Prediction 2952

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=TO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 10.76 2.34 2.91 3.92 6.39 17.91 28.55 37.06 45.98
2023-10-15 12.50 2.72 3.38 4.55 7.43 20.81 33.16 43.05 53.42
2023-10-22 14.52 3.16 3.93 5.29 8.63 24.17 38.53 50.01 62.05
2023-10-29 16.86 3.67 4.56 6.14 10.02 28.08 44.75 58.09 72.08
2023-11-05 19.59 4.27 5.30 7.13 11.64 32.61 51.98 67.47 83.72
2023-11-12 22.75 4.95 6.15 8.29 13.52 37.88 60.37 78.36 97.24
2023-11-19 26.42 5.75 7.15 9.62 15.71 43.99 70.11 91.00 112.92
2023-11-26 30.68 6.68 8.30 11.17 18.23 51.08 81.40 105.66 131.11
2023-12-03 35.61 7.75 9.63 12.97 21.17 59.29 94.49 122.66 152.20
2023-12-10 41.32 9.00 11.18 15.05 24.56 68.80 109.66 142.34 176.62
2023-12-17 47.94 10.44 12.97 17.46 28.50 79.81 127.20 165.12 204.88
2023-12-24 55.58 12.10 15.03 20.24 33.04 92.53 147.48 191.43 237.54
2023-12-31 64.39 14.02 17.42 23.45 38.27 107.20 170.85 221.78 275.19
2024-01-07 74.52 16.23 20.16 27.14 44.30 124.08 197.74 256.68 318.50
2024-01-14 86.13 18.76 23.30 31.37 51.20 143.41 228.57 296.69 368.14
2024-01-21 99.38 21.64 26.88 36.19 59.08 165.48 263.72 342.33 424.77
2024-01-28 114.40 24.91 30.94 41.66 68.01 190.48 303.58 394.06 488.97
2024-02-04 131.28 28.59 35.51 47.81 78.04 218.59 348.37 452.21 561.11
2024-02-11 150.04 32.67 40.58 54.64 89.19 249.82 398.15 516.82 641.28
2024-02-18 170.56 37.14 46.14 62.12 101.39 283.99 452.61 587.51 729.00
2024-02-25 192.56 41.93 52.09 70.13 114.47 320.62 510.99 663.29 823.03
2024-03-03 215.50 46.92 58.29 78.48 128.10 358.81 571.85 742.30 921.07
2024-03-10 238.54 51.94 64.52 86.87 141.80 397.17 632.99 821.65 1019.53
2024-03-17 260.52 56.73 70.47 94.87 154.86 433.76 691.30 897.35 1113.46
2024-03-24 280.00 60.97 75.74 101.97 166.44 466.20 743.01 964.47 1196.74
2024-03-31 295.44 64.33 79.91 107.59 175.62 491.91 783.97 1017.64 1262.72
2024-04-07 305.39 66.50 82.60 111.22 181.54 508.48 810.38 1051.92 1305.26
2024-04-14 308.83 67.25 83.53 112.47 183.58 514.21 819.52 1063.78 1319.97
2024-04-21 305.39 66.50 82.60 111.22 181.54 508.48 810.38 1051.92 1305.26
2024-04-28 295.44 64.33 79.91 107.59 175.62 491.91 783.97 1017.64 1262.72
2024-05-05 280.00 60.97 75.74 101.97 166.44 466.20 743.01 964.47 1196.74
2024-05-12 260.52 56.73 70.47 94.87 154.86 433.76 691.30 897.35 1113.46
2024-05-19 238.54 51.94 64.52 86.87 141.80 397.17 632.99 821.65 1019.53
2024-05-26 215.50 46.92 58.29 78.48 128.10 358.81 571.85 742.30 921.07
2024-06-02 192.56 41.93 52.09 70.13 114.47 320.62 510.99 663.29 823.03
2024-06-09 170.56 37.14 46.14 62.12 101.39 283.99 452.61 587.51 729.00
2024-06-16 150.04 32.67 40.58 54.64 89.19 249.82 398.15 516.82 641.28
2024-06-23 131.28 28.59 35.51 47.81 78.04 218.59 348.37 452.21 561.11
2024-06-30 114.40 24.91 30.94 41.66 68.01 190.48 303.58 394.06 488.97
2024-07-07 99.38 21.64 26.88 36.19 59.08 165.48 263.72 342.33 424.77
2024-07-14 86.13 18.76 23.30 31.37 51.20 143.41 228.57 296.69 368.14
2024-07-21 74.52 16.23 20.16 27.14 44.30 124.08 197.74 256.68 318.50
2024-07-28 64.39 14.02 17.42 23.45 38.27 107.20 170.85 221.78 275.19
2024-08-04 55.58 12.10 15.03 20.24 33.04 92.53 147.48 191.43 237.54
2024-08-11 47.94 10.44 12.97 17.46 28.50 79.81 127.20 165.12 204.88
2024-08-18 41.32 9.00 11.18 15.05 24.56 68.80 109.66 142.34 176.62
2024-08-25 35.61 7.75 9.63 12.97 21.17 59.29 94.49 122.66 152.20
2024-09-01 30.68 6.68 8.30 11.17 18.23 51.08 81.40 105.66 131.11
2024-09-08 26.42 5.75 7.15 9.62 15.71 43.99 70.11 91.00 112.92
2024-09-15 22.75 4.95 6.15 8.29 13.52 37.88 60.37 78.36 97.24
2024-09-22 19.59 4.27 5.30 7.13 11.64 32.61 51.98 67.47 83.72
2024-09-29 9.26 2.02 2.50 3.37 5.50 15.42 24.57 31.90 39.58
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