Prediction 2926

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=AC (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 17.32 1.79 2.66 3.99 7.98 36.87 72.22 113.45 165.96
2023-10-15 20.11 2.08 3.09 4.64 9.27 42.83 83.88 131.78 192.77
2023-10-22 23.36 2.41 3.59 5.39 10.76 49.74 97.43 153.06 223.90
2023-10-29 27.13 2.80 4.17 6.26 12.50 57.77 113.15 177.75 260.02
2023-11-05 31.50 3.25 4.84 7.27 14.52 67.08 131.39 206.40 301.93
2023-11-12 36.58 3.78 5.62 8.44 16.85 77.87 152.53 239.62 350.53
2023-11-19 42.45 4.38 6.53 9.79 19.56 90.38 177.04 278.11 406.84
2023-11-26 49.25 5.08 7.57 11.36 22.69 104.87 205.40 322.67 472.02
2023-12-03 57.12 5.90 8.78 13.17 26.32 121.61 238.20 374.19 547.39
2023-12-10 66.19 6.83 10.18 15.27 30.50 140.93 276.05 433.65 634.37
2023-12-17 76.64 7.91 11.78 17.68 35.31 163.19 319.64 502.13 734.54
2023-12-24 88.64 9.15 13.63 20.44 40.84 188.74 369.68 580.74 849.53
2023-12-31 102.36 10.57 15.74 23.61 47.16 217.94 426.88 670.60 980.99
2024-01-07 117.95 12.18 18.14 27.20 54.35 251.14 491.91 772.76 1130.44
2024-01-14 135.55 13.99 20.84 31.26 62.45 288.60 565.29 888.03 1299.06
2024-01-21 155.20 16.02 23.86 35.79 71.51 330.44 647.24 1016.77 1487.39
2024-01-28 176.85 18.26 27.19 40.79 81.49 376.55 737.54 1158.63 1694.90
2024-02-04 200.28 20.67 30.79 46.19 92.28 426.42 835.24 1312.11 1919.42
2024-02-11 225.01 23.23 34.60 51.90 103.68 479.09 938.39 1474.15 2156.46
2024-02-18 250.28 25.84 38.48 57.72 115.32 532.89 1043.76 1639.69 2398.62
2024-02-25 274.96 28.38 42.27 63.42 126.69 585.43 1146.68 1801.37 2635.13
2024-03-03 297.59 30.72 45.75 68.64 137.12 633.62 1241.08 1949.66 2852.06
2024-03-10 316.51 32.67 48.66 73.00 145.84 673.91 1319.98 2073.61 3033.39
2024-03-17 330.06 34.07 50.75 76.12 152.08 702.75 1376.47 2162.35 3163.20
2024-03-24 336.88 34.78 51.79 77.70 155.22 717.27 1404.92 2207.05 3228.58
2024-03-31 336.25 34.71 51.70 77.55 154.93 715.93 1402.30 2202.92 3222.55
2024-04-07 328.24 33.88 50.47 75.70 151.24 698.87 1368.88 2150.43 3145.76
2024-04-14 313.69 32.38 48.23 72.35 144.54 667.90 1308.21 2055.13 3006.35
2024-04-21 294.03 30.35 45.21 67.81 135.48 626.04 1226.23 1926.33 2817.94
2024-04-28 270.95 27.97 41.66 62.49 124.84 576.89 1129.95 1775.08 2596.68
2024-05-05 246.08 25.40 37.83 56.75 113.38 523.94 1026.23 1612.15 2358.34
2024-05-12 220.83 22.80 33.95 50.93 101.75 470.18 920.94 1446.75 2116.38
2024-05-19 196.27 20.26 30.18 45.27 90.43 417.89 818.51 1285.84 1880.99
2024-05-26 173.11 17.87 26.62 39.93 79.76 368.58 721.94 1134.13 1659.06
2024-06-02 151.78 15.67 23.34 35.01 69.93 323.17 632.99 994.39 1454.65
2024-06-09 132.47 13.68 20.37 30.55 61.04 282.06 552.47 867.89 1269.60
2024-06-16 115.22 11.89 17.71 26.57 53.09 245.32 480.51 754.85 1104.24
2024-06-23 99.95 10.32 15.37 23.05 46.05 212.81 416.82 654.80 957.88
2024-06-30 86.53 8.93 13.30 19.96 39.87 184.23 360.86 566.89 829.28
2024-07-07 74.80 7.72 11.50 17.25 34.46 159.26 311.95 490.05 716.87
2024-07-14 64.59 6.67 9.93 14.90 29.76 137.52 269.36 423.15 619.01
2024-07-21 55.73 5.75 8.57 12.85 25.68 118.65 232.40 365.08 534.06
2024-07-28 48.05 4.96 7.39 11.08 22.14 102.30 200.38 314.79 460.49
2024-08-04 41.41 4.27 6.37 9.55 19.08 88.17 172.70 271.30 396.87
2024-08-11 35.68 3.68 5.49 8.23 16.44 75.96 148.79 233.74 341.93
2024-08-18 30.73 3.17 4.72 7.09 14.16 65.43 128.16 201.33 294.51
2024-08-25 26.46 2.73 4.07 6.10 12.19 56.35 110.37 173.38 253.63
2024-09-01 22.79 2.35 3.50 5.26 10.50 48.52 95.03 149.29 218.39
2024-09-08 19.62 2.03 3.02 4.52 9.04 41.77 81.82 128.53 188.02
2024-09-15 16.89 1.74 2.60 3.90 7.78 35.96 70.44 110.65 161.87
2024-09-22 14.54 1.50 2.24 3.35 6.70 30.96 60.64 95.25 139.34
2024-09-29 14.91 1.54 2.29 3.44 6.87 31.74 62.17 97.66 142.87
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