Prediction 2946

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=RO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 2.68 0.30 0.42 0.65 1.25 5.68 11.23 16.51 23.39
2023-10-15 3.24 0.37 0.51 0.78 1.51 6.87 13.59 19.98 28.31
2023-10-22 3.92 0.45 0.62 0.95 1.83 8.32 16.44 24.18 34.26
2023-10-29 4.74 0.54 0.75 1.14 2.21 10.07 19.90 29.26 41.46
2023-11-05 5.74 0.65 0.91 1.39 2.68 12.19 24.08 35.41 50.17
2023-11-12 6.95 0.79 1.10 1.68 3.24 14.75 29.14 42.85 60.72
2023-11-19 8.41 0.96 1.33 2.03 3.92 17.84 35.27 51.86 73.47
2023-11-26 10.17 1.16 1.61 2.46 4.75 21.59 42.68 62.75 88.91
2023-12-03 12.31 1.40 1.95 2.97 5.74 26.13 51.64 75.93 107.58
2023-12-10 14.89 1.70 2.35 3.59 6.95 31.61 62.47 91.86 130.15
2023-12-17 18.01 2.05 2.85 4.35 8.40 38.23 75.57 111.12 157.43
2023-12-24 21.78 2.48 3.44 5.26 10.16 46.24 91.39 134.38 190.39
2023-12-31 26.33 3.00 4.16 6.36 12.29 55.90 110.48 162.45 230.16
2024-01-07 31.82 3.62 5.03 7.68 14.85 67.54 133.49 196.28 278.10
2024-01-14 38.41 4.37 6.08 9.27 17.93 81.55 161.17 236.99 335.76
2024-01-21 46.33 5.28 7.33 11.18 21.62 98.35 194.37 285.82 404.94
2024-01-28 55.79 6.35 8.82 13.46 26.03 118.42 234.05 344.15 487.60
2024-02-04 67.02 7.63 10.60 16.17 31.27 142.26 281.17 413.44 585.76
2024-02-11 80.24 9.14 12.69 19.37 37.44 170.33 336.65 495.01 701.34
2024-02-18 95.61 10.89 15.12 23.08 44.62 202.96 401.14 589.85 835.70
2024-02-25 113.16 12.89 17.90 27.31 52.80 240.21 474.75 698.09 989.06
2024-03-03 132.66 15.11 20.98 32.02 61.90 281.60 556.56 818.38 1159.48
2024-03-10 153.50 17.48 24.28 37.05 71.63 325.84 644.00 946.96 1341.65
2024-03-17 174.54 19.88 27.60 42.13 81.45 370.52 732.30 1076.80 1525.62
2024-03-24 194.06 22.10 30.69 46.84 90.56 411.96 814.20 1197.23 1696.24
2024-03-31 209.87 23.90 33.19 50.65 97.93 445.51 880.52 1294.74 1834.39
2024-04-07 219.74 25.03 34.75 53.04 102.54 466.46 921.93 1355.63 1920.66
2024-04-14 222.07 25.29 35.12 53.60 103.63 471.41 931.71 1370.02 1941.05
2024-04-21 216.46 24.65 34.23 52.25 101.01 459.50 908.17 1335.41 1892.01
2024-04-28 203.87 23.22 32.24 49.20 95.13 432.76 855.32 1257.70 1781.91
2024-05-05 186.23 21.21 29.45 44.95 86.90 395.32 781.32 1148.87 1627.73
2024-05-12 165.82 18.88 26.23 40.02 77.38 352.00 695.71 1022.99 1449.38
2024-05-19 144.68 16.48 22.88 34.92 67.52 307.13 607.02 892.59 1264.62
2024-05-26 124.30 14.16 19.66 30.00 58.00 263.86 521.50 766.83 1086.44
2024-06-02 105.57 12.02 16.70 25.48 49.26 224.10 442.91 651.27 922.73
2024-06-09 88.92 10.13 14.06 21.46 41.49 188.76 373.07 548.57 777.22
2024-06-16 74.46 8.48 11.78 17.97 34.75 158.06 312.40 459.36 650.82
2024-06-23 62.09 7.07 9.82 14.99 28.97 131.81 260.51 383.06 542.73
2024-06-30 51.63 5.88 8.17 12.46 24.09 109.60 216.62 318.53 451.29
2024-07-07 42.85 4.88 6.78 10.34 19.99 90.96 179.77 264.34 374.51
2024-07-14 35.51 4.04 5.62 8.57 16.57 75.38 148.98 219.07 310.37
2024-07-21 29.40 3.35 4.65 7.10 13.72 62.41 123.35 181.38 256.98
2024-07-28 24.33 2.77 3.85 5.87 11.35 51.64 102.06 150.08 212.63
2024-08-04 20.12 2.29 3.18 4.86 9.39 42.71 84.41 124.12 175.86
2024-08-11 16.63 1.89 2.63 4.01 7.76 35.31 69.79 102.62 145.40
2024-08-18 13.75 1.57 2.17 3.32 6.42 29.19 57.69 84.83 120.19
2024-08-25 11.37 1.29 1.80 2.74 5.30 24.13 47.68 70.12 99.34
2024-09-01 9.39 1.07 1.49 2.27 4.38 19.94 39.41 57.95 82.10
2024-09-08 7.76 0.88 1.23 1.87 3.62 16.48 32.57 47.89 67.85
2024-09-15 6.41 0.73 1.01 1.55 2.99 13.62 26.91 39.57 56.06
2024-09-22 5.30 0.60 0.84 1.28 2.47 11.25 22.24 32.70 46.33
2024-09-29 2.21 0.25 0.35 0.53 1.03 4.69 9.28 13.64 19.33
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