Prediction 2956
Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AP (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 1.87 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 4.52 | 10.12 | 16.62 | 24.03 |
2024-10-13 | 2.18 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.90 | 5.25 | 11.75 | 19.31 | 27.91 |
2024-10-20 | 2.53 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.48 | 1.05 | 6.10 | 13.65 | 22.43 | 32.42 |
2024-10-27 | 2.94 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 1.22 | 7.08 | 15.86 | 26.05 | 37.65 |
2024-11-03 | 3.41 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.64 | 1.41 | 8.22 | 18.41 | 30.25 | 43.73 |
2024-11-10 | 3.96 | 0.31 | 0.45 | 0.75 | 1.64 | 9.55 | 21.38 | 35.13 | 50.77 |
2024-11-17 | 4.60 | 0.36 | 0.53 | 0.87 | 1.90 | 11.09 | 24.82 | 40.78 | 58.94 |
2024-11-24 | 5.33 | 0.42 | 0.61 | 1.01 | 2.21 | 12.86 | 28.81 | 47.33 | 68.41 |
2024-12-01 | 6.19 | 0.48 | 0.71 | 1.17 | 2.56 | 14.92 | 33.42 | 54.90 | 79.36 |
2024-12-08 | 7.17 | 0.56 | 0.82 | 1.35 | 2.97 | 17.31 | 38.75 | 63.66 | 92.02 |
2024-12-15 | 8.31 | 0.65 | 0.95 | 1.57 | 3.44 | 20.05 | 44.90 | 73.77 | 106.62 |
2024-12-22 | 9.62 | 0.75 | 1.10 | 1.82 | 3.98 | 23.21 | 51.98 | 85.39 | 123.43 |
2024-12-29 | 11.13 | 0.87 | 1.28 | 2.10 | 4.61 | 26.84 | 60.10 | 98.73 | 142.71 |
2025-01-05 | 12.84 | 1.00 | 1.47 | 2.42 | 5.32 | 30.98 | 69.37 | 113.97 | 164.73 |
2025-01-12 | 14.79 | 1.15 | 1.70 | 2.79 | 6.12 | 35.68 | 79.89 | 131.26 | 189.72 |
2025-01-19 | 16.99 | 1.32 | 1.95 | 3.21 | 7.03 | 40.97 | 91.74 | 150.73 | 217.87 |
2025-01-26 | 19.43 | 1.51 | 2.23 | 3.67 | 8.04 | 46.87 | 104.95 | 172.42 | 249.22 |
2025-02-02 | 22.12 | 1.72 | 2.54 | 4.17 | 9.15 | 53.34 | 119.44 | 196.24 | 283.65 |
2025-02-09 | 25.01 | 1.95 | 2.87 | 4.72 | 10.35 | 60.32 | 135.05 | 221.89 | 320.72 |
2025-02-16 | 28.04 | 2.18 | 3.22 | 5.29 | 11.61 | 67.63 | 151.43 | 248.80 | 359.61 |
2025-02-23 | 31.11 | 2.42 | 3.57 | 5.87 | 12.88 | 75.04 | 168.02 | 276.05 | 399.01 |
2025-03-02 | 34.08 | 2.65 | 3.91 | 6.43 | 14.11 | 82.19 | 184.03 | 302.36 | 437.03 |
2025-03-09 | 36.75 | 2.86 | 4.22 | 6.94 | 15.21 | 88.64 | 198.47 | 326.08 | 471.32 |
2025-03-16 | 38.93 | 3.03 | 4.47 | 7.35 | 16.11 | 93.89 | 210.23 | 345.40 | 499.24 |
2025-03-23 | 40.41 | 3.15 | 4.64 | 7.63 | 16.73 | 97.47 | 218.24 | 358.55 | 518.26 |
2025-03-30 | 41.05 | 3.20 | 4.71 | 7.75 | 16.99 | 99.01 | 221.68 | 364.21 | 526.44 |
