.90 50.33 78.55 213.28 339.56 447.67 571.65
2022-12-25 150.95 35.01 43.95 58.35 91.07 247.27 393.67 519.01 662.75
2023-01-01 174.88 40.56 50.91 67.60 105.51 286.47 456.08 601.29 767.82
2023-01-08 202.41 46.94 58.93 78.24 122.12 331.56 527.86 695.93 888.66
2023-01-15 233.96 54.25 68.11 90.44 141.15 383.23 610.14 804.39 1027.16
2023-01-22 269.94 62.60 78.59 104.35 162.86 442.18 703.99 928.13 1185.17
2023-01-29 310.74 72.06 90.46 120.12 187.48 509.01 810.38 1068.39 1364.27
2023-02-05 356.59 82.69 103.81 137.84 215.14 584.11 929.95 1226.03 1565.58
2023-02-12 407.54 94.51 118.64 157.54 245.88 667.57 1062.82 1401.20 1789.25
2023-02-19 463.28 107.44 134.87 179.09 279.51 758.88 1208.20 1592.87 2034.00
2023-02-26 523.04 121.29 152.27 202.19 315.56 856.76 1364.03 1798.32 2296.35
2023-03-05 585.34 135.74 170.41 226.27 353.15 958.82 1526.52 2012.53 2569.89
2023-03-12 647.92 150.25 188.62 250.46 390.90 1061.32 1689.70 2227.67 2844.62
2023-03-19 707.61 164.10 206.00 273.53 426.92 1159.10 1845.38 2432.91 3106.69
2023-03-26 760.53 176.37 221.41 293.99 458.85 1245.79 1983.40 2614.88 3339.05
2023-04-02 802.46 186.09 233.61 310.20 484.14 1314.48 2092.75 2759.04 3523.14
2023-04-09 829.50 192.36 241.48 320.65 500.45 1358.76 2163.25 2851.99 3641.83
2023-04-16 838.85 194.53 244.21 324.26 506.09 1374.07 2187.63 2884.13 3682.88
2023-04-23 829.50 192.36 241.48 320.65 500.45 1358.76 2163.25 2851.99 3641.83
2023-04-30 802.46 186.09 233.61 310.20 484.14 1314.48 2092.75 2759.04 3523.14
2023-05-07 760.53 176.37 221.41 293.99 458.85 1245.79 1983.40 2614.88 3339.05
2023-05-14 707.61 164.10 206.00 273.53 426.92 1159.10 1845.38 2432.91 3106.69
2023-05-21 647.92 150.25 188.62 250.46 390.90 1061.32 1689.70 2227.67 2844.62
2023-05-28 585.34 135.74 170.41 226.27 353.15 958.82 1526.52 2012.53 2569.89
2023-06-04 523.04 121.29 152.27 202.19 315.56 856.76 1364.03 1798.32 2296.35
2023-06-11 463.28 107.44 134.87 179.09 279.51 758.88 1208.20 1592.87 2034.00
2023-06-18 407.54 94.51 118.64 157.54 245.88 667.57 1062.82 1401.20 1789.25
2023-06-25 356.59 82.69 103.81 137.84 215.14 584.11 929.95 1226.03 1565.58
2023-07-02 310.74 72.06 90.46 120.12 187.48 509.01 810.38 1068.39 1364.27
2023-07-09 269.94 62.60 78.59 104.35 162.86 442.18 703.99 928.13 1185.17
2023-07-16 233.96 54.25 68.11 90.44 141.15 383.23 610.14 804.39 1027.16
2023-07-23 202.41 46.94 58.93 78.24 122.12 331.56 527.86 695.93 888.66
2023-07-30 174.88 40.56 50.91 67.60 105.51 286.47 456.08 601.29 767.82
2023-08-06 150.95 35.01 43.95 58.35 91.07 247.27 393.67 519.01 662.75
2023-08-13 130.20 30.19 37.90 50.33 78.55 213.28 339.56 447.67 571.65
2023-08-20 112.24 26.03 32.68 43.39 67.72 183.86 292.72 385.92 492.79
2023-08-27 96.72 22.43 28.16 37.39 58.35 158.43 252.24 332.55 424.65
2023-09-03 83.32 19.32 24.26 32.21 50.27 136.48 217.29 286.47 365.81
2023-09-10 71.76 16.64 20.89 27.74 43.29 117.55 187.15 246.73 315.06
2023-09-17 61.79 14.33 17.99 23.89 37.28 101.22 161.15 212.46 271.30
2023-09-24 53.21 12.34 15.49 20.57 32.10 87.15 138.76 182.93 233.60
2023-10-01 25.15 5.83 7.32 9.72 15.17 41.20 65.59 86.48 110.43
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