Prediction 2950

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
Download CSV Dashboard
Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=SE (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 5.14 0.56 0.80 1.20 2.40 11.25 22.65 33.51 46.04
2023-10-15 5.97 0.66 0.93 1.40 2.79 13.07 26.31 38.92 53.48
2023-10-22 6.94 0.76 1.08 1.62 3.24 15.18 30.55 45.20 62.10
2023-10-29 8.05 0.88 1.25 1.88 3.77 17.63 35.48 52.48 72.11
2023-11-05 9.35 1.03 1.45 2.19 4.37 20.46 41.19 60.93 83.72
2023-11-12 10.85 1.19 1.69 2.54 5.07 23.75 47.80 70.72 97.17
2023-11-19 12.59 1.38 1.96 2.95 5.89 27.56 55.46 82.04 112.73
2023-11-26 14.60 1.60 2.27 3.42 6.83 31.95 64.31 95.14 130.73
2023-12-03 16.92 1.86 2.63 3.96 7.91 37.03 74.53 110.25 151.49
2023-12-10 19.59 2.15 3.04 4.58 9.16 42.88 86.29 127.66 175.40
2023-12-17 22.66 2.49 3.52 5.30 10.59 49.58 99.79 147.63 202.85
2023-12-24 26.16 2.87 4.06 6.12 12.23 57.25 115.22 170.45 234.21
2023-12-31 30.14 3.31 4.68 7.05 14.09 65.96 132.75 196.39 269.85
2024-01-07 34.63 3.80 5.38 8.10 16.19 75.79 152.52 225.64 310.04
2024-01-14 39.64 4.35 6.16 9.27 18.54 86.75 174.59 258.29 354.90
2024-01-21 45.15 4.96 7.01 10.56 21.11 98.82 198.88 294.23 404.28
2024-01-28 51.11 5.61 7.94 11.96 23.90 111.86 225.13 333.06 457.63
2024-02-04 57.40 6.30 8.92 13.43 26.84 125.61 252.80 373.99 513.87
2024-02-11 63.80 7.01 9.91 14.92 29.83 139.62 280.99 415.70 571.18
2024-02-18 70.03 7.69 10.88 16.38 32.75 153.26 308.44 456.31 626.98
2024-02-25 75.72 8.32 11.76 17.71 35.41 165.71 333.50 493.38 677.92
2024-03-03 80.44 8.84 12.50 18.82 37.61 176.05 354.30 524.16 720.21
2024-03-10 83.78 9.20 13.02 19.60 39.17 183.35 369.00 545.90 750.08
2024-03-17 85.40 9.38 13.27 19.98 39.93 186.89 376.12 556.44 764.56
2024-03-24 85.12 9.35 13.22 19.91 39.80 186.28 374.91 554.64 762.09
2024-03-31 82.98 9.12 12.89 19.41 38.80 181.60 365.49 540.71 742.95
2024-04-07 79.21 8.70 12.30 18.53 37.04 173.34 348.86 516.11 709.14
2024-04-14 74.16 8.15 11.52 17.35 34.68 162.30 326.64 483.23 663.97
2024-04-21 68.27 7.50 10.61 15.97 31.92 149.41 300.70 444.86 611.25
2024-04-28 61.96 6.81 9.62 14.49 28.97 135.59 272.89 403.71 554.70
2024-05-05 55.56 6.10 8.63 13.00 25.98 121.60 244.73 362.05 497.47
2024-05-12 49.36 5.42 7.67 11.55 23.08 108.02 217.40 321.62 441.91
2024-05-19 43.52 4.78 6.76 10.18 20.35 95.24 191.67 283.56 389.61
2024-05-26 38.14 4.19 5.93 8.92 17.84 83.48 168.00 248.54 341.50
2024-06-02 33.28 3.66 5.17 7.79 15.56 72.84 146.59 216.87 297.99
2024-06-09 28.94 3.18 4.50 6.77 13.53 63.34 127.48 188.59 259.13
2024-06-16 25.10 2.76 3.90 5.87 11.74 54.94 110.57 163.57 224.75
2024-06-23 21.73 2.39 3.38 5.08 10.16 47.56 95.71 141.60 194.56
2024-06-30 18.78 2.06 2.92 4.39 8.78 41.11 82.73 122.39 168.17
2024-07-07 16.22 1.78 2.52 3.79 7.58 35.49 71.43 105.68 145.21
2024-07-14 13.99 1.54 2.17 3.27 6.54 30.62 61.63 91.17 125.28
2024-07-21 12.06 1.33 1.87 2.82 5.64 26.40 53.14 78.61 108.01
2024-07-28 10.40 1.14 1.62 2.43 4.86 22.75 45.80 67.75 93.09
2024-08-04 8.96 0.98 1.39 2.10 4.19 19.60 39.45 58.37 80.20
2024-08-11 7.72 0.85 1.20 1.80 3.61 16.89 33.98 50.27 69.08
2024-08-18 6.64 0.73 1.03 1.55 3.11 14.54 29.26 43.29 59.49
2024-08-25 5.72 0.63 0.89 1.34 2.68 12.52 25.20 37.28 51.22
2024-09-01 4.93 0.54 0.77 1.15 2.30 10.78 21.69 32.09 44.10
2024-09-08 4.24 0.47 0.66 0.99 1.98 9.28 18.68 27.63 37.96
2024-09-15 3.65 0.40 0.57 0.85 1.71 7.99 16.08 23.79 32.68
2024-09-22 3.14 0.35 0.49 0.74 1.47 6.88 13.84 20.47 28.13
2024-09-29 4.43 0.49 0.69 1.04 2.07 9.69 19.50 28.85 39.64
Chat
chatbot