Prediction 2955

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Amazonas

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=AM (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 5.09 0.64 0.90 1.29 2.47 10.63 20.74 30.07 42.42
2024-10-13 6.21 0.78 1.10 1.57 3.02 12.97 25.32 36.71 51.79
2024-10-20 7.58 0.95 1.34 1.92 3.69 15.83 30.91 44.81 63.22
2024-10-27 9.26 1.16 1.64 2.35 4.50 19.33 37.73 54.70 77.17
2024-11-03 11.30 1.42 2.00 2.86 5.49 23.59 46.06 66.77 94.20
2024-11-10 13.79 1.73 2.44 3.49 6.70 28.80 56.22 81.50 114.98
2024-11-17 16.84 2.11 2.97 4.27 8.18 35.15 68.62 99.47 140.33
2024-11-24 20.55 2.58 3.63 5.20 9.99 42.89 83.74 121.39 171.25
2024-12-01 25.07 3.15 4.43 6.35 12.18 52.33 102.17 148.11 208.95
2024-12-08 30.58 3.84 5.40 7.75 14.86 63.84 124.63 180.68 254.88
2024-12-15 37.29 4.68 6.59 9.45 18.12 77.84 151.97 220.31 310.80
2024-12-22 45.44 5.71 8.03 11.51 22.09 94.86 185.21 268.49 378.77
2024-12-29 55.34 6.95 9.77 14.02 26.90 115.51 225.52 326.94 461.23
2025-01-05 67.30 8.45 11.88 17.05 32.71 140.49 274.28 397.62 560.94
2025-01-12 81.70 10.26 14.43 20.70 39.71 170.55 332.97 482.71 680.97
2025-01-19 98.92 12.42 17.47 25.06 48.08 206.49 403.14 584.43 824.47
2025-01-26 119.30 14.98 21.07 30.22 57.98 249.02 486.18 704.82 994.31
2025-02-02 143.05 17.96 25.26 36.24 69.53 298.62 583.00 845.18 1192.31
2025-02-09 170.14 21.36 30.05 43.10 82.69 355.16 693.39 1005.22 1418.09
2025-02-16 200.03 25.11 35.32 50.67 97.22 417.56 815.21 1181.82 1667.22
2025-02-23 231.45 29.06 40.87 58.63 112.49 483.15 943.27 1367.46 1929.12
2025-03-02 262.17 32.91 46.30 66.41 127.42 547.26 1068.44 1548.93 2185.12
2025-03-09 288.98 36.28 51.03 73.20 140.45 603.23 1177.71 1707.33 2408.58
2025-03-16 308.19 38.69 54.42 78.07 149.79 643.33 1256.01 1820.84 2568.71
2025-03-23 316.60 39.75 55.91 80.20 153.88 660.88 1290.27 1870.52 2638.79
2025-03-30 312.65 39.25 55.21 79.20 151.96 652.63 1274.16 1847.16 2605.83
2025-04-06 297.08 37.29 52.46 75.26 144.39 620.13 1210.70 1755.16 2476.05
2025-04-13 272.61 34.22 48.14 69.06 132.50 569.07 1111.01 1610.64 2272.17
2025-04-20 242.91 30.49 42.90 61.54 118.06 507.07 989.97 1435.17 2024.62
2025-04-27 211.44 26.54 37.34 53.56 102.77 441.36 861.69 1249.19 1762.27
2025-05-04 180.79 22.70 31.93 45.80 87.87 377.39 736.79 1068.13 1506.85
2025-05-11 152.58 19.16 26.94 38.65 74.16 318.51 621.84 901.48 1271.74
2025-05-18 127.58 16.02 22.53 32.32 62.01 266.32 519.95 753.78 1063.37
2025-05-25 105.99 13.31 18.72 26.85 51.51 221.24 431.94 626.18 883.37
2025-06-01 87.65 11.00 15.48 22.20 42.60 182.96 357.21 517.85 730.54
2025-06-08 72.26 9.07 12.76 18.31 35.12 150.84 294.50 426.94 602.29
2025-06-15 59.45 7.46 10.50 15.06 28.90 124.10 242.29 351.25 495.51
2025-06-22 48.84 6.13 8.63 12.37 23.74 101.96 199.05 288.57 407.09
2025-06-29 40.09 5.03 7.08 10.16 19.48 83.68 163.38 236.85 334.13
2025-07-06 32.88 4.13 5.81 8.33 15.98 68.64 134.01 194.27 274.06
2025-07-13 26.96 3.38 4.76 6.83 13.10 56.28 109.87 159.28 224.70
2025-07-20 22.10 2.77 3.90 5.60 10.74 46.13 90.05 130.55 184.17
2025-07-27 18.11 2.27 3.20 4.59 8.80 37.80 73.80 106.98 150.93
2025-08-03 14.84 1.86 2.62 3.76 7.21 30.97 60.47 87.66 123.66
2025-08-10 12.16 1.53 2.15 3.08 5.91 25.38 49.54 71.82 101.32
2025-08-17 9.96 1.25 1.76 2.52 4.84 20.79 40.59 58.84 83.01
2025-08-24 8.16 1.02 1.44 2.07 3.97 17.03 33.25 48.20 68.00
2025-08-31 6.68 0.84 1.18 1.69 3.25 13.95 27.24 39.49 55.70
2025-09-07 5.47 0.69 0.97 1.39 2.66 11.43 22.31 32.35 45.63
2025-09-14 4.48 0.56 0.79 1.14 2.18 9.36 18.28 26.50 37.38
2025-09-21 3.67 0.46 0.65 0.93 1.79 7.67 14.97 21.71 30.62
2025-09-28 4.17 0.52 0.74 1.06 2.03 8.70 16.99 24.63 34.75
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