Prediction 2934

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=GO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 268.10 68.14 85.55 109.20 166.90 431.62 661.49 840.30 1040.24
2023-10-15 311.35 79.14 99.35 126.82 193.83 501.25 768.21 975.87 1208.05
2023-10-22 361.52 91.89 115.36 147.26 225.06 582.03 892.01 1133.13 1402.73
2023-10-29 419.69 106.67 133.93 170.95 261.28 675.68 1035.54 1315.46 1628.45
2023-11-05 487.09 123.80 155.44 198.40 303.23 784.19 1201.84 1526.71 1889.96
2023-11-12 565.10 143.63 180.33 230.18 351.80 909.78 1394.32 1771.22 2192.64
2023-11-19 655.28 166.55 209.11 266.91 407.94 1054.95 1616.82 2053.85 2542.53
2023-11-26 759.33 193.00 242.31 309.29 472.71 1222.47 1873.55 2379.98 2946.26
2023-12-03 879.10 223.44 280.53 358.08 547.28 1415.30 2169.08 2755.40 3411.00
2023-12-10 1016.54 258.37 324.39 414.06 632.83 1636.56 2508.18 3186.16 3944.25
2023-12-17 1173.54 298.28 374.49 478.01 730.58 1889.33 2895.58 3678.28 4553.45
2023-12-24 1351.87 343.61 431.40 550.65 841.59 2176.43 3335.58 4237.22 5245.39
2023-12-31 1552.83 394.69 495.53 632.51 966.70 2499.97 3831.43 4867.10 6025.13
2024-01-07 1776.92 451.64 567.03 723.78 1106.21 2860.74 4384.35 5569.47 6894.62
2024-01-14 2023.30 514.26 645.65 824.14 1259.58 3257.38 4992.24 6341.69 7850.57
2024-01-21 2289.08 581.82 730.47 932.40 1425.04 3685.28 5648.03 7174.74 8881.84
2024-01-28 2568.60 652.86 819.66 1046.25 1599.05 4135.28 6337.70 8050.83 9966.37
2024-02-04 2852.62 725.05 910.30 1161.94 1775.87 4592.53 7038.49 8941.05 11068.40
2024-02-11 3127.98 795.04 998.17 1274.10 1947.29 5035.85 7717.91 9804.12 12136.83
2024-02-18 3377.90 858.56 1077.92 1375.90 2102.88 5438.21 8334.56 10587.47 13106.55
2024-02-25 3583.44 910.81 1143.51 1459.62 2230.83 5769.11 8841.70 11231.68 13904.05
2024-03-03 3726.17 947.08 1189.06 1517.76 2319.68 5998.90 9193.87 11679.04 14457.85
2024-03-10 3791.72 963.74 1209.98 1544.46 2360.49 6104.43 9355.61 11884.51 14712.20
2024-03-17 3773.04 959.00 1204.02 1536.85 2348.87 6074.36 9309.53 11825.97 14639.73
2024-03-24 3672.18 933.36 1171.83 1495.76 2286.07 5911.98 9060.65 11509.82 14248.36
2024-03-31 3499.73 889.53 1116.80 1425.52 2178.72 5634.34 8635.15 10969.30 13579.24
2024-04-07 3272.29 831.72 1044.22 1332.88 2037.13 5268.18 8073.98 10256.44 12696.77
2024-04-14 3008.92 764.78 960.18 1225.60 1873.17 4844.18 7424.15 9430.96 11674.87
2024-04-21 2727.88 693.35 870.49 1111.13 1698.21 4391.71 6730.71 8550.07 10584.40
2024-04-28 2444.45 621.31 780.05 995.68 1521.77 3935.42 6031.39 7661.73 9484.69
2024-05-05 2170.07 551.57 692.49 883.92 1350.95 3493.67 5354.38 6801.71 8420.05
2024-05-12 1912.31 486.05 610.24 778.93 1190.49 3078.69 4718.38 5993.80 7419.91
2024-05-19 1675.52 425.87 534.67 682.48 1043.08 2697.48 4134.14 5251.63 6501.15
2024-05-26 1461.59 371.49 466.41 595.34 909.90 2353.07 3606.30 4581.11 5671.10
2024-06-02 1270.71 322.98 405.49 517.59 791.06 2045.76 3135.31 3982.81 4930.45
2024-06-09 1101.95 280.08 351.64 448.85 686.01 1774.07 2718.93 3453.87 4275.66
2024-06-16 953.78 242.42 304.36 388.50 593.77 1535.53 2353.34 2989.47 3700.75
2024-06-23 824.36 209.53 263.06 335.78 513.19 1327.16 2034.00 2583.81 3198.57
2024-06-30 711.73 180.90 227.12 289.91 443.08 1145.84 1756.11 2230.80 2761.58
2024-07-07 614.01 156.06 195.94 250.10 382.24 988.51 1514.98 1924.50 2382.39
2024-07-14 529.38 134.55 168.93 215.63 329.56 852.27 1306.19 1659.26 2054.05
2024-07-21 456.22 115.96 145.59 185.83 284.02 734.49 1125.67 1429.95 1770.18
2024-07-28 393.04 99.90 125.42 160.10 244.69 632.78 969.79 1231.93 1525.04
2024-08-04 338.53 86.04 108.03 137.89 210.75 545.01 835.29 1061.07 1313.53
2024-08-11 291.53 74.10 93.03 118.75 181.49 469.34 719.31 913.74 1131.15
2024-08-18 251.02 63.80 80.10 102.24 156.27 404.12 619.35 786.77 973.96
2024-08-25 216.11 54.93 68.96 88.03 134.54 347.93 533.23 677.37 838.54
2024-09-01 186.05 47.29 59.37 75.78 115.82 299.53 459.05 583.14 721.89
2024-09-08 160.16 40.71 51.11 65.24 99.71 257.85 395.17 501.99 621.43
2024-09-15 137.87 35.04 43.99 56.16 85.83 221.96 340.17 432.12 534.93
2024-09-22 118.67 30.16 37.87 48.34 73.88 191.06 292.81 371.96 460.46
2024-09-29 230.83 58.67 73.66 94.02 143.70 371.62 569.54 723.49 895.63
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