Prediction 2938

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=MT (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 30.18 7.29 9.29 11.95 18.50 49.79 77.80 102.77 129.77
2023-10-15 35.06 8.47 10.80 13.88 21.50 57.84 90.38 119.38 150.75
2023-10-22 40.72 9.84 12.54 16.12 24.97 67.19 104.99 138.68 175.12
2023-10-29 47.31 11.44 14.57 18.73 29.01 78.05 121.96 161.10 203.42
2023-11-05 54.95 13.28 16.92 21.75 33.69 90.65 141.66 187.12 236.28
2023-11-12 63.82 15.43 19.65 25.26 39.13 105.29 164.53 217.32 274.43
2023-11-19 74.11 17.91 22.82 29.34 45.44 122.27 191.07 252.38 318.69
2023-11-26 86.05 20.80 26.50 34.06 52.76 141.97 221.84 293.03 370.02
2023-12-03 99.89 24.15 30.76 39.54 61.25 164.80 257.52 340.16 429.53
2023-12-10 115.92 28.02 35.70 45.89 71.08 191.24 298.85 394.75 498.47
2023-12-17 134.46 32.50 41.41 53.23 82.45 221.85 346.67 457.91 578.22
2023-12-24 155.89 37.69 48.01 61.71 95.59 257.20 401.92 530.89 670.38
2023-12-31 180.61 43.66 55.62 71.50 110.75 297.98 465.64 615.05 776.65
2024-01-07 209.03 50.53 64.38 82.75 128.18 344.87 538.92 711.85 898.89
2024-01-14 241.61 58.41 74.41 95.65 148.15 398.62 622.92 822.80 1038.99
2024-01-21 278.78 67.39 85.86 110.36 170.94 459.94 718.74 949.37 1198.81
2024-01-28 320.91 77.58 98.83 127.04 196.78 529.45 827.35 1092.84 1379.98
2024-02-04 368.26 89.02 113.42 145.78 225.81 607.57 949.43 1254.09 1583.60
2024-02-11 420.87 101.74 129.62 166.61 258.07 694.38 1085.08 1433.26 1809.85
2024-02-18 478.44 115.66 147.35 189.40 293.37 789.36 1233.51 1629.32 2057.41
2024-02-25 540.15 130.58 166.36 213.83 331.21 891.18 1392.61 1839.47 2322.78
2024-03-03 604.50 146.13 186.18 239.30 370.67 997.33 1558.49 2058.59 2599.47
2024-03-10 669.12 161.75 206.08 264.88 410.29 1103.95 1725.10 2278.65 2877.36
2024-03-17 730.76 176.65 225.06 289.29 448.09 1205.65 1884.03 2488.59 3142.45
2024-03-24 785.42 189.87 241.90 310.92 481.61 1295.83 2024.95 2674.72 3377.48
2024-03-31 828.72 200.33 255.23 328.07 508.16 1367.27 2136.59 2822.18 3563.69
2024-04-07 856.64 207.08 263.83 339.12 525.28 1413.33 2208.56 2917.25 3683.74
2024-04-14 866.29 209.42 266.81 342.94 531.20 1429.26 2233.46 2950.13 3725.26
2024-04-21 856.64 207.08 263.83 339.12 525.28 1413.33 2208.56 2917.25 3683.74
2024-04-28 828.72 200.33 255.23 328.07 508.16 1367.27 2136.59 2822.18 3563.69
2024-05-05 785.42 189.87 241.90 310.92 481.61 1295.83 2024.95 2674.72 3377.48
2024-05-12 730.76 176.65 225.06 289.29 448.09 1205.65 1884.03 2488.59 3142.45
2024-05-19 669.12 161.75 206.08 264.88 410.29 1103.95 1725.10 2278.65 2877.36
2024-05-26 604.50 146.13 186.18 239.30 370.67 997.33 1558.49 2058.59 2599.47
2024-06-02 540.15 130.58 166.36 213.83 331.21 891.18 1392.61 1839.47 2322.78
2024-06-09 478.44 115.66 147.35 189.40 293.37 789.36 1233.51 1629.32 2057.41
2024-06-16 420.87 101.74 129.62 166.61 258.07 694.38 1085.08 1433.26 1809.85
2024-06-23 368.26 89.02 113.42 145.78 225.81 607.57 949.43 1254.09 1583.60
2024-06-30 320.91 77.58 98.83 127.04 196.78 529.45 827.35 1092.84 1379.98
2024-07-07 278.78 67.39 85.86 110.36 170.94 459.94 718.74 949.37 1198.81
2024-07-14 241.61 58.41 74.41 95.65 148.15 398.62 622.92 822.80 1038.99
2024-07-21 209.03 50.53 64.38 82.75 128.18 344.87 538.92 711.85 898.89
2024-07-28 180.61 43.66 55.62 71.50 110.75 297.98 465.64 615.05 776.65
2024-08-04 155.89 37.69 48.01 61.71 95.59 257.20 401.92 530.89 670.38
2024-08-11 134.46 32.50 41.41 53.23 82.45 221.85 346.67 457.91 578.22
2024-08-18 115.92 28.02 35.70 45.89 71.08 191.24 298.85 394.75 498.47
2024-08-25 99.89 24.15 30.76 39.54 61.25 164.80 257.52 340.16 429.53
2024-09-01 86.05 20.80 26.50 34.06 52.76 141.97 221.84 293.03 370.02
2024-09-08 74.11 17.91 22.82 29.34 45.44 122.27 191.07 252.38 318.69
2024-09-15 63.82 15.43 19.65 25.26 39.13 105.29 164.53 217.32 274.43
2024-09-22 54.95 13.28 16.92 21.75 33.69 90.65 141.66 187.12 236.28
2024-09-29 25.98 6.28 8.00 10.28 15.93 42.86 66.97 88.46 111.70
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