Prediction 2960

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Espírito Santo

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=ES (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 63.10 6.96 10.04 15.01 30.22 129.37 250.49 370.86 524.90
2024-10-13 73.30 8.08 11.66 17.44 35.11 150.29 290.99 430.81 609.76
2024-10-20 85.15 9.39 13.54 20.26 40.78 174.57 338.01 500.43 708.29
2024-10-27 98.90 10.90 15.73 23.53 47.37 202.77 392.61 581.26 822.70
2024-11-03 114.86 12.66 18.27 27.33 55.02 235.50 455.98 675.08 955.49
2024-11-10 133.39 14.70 21.21 31.74 63.89 273.48 529.51 783.95 1109.58
2024-11-17 154.87 17.07 24.63 36.85 74.18 317.53 614.80 910.22 1288.30
2024-11-24 179.77 19.82 28.59 42.78 86.11 368.59 713.66 1056.58 1495.45
2024-12-01 208.61 22.99 33.18 49.64 99.93 427.72 828.16 1226.09 1735.38
2024-12-08 241.98 26.67 38.49 57.58 115.91 496.14 960.62 1422.21 2012.96
2024-12-15 280.53 30.92 44.62 66.75 134.37 575.17 1113.65 1648.77 2333.62
2024-12-22 324.97 35.82 51.69 77.33 155.66 666.29 1290.08 1909.97 2703.32
2024-12-29 376.07 41.45 59.81 89.49 180.14 771.07 1492.94 2210.30 3128.41
2025-01-05 434.62 47.91 69.13 103.42 208.18 891.10 1725.36 2554.40 3615.43
2025-01-12 501.37 55.26 79.74 119.30 240.15 1027.96 1990.34 2946.70 4170.69
2025-01-19 576.97 63.60 91.77 137.29 276.37 1182.97 2290.48 3391.06 4799.62
2025-01-26 661.86 72.95 105.27 157.49 317.03 1357.02 2627.46 3889.97 5505.77
2025-02-02 756.05 83.34 120.25 179.90 362.15 1550.14 3001.39 4443.56 6289.31
2025-02-09 858.93 94.68 136.61 204.38 411.43 1761.06 3409.78 5048.19 7145.09
2025-02-16 968.92 106.80 154.11 230.55 464.11 1986.59 3846.45 5694.68 8060.12
2025-02-23 1083.23 119.40 172.29 257.75 518.87 2220.95 4300.22 6366.49 9010.98
2025-03-02 1197.50 131.99 190.46 284.94 573.60 2455.26 4753.87 7038.13 9961.60
2025-03-09 1305.83 143.93 207.69 310.72 625.49 2677.35 5183.90 7674.78 10862.70
2025-03-16 1400.97 154.42 222.82 333.36 671.07 2872.43 5561.61 8233.99 11654.19
2025-03-23 1475.21 162.61 234.63 351.02 706.63 3024.64 5856.31 8670.29 12271.72
2025-03-30 1521.53 167.71 242.00 362.05 728.81 3119.62 6040.21 8942.55 12657.08
2025-04-06 1535.13 169.21 244.16 365.28 735.33 3147.50 6094.20 9022.48 12770.21
2025-04-13 1514.53 166.94 240.88 360.38 725.46 3105.26 6012.41 8901.39 12598.82
2025-04-20 1461.95 161.14 232.52 347.87 700.28 2997.46 5803.69 8592.38 12161.46
2025-04-27 1382.78 152.42 219.93 329.03 662.35 2835.13 5489.38 8127.05 11502.84
2025-05-04 1284.28 141.56 204.26 305.59 615.17 2633.17 5098.35 7548.12 10683.44
2025-05-11 1174.17 129.42 186.75 279.39 562.43 2407.41 4661.23 6900.97 9767.47
2025-05-18 1059.45 116.78 168.50 252.09 507.48 2172.20 4205.83 6226.75 8813.19
2025-05-25 945.73 104.24 150.42 225.04 453.01 1939.05 3754.39 5558.39 7867.22
2025-06-01 837.02 92.26 133.13 199.17 400.93 1716.16 3322.83 4919.46 6962.89
2025-06-08 735.85 81.11 117.04 175.09 352.47 1508.72 2921.19 4324.83 6121.27
2025-06-15 643.56 70.94 102.36 153.13 308.26 1319.49 2554.80 3782.38 5353.50
2025-06-22 560.60 61.79 89.16 133.39 268.53 1149.41 2225.49 3294.85 4663.45
2025-06-29 486.87 53.67 77.44 115.85 233.21 998.24 1932.79 2861.51 4050.11
2025-07-06 421.88 46.50 67.10 100.38 202.08 864.98 1674.77 2479.51 3509.44
2025-07-13 364.93 40.22 58.04 86.84 174.80 748.23 1448.72 2144.83 3035.74
2025-07-20 315.27 34.75 50.14 75.02 151.02 646.40 1251.57 1852.95 2622.63
2025-07-27 272.11 29.99 43.28 64.75 130.34 557.91 1080.22 1599.27 2263.57
2025-08-03 234.69 25.87 37.33 55.84 112.42 481.18 931.67 1379.33 1952.28
2025-08-10 202.31 22.30 32.18 48.14 96.90 414.79 803.11 1189.01 1682.90
2025-08-17 174.32 19.21 27.73 41.48 83.50 357.42 692.03 1024.55 1450.13
2025-08-24 150.17 16.55 23.88 35.73 71.93 307.89 596.13 882.58 1249.18
2025-08-31 129.33 14.26 20.57 30.77 61.95 265.17 513.42 760.12 1075.85
2025-09-07 111.37 12.28 17.71 26.50 53.34 228.34 442.11 654.54 926.42
2025-09-14 95.89 10.57 15.25 22.82 45.93 196.60 380.65 563.56 797.65
2025-09-21 82.55 9.10 13.13 19.64 39.54 169.26 327.71 485.18 686.72
2025-09-28 54.32 5.99 8.64 12.92 26.02 111.36 215.62 319.23 451.84
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