Prediction 2953

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Acre

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=AC (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 19.11 2.21 3.09 4.60 9.15 40.21 79.76 117.53 165.70
2024-10-13 22.20 2.56 3.59 5.34 10.62 46.70 92.65 136.52 192.47
2024-10-20 25.78 2.98 4.17 6.21 12.34 54.24 107.60 158.56 223.54
2024-10-27 29.94 3.46 4.84 7.21 14.33 62.99 124.96 184.13 259.59
2024-11-03 34.76 4.01 5.62 8.37 16.64 73.14 145.09 213.79 301.41
2024-11-10 40.36 4.66 6.53 9.71 19.31 84.90 168.42 248.17 349.88
2024-11-17 46.83 5.41 7.58 11.27 22.41 98.52 195.45 288.00 406.03
2024-11-24 54.32 6.27 8.79 13.08 26.00 114.29 226.72 334.08 471.00
2024-12-01 62.98 7.27 10.19 15.16 30.14 132.50 262.85 387.32 546.06
2024-12-08 72.97 8.42 11.81 17.56 34.92 153.51 304.52 448.72 632.63
2024-12-15 84.45 9.75 13.66 20.33 40.42 177.66 352.45 519.34 732.19
2024-12-22 97.61 11.27 15.79 23.49 46.72 205.35 407.38 600.29 846.30
2024-12-29 112.63 13.00 18.22 27.11 53.90 236.94 470.04 692.62 976.48
2025-01-05 129.65 14.96 20.98 31.20 62.05 272.74 541.07 797.28 1124.04
2025-01-12 148.77 17.17 24.07 35.81 71.20 312.98 620.89 914.91 1289.87
2025-01-19 170.03 19.62 27.51 40.92 81.38 357.69 709.59 1045.61 1474.13
2025-01-26 193.28 22.31 31.27 46.52 92.50 406.61 806.63 1188.61 1675.74
2025-02-02 218.20 25.18 35.31 52.52 104.43 459.05 910.65 1341.88 1891.83
2025-02-09 244.18 28.18 39.51 58.77 116.87 513.71 1019.09 1501.66 2117.10
2025-02-16 270.28 31.19 43.73 65.05 129.36 568.60 1127.98 1662.12 2343.31
2025-02-23 295.16 34.07 47.76 71.04 141.27 620.95 1231.83 1815.15 2559.06
2025-03-02 317.21 36.61 51.33 76.35 151.82 667.35 1323.87 1950.78 2750.28
2025-03-09 334.68 38.63 54.15 80.55 160.18 704.09 1396.76 2058.18 2901.69
2025-03-16 345.92 39.92 55.97 83.26 165.56 727.75 1443.69 2127.34 2999.20
2025-03-23 349.79 40.37 56.60 84.19 167.41 735.89 1459.84 2151.13 3032.74
2025-03-30 345.87 39.92 55.96 83.24 165.53 727.62 1443.45 2126.98 2998.69
2025-04-06 334.57 38.61 54.13 80.53 160.13 703.85 1396.29 2057.49 2900.72
2025-04-13 317.06 36.59 51.30 76.31 151.75 667.02 1323.24 1949.84 2748.95
2025-04-20 294.98 34.04 47.73 71.00 141.18 620.57 1231.07 1814.03 2557.49
2025-04-27 270.08 31.17 43.70 65.00 129.26 568.18 1127.16 1660.91 2341.61
2025-05-04 243.98 28.16 39.48 58.72 116.77 513.29 1018.25 1500.43 2115.36
2025-05-11 218.01 25.16 35.27 52.47 104.34 458.64 909.84 1340.68 1890.13
2025-05-18 193.09 22.29 31.24 46.47 92.42 406.23 805.87 1187.47 1674.14
2025-05-25 169.86 19.60 27.48 40.88 81.29 357.34 708.88 1044.56 1472.66
2025-06-01 148.62 17.15 24.05 35.77 71.13 312.66 620.25 913.96 1288.54
2025-06-08 129.51 14.95 20.95 31.17 61.98 272.45 540.49 796.44 1122.84
2025-06-15 112.50 12.98 18.20 27.08 53.85 236.68 469.53 691.87 975.42
2025-06-22 97.50 11.25 15.78 23.47 46.67 205.13 406.93 599.63 845.38
2025-06-29 84.36 9.74 13.65 20.30 40.37 177.47 352.06 518.77 731.38
2025-07-06 72.89 8.41 11.79 17.54 34.88 153.33 304.18 448.22 631.92
2025-07-13 62.91 7.26 10.18 15.14 30.11 132.35 262.56 386.89 545.45
2025-07-20 54.26 6.26 8.78 13.06 25.97 114.16 226.46 333.70 470.47
2025-07-27 46.78 5.40 7.57 11.26 22.39 98.41 195.23 287.67 405.57
2025-08-03 40.31 4.65 6.52 9.70 19.29 84.80 168.23 247.89 349.49
2025-08-10 34.72 4.01 5.62 8.36 16.62 73.05 144.92 213.55 301.06
2025-08-17 29.91 3.45 4.84 7.20 14.31 62.92 124.81 183.92 259.29
2025-08-24 25.75 2.97 4.17 6.20 12.33 54.18 107.48 158.38 223.28
2025-08-31 22.17 2.56 3.59 5.34 10.61 46.65 92.54 136.36 192.25
2025-09-07 19.09 2.20 3.09 4.59 9.14 40.16 79.67 117.40 165.51
2025-09-14 16.43 1.90 2.66 3.96 7.87 34.57 68.59 101.07 142.49
2025-09-21 14.15 1.63 2.29 3.40 6.77 29.76 59.04 87.00 122.66
2025-09-28 16.45 1.90 2.66 3.96 7.87 34.61 68.67 101.18 142.65
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