Prediction 2940

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=PB (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 35.46 7.74 10.02 13.22 21.09 59.76 95.36 131.05 164.98
2023-10-15 41.19 8.99 11.64 15.35 24.49 69.40 110.75 152.19 191.60
2023-10-22 47.83 10.44 13.51 17.82 28.44 80.59 128.60 176.72 222.48
2023-10-29 55.52 12.12 15.69 20.69 33.02 93.56 149.30 205.17 258.30
2023-11-05 64.44 14.07 18.21 24.02 38.32 108.59 173.28 238.13 299.79
2023-11-12 74.77 16.33 21.13 27.87 44.46 125.99 201.05 276.28 347.83
2023-11-19 86.71 18.93 24.50 32.32 51.56 146.11 233.16 320.40 403.38
2023-11-26 100.49 21.94 28.39 37.45 59.75 169.33 270.21 371.33 467.49
2023-12-03 116.36 25.41 32.88 43.37 69.19 196.08 312.89 429.98 541.33
2023-12-10 134.59 29.39 38.03 50.16 80.03 226.78 361.90 497.32 626.11
2023-12-17 155.43 33.94 43.91 57.93 92.42 261.90 417.93 574.32 723.05
2023-12-24 179.12 39.11 50.61 66.76 106.51 301.82 481.65 661.88 833.28
2023-12-31 205.87 44.95 58.17 76.72 122.41 346.89 553.56 760.71 957.70
2024-01-07 235.75 51.47 66.61 87.86 140.18 397.25 633.92 871.14 1096.73
2024-01-14 268.70 58.67 75.92 100.14 159.78 452.77 722.52 992.89 1250.01
2024-01-21 304.38 66.46 86.00 113.44 180.99 512.89 818.46 1124.74 1416.00
2024-01-28 342.10 74.69 96.66 127.50 203.42 576.44 919.88 1264.11 1591.46
2024-02-04 380.69 83.12 107.56 141.88 226.36 641.47 1023.64 1406.70 1770.97
2024-02-11 418.46 91.36 118.23 155.95 248.82 705.11 1125.20 1546.26 1946.68
2024-02-18 453.20 98.95 128.05 168.90 269.48 763.66 1218.63 1674.66 2108.32
2024-02-25 482.39 105.32 136.29 179.78 286.84 812.83 1297.10 1782.49 2244.08
2024-03-03 503.45 109.92 142.25 187.63 299.36 848.33 1353.75 1860.34 2342.09
2024-03-10 514.32 112.30 145.32 191.68 305.83 866.65 1382.98 1900.51 2392.66
2024-03-17 513.83 112.19 145.18 191.50 305.54 865.82 1381.67 1898.70 2390.38
2024-03-24 502.04 109.61 141.85 187.11 298.52 845.95 1349.95 1855.12 2335.51
2024-03-31 480.19 104.84 135.67 178.96 285.53 809.14 1291.20 1774.39 2233.88
2024-04-07 450.44 98.35 127.27 167.87 267.84 759.00 1211.19 1664.44 2095.46
2024-04-14 415.34 90.68 117.35 154.79 246.97 699.85 1116.82 1534.74 1932.17
2024-04-21 377.42 82.41 106.64 140.66 224.42 635.96 1014.86 1394.63 1755.78
2024-04-28 338.85 73.98 95.74 126.29 201.49 570.97 911.14 1252.10 1576.34
2024-05-05 301.27 65.78 85.12 112.28 179.14 507.64 810.09 1113.23 1401.51
2024-05-12 265.80 58.03 75.10 99.06 158.05 447.87 714.71 982.16 1236.50
2024-05-19 233.10 50.89 65.86 86.87 138.60 392.77 626.78 861.33 1084.38
2024-05-26 203.48 44.43 57.49 75.83 120.99 342.86 547.14 751.88 946.59
2024-06-02 177.00 38.65 50.01 65.97 105.25 298.24 475.93 654.03 823.40
2024-06-09 153.55 33.53 43.38 57.23 91.31 258.74 412.89 567.40 714.33
2024-06-16 132.95 29.03 37.56 49.55 79.05 224.02 357.48 491.26 618.47
2024-06-23 114.93 25.09 32.47 42.83 68.34 193.66 309.04 424.69 534.67
2024-06-30 99.25 21.67 28.04 36.99 59.01 167.23 266.87 366.73 461.70
2024-07-07 85.63 18.70 24.19 31.91 50.92 144.29 230.25 316.41 398.35
2024-07-14 73.83 16.12 20.86 27.52 43.90 124.41 198.54 272.83 343.48
2024-07-21 63.64 13.89 17.98 23.72 37.84 107.23 171.11 235.14 296.03
2024-07-28 54.83 11.97 15.49 20.43 32.60 92.38 147.42 202.59 255.05
2024-08-04 47.22 10.31 13.34 17.60 28.08 79.57 126.98 174.50 219.69
2024-08-11 40.67 8.88 11.49 15.16 24.18 68.53 109.35 150.27 189.19
2024-08-18 35.02 7.65 9.89 13.05 20.82 59.00 94.16 129.39 162.90
2024-08-25 30.15 6.58 8.52 11.24 17.93 50.80 81.07 111.40 140.25
2024-09-01 25.95 5.67 7.33 9.67 15.43 43.73 69.79 95.91 120.74
2024-09-08 22.34 4.88 6.31 8.33 13.29 37.65 60.08 82.56 103.94
2024-09-15 19.23 4.20 5.43 7.17 11.44 32.41 51.72 71.07 89.47
2024-09-22 16.56 3.61 4.68 6.17 9.84 27.90 44.52 61.18 77.02
2024-09-29 30.53 6.67 8.63 11.38 18.16 51.45 82.10 112.83 142.04
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