Prediction 2925

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=TO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 11.20 2.38 3.09 4.05 6.54 18.98 30.88 40.80 53.99
2022-10-16 13.01 2.76 3.59 4.71 7.59 22.05 35.87 47.39 62.72
2022-10-23 15.12 3.21 4.16 5.47 8.82 25.61 41.67 55.06 72.85
2022-10-30 17.56 3.73 4.84 6.36 10.24 29.75 48.41 63.95 84.63
2022-11-06 20.40 4.33 5.62 7.38 11.90 34.55 56.23 74.28 98.30
2022-11-13 23.69 5.03 6.53 8.57 13.82 40.13 65.30 86.28 114.17
2022-11-20 27.51 5.84 7.58 9.96 16.05 46.60 75.83 100.19 132.58
2022-11-27 31.94 6.78 8.80 11.56 18.63 54.11 88.05 116.33 153.94
2022-12-04 37.08 7.87 10.22 13.42 21.63 62.81 102.21 135.04 178.69
2022-12-11 43.03 9.13 11.85 15.57 25.10 72.90 118.62 156.71 207.37
2022-12-18 49.92 10.59 13.75 18.07 29.12 84.56 137.60 181.79 240.55
2022-12-25 57.87 12.28 15.94 20.94 33.76 98.04 159.52 210.76 278.89
2023-01-01 67.05 14.23 18.47 24.26 39.11 113.58 184.81 244.17 323.10
2023-01-08 77.60 16.47 21.38 28.08 45.27 131.45 213.90 282.60 373.95
2023-01-15 89.70 19.03 24.71 32.46 52.32 151.94 247.24 326.64 432.24
2023-01-22 103.49 21.96 28.51 37.45 60.37 175.31 285.27 376.89 498.73
2023-01-29 119.13 25.28 32.82 43.11 69.50 201.81 328.38 433.85 574.10
2023-02-05 136.71 29.01 37.66 49.48 79.75 231.58 376.83 497.86 658.81
2023-02-12 156.24 33.15 43.04 56.54 91.15 264.67 430.67 568.99 752.93
2023-02-19 177.62 37.69 48.93 64.28 103.61 300.88 489.58 646.82 855.92
2023-02-26 200.52 42.55 55.24 72.57 116.98 339.68 552.73 730.25 966.32
2023-03-05 224.41 47.62 61.82 81.21 130.91 380.15 618.57 817.24 1081.43
2023-03-12 248.40 52.71 68.43 89.90 144.91 420.78 684.70 904.60 1197.04
2023-03-19 271.29 57.56 74.73 98.18 158.26 459.55 747.78 987.94 1307.32
2023-03-26 291.58 61.87 80.32 105.52 170.09 493.92 803.71 1061.83 1405.10
2023-04-02 307.65 65.28 84.75 111.34 179.47 521.15 848.02 1120.38 1482.57
2023-04-09 318.02 67.48 87.61 115.09 185.52 538.71 876.59 1158.12 1532.51
2023-04-16 321.60 68.24 88.59 116.39 187.61 544.78 886.47 1171.17 1549.78
2023-04-23 318.02 67.48 87.61 115.09 185.52 538.71 876.59 1158.12 1532.51
2023-04-30 307.65 65.28 84.75 111.34 179.47 521.15 848.02 1120.38 1482.57
2023-05-07 291.58 61.87 80.32 105.52 170.09 493.92 803.71 1061.83 1405.10
2023-05-14 271.29 57.56 74.73 98.18 158.26 459.55 747.78 987.94 1307.32
2023-05-21 248.40 52.71 68.43 89.90 144.91 420.78 684.70 904.60 1197.04
2023-05-28 224.41 47.62 61.82 81.21 130.91 380.15 618.57 817.24 1081.43
2023-06-04 200.52 42.55 55.24 72.57 116.98 339.68 552.73 730.25 966.32
2023-06-11 177.62 37.69 48.93 64.28 103.61 300.88 489.58 646.82 855.92
2023-06-18 156.24 33.15 43.04 56.54 91.15 264.67 430.67 568.99 752.93
2023-06-25 136.71 29.01 37.66 49.48 79.75 231.58 376.83 497.86 658.81
2023-07-02 119.13 25.28 32.82 43.11 69.50 201.81 328.38 433.85 574.10
2023-07-09 103.49 21.96 28.51 37.45 60.37 175.31 285.27 376.89 498.73
2023-07-16 89.70 19.03 24.71 32.46 52.32 151.94 247.24 326.64 432.24
2023-07-23 77.60 16.47 21.38 28.08 45.27 131.45 213.90 282.60 373.95
2023-07-30 67.05 14.23 18.47 24.26 39.11 113.58 184.81 244.17 323.10
2023-08-06 57.87 12.28 15.94 20.94 33.76 98.04 159.52 210.76 278.89
2023-08-13 49.92 10.59 13.75 18.07 29.12 84.56 137.60 181.79 240.55
2023-08-20 43.03 9.13 11.85 15.57 25.10 72.90 118.62 156.71 207.37
2023-08-27 37.08 7.87 10.22 13.42 21.63 62.81 102.21 135.04 178.69
2023-09-03 31.94 6.78 8.80 11.56 18.63 54.11 88.05 116.33 153.94
2023-09-10 27.51 5.84 7.58 9.96 16.05 46.60 75.83 100.19 132.58
2023-09-17 23.69 5.03 6.53 8.57 13.82 40.13 65.30 86.28 114.17
2023-09-24 20.40 4.33 5.62 7.38 11.90 34.55 56.23 74.28 98.30
2023-10-01 9.64 2.05 2.66 3.49 5.63 16.33 26.58 35.12 46.47
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