Prediction 2919

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=RO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 2.24 0.27 0.38 0.56 1.07 4.75 9.17 13.85 19.52
2022-10-16 2.72 0.33 0.46 0.68 1.30 5.76 11.13 16.80 23.69
2022-10-23 3.30 0.40 0.55 0.82 1.58 6.99 13.50 20.39 28.74
2022-10-30 4.00 0.48 0.67 0.99 1.92 8.48 16.38 24.74 34.87
2022-11-06 4.86 0.59 0.82 1.21 2.33 10.29 19.87 30.01 42.30
2022-11-13 5.89 0.71 0.99 1.46 2.82 12.48 24.11 36.41 51.32
2022-11-20 7.15 0.87 1.20 1.77 3.42 15.14 29.25 44.17 62.26
2022-11-27 8.67 1.05 1.46 2.15 4.15 18.37 35.48 53.58 75.53
2022-12-04 10.52 1.27 1.77 2.61 5.04 22.28 43.04 64.99 91.62
2022-12-11 12.76 1.54 2.14 3.17 6.11 27.03 52.21 78.83 111.12
2022-12-18 15.47 1.87 2.60 3.84 7.41 32.78 63.31 95.60 134.75
2022-12-25 18.76 2.27 3.15 4.66 8.99 39.74 76.76 115.90 163.38
2023-01-01 22.74 2.75 3.82 5.64 10.89 48.17 93.03 140.48 198.02
2023-01-08 27.54 3.33 4.62 6.84 13.19 58.35 112.70 170.18 239.89
2023-01-15 33.34 4.04 5.60 8.28 15.97 70.64 136.44 206.02 290.41
2023-01-22 40.32 4.88 6.77 10.01 19.32 85.42 164.99 249.14 351.19
2023-01-29 48.69 5.89 8.17 12.08 23.32 103.15 199.23 300.83 424.06
2023-02-05 58.66 7.10 9.84 14.56 28.10 124.27 240.03 362.45 510.91
2023-02-12 70.45 8.53 11.82 17.48 33.75 149.24 288.26 435.27 613.57
2023-02-19 84.21 10.19 14.13 20.90 40.34 178.40 344.58 520.32 733.44
2023-02-26 100.00 12.10 16.78 24.82 47.91 211.85 409.18 617.87 870.96
2023-03-05 117.64 14.24 19.74 29.20 56.36 249.24 481.39 726.90 1024.65
2023-03-12 136.63 16.54 22.93 33.91 65.46 289.47 559.09 844.23 1190.04
2023-03-19 155.96 18.88 26.17 38.71 74.72 330.41 638.17 963.64 1358.37
2023-03-26 174.05 21.07 29.21 43.20 83.38 368.74 712.21 1075.44 1515.96
2023-04-02 188.89 22.86 31.70 46.88 90.49 400.17 772.91 1167.09 1645.15
2023-04-09 198.35 24.01 33.29 49.23 95.02 420.22 811.65 1225.59 1727.60
2023-04-16 200.89 24.32 33.71 49.86 96.24 425.60 822.03 1241.26 1749.70
2023-04-23 196.05 23.73 32.90 48.66 93.92 415.34 802.22 1211.35 1707.53
2023-04-30 184.67 22.35 30.99 45.84 88.47 391.24 755.67 1141.07 1608.46
2023-05-07 168.57 20.40 28.29 41.84 80.76 357.13 689.79 1041.58 1468.23
2023-05-14 149.89 18.14 25.15 37.20 71.81 317.55 613.33 926.12 1305.47
2023-05-21 130.52 15.80 21.90 32.40 62.53 276.52 534.10 806.49 1136.83
2023-05-28 111.88 13.54 18.77 27.77 53.60 237.02 457.80 691.27 974.43
2023-06-04 94.78 11.47 15.91 23.53 45.41 200.81 387.85 585.65 825.54
2023-06-11 79.63 9.64 13.36 19.76 38.15 168.70 325.84 492.03 693.57
2023-06-18 66.51 8.05 11.16 16.51 31.86 140.90 272.14 410.93 579.25
2023-06-25 55.31 6.70 9.28 13.73 26.50 117.19 226.34 341.78 481.78
2023-07-02 45.88 5.55 7.70 11.39 21.98 97.19 187.72 283.46 399.56
2023-07-09 37.97 4.60 6.37 9.42 18.19 80.45 155.38 234.62 330.73
2023-07-16 31.39 3.80 5.27 7.79 15.04 66.50 128.44 193.94 273.38
2023-07-23 25.92 3.14 4.35 6.43 12.42 54.92 106.07 160.16 225.77
2023-07-30 21.39 2.59 3.59 5.31 10.25 45.32 87.54 132.19 186.33
2023-08-06 17.65 2.14 2.96 4.38 8.46 37.39 72.22 109.05 153.72
2023-08-13 14.56 1.76 2.44 3.61 6.97 30.84 59.56 89.94 126.77
2023-08-20 12.00 1.45 2.01 2.98 5.75 25.43 49.11 74.16 104.53
2023-08-27 9.89 1.20 1.66 2.46 4.74 20.96 40.49 61.14 86.18
2023-09-03 8.16 0.99 1.37 2.02 3.91 17.28 33.38 50.40 71.05
2023-09-10 6.72 0.81 1.13 1.67 3.22 14.25 27.51 41.55 58.57
2023-09-17 5.54 0.67 0.93 1.38 2.66 11.74 22.68 34.25 48.28
2023-09-24 4.57 0.55 0.77 1.13 2.19 9.68 18.69 28.23 39.79
2023-10-01 1.85 0.22 0.31 0.46 0.89 3.91 7.56 11.42 16.09
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