2025-04-06 | 40.77 | 3.18 | 4.68 | 7.70 | 16.88 | 98.34 | 220.20 | 361.77 | 522.91 |
2025-04-13 | 39.61 | 3.09 | 4.55 | 7.48 | 16.40 | 95.55 | 213.94 | 351.49 | 508.05 |
2025-04-20 | 37.69 | 2.94 | 4.32 | 7.11 | 15.60 | 90.92 | 203.57 | 334.45 | 483.42 |
2025-04-27 | 35.19 | 2.74 | 4.04 | 6.64 | 14.57 | 84.89 | 190.07 | 312.27 | 451.36 |
2025-05-04 | 32.32 | 2.52 | 3.71 | 6.10 | 13.38 | 77.96 | 174.55 | 286.78 | 414.52 |
2025-05-11 | 29.27 | 2.28 | 3.36 | 5.52 | 12.12 | 70.60 | 158.09 | 259.73 | 375.42 |
2025-05-18 | 26.21 | 2.04 | 3.01 | 4.95 | 10.85 | 63.22 | 141.55 | 232.55 | 336.14 |
2025-05-25 | 23.25 | 1.81 | 2.67 | 4.39 | 9.62 | 56.08 | 125.58 | 206.31 | 298.21 |
2025-06-01 | 20.48 | 1.60 | 2.35 | 3.87 | 8.48 | 49.40 | 110.60 | 181.72 | 262.65 |
2025-06-08 | 17.94 | 1.40 | 2.06 | 3.39 | 7.42 | 43.26 | 96.87 | 159.15 | 230.04 |
2025-06-15 | 15.64 | 1.22 | 1.79 | 2.95 | 6.47 | 37.73 | 84.48 | 138.79 | 200.61 |
2025-06-22 | 13.60 | 1.06 | 1.56 | 2.57 | 5.63 | 32.79 | 73.43 | 120.64 | 174.37 |
2025-06-29 | 11.79 | 0.92 | 1.35 | 2.22 | 4.88 | 28.43 | 63.66 | 104.60 | 151.18 |
2025-07-06 | 10.20 | 0.79 | 1.17 | 1.93 | 4.22 | 24.61 | 55.10 | 90.52 | 130.84 |
2025-07-13 | 8.82 | 0.69 | 1.01 | 1.66 | 3.65 | 21.27 | 47.62 | 78.23 | 113.07 |
2025-07-20 | 7.61 | 0.59 | 0.87 | 1.44 | 3.15 | 18.36 | 41.11 | 67.54 | 97.62 |
2025-07-27 | 6.57 | 0.51 | 0.75 | 1.24 | 2.72 | 15.84 | 35.46 | 58.26 | 84.21 |
2025-08-03 | 5.66 | 0.44 | 0.65 | 1.07 | 2.34 | 13.65 | 30.57 | 50.23 | 72.60 |
2025-08-10 | 4.88 | 0.38 | 0.56 | 0.92 | 2.02 | 11.77 | 26.35 | 43.29 | 62.57 |
2025-08-17 | 4.20 | 0.33 | 0.48 | 0.79 | 1.74 | 10.14 | 22.70 | 37.29 | 53.90 |
2025-08-24 | 3.62 | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.68 | 1.50 | 8.73 | 19.55 | 32.12 | 46.42 |
2025-08-31 | 3.12 | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.59 | 1.29 | 7.52 | 16.83 | 27.66 | 39.98 |
2025-09-07 | 2.68 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.51 | 1.11 | 6.47 | 14.50 | 23.81 | 34.42 |
2025-09-14 | 2.31 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.96 | 5.57 | 12.48 | 20.50 | 29.64 |
2025-09-21 | 1.99 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.38 | 0.82 | 4.80 | 10.74 | 17.65 | 25.51 |
2025-09-28 | 1.61 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.67 | 3.89 | 8.71 | 14.31 | 20.68 |