Prediction 2961

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=GO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 190.78 40.43 51.09 68.63 111.45 323.88 528.71 708.91 912.82
2024-10-13 221.71 46.99 59.38 79.76 129.52 376.40 614.44 823.86 1060.83
2024-10-20 257.64 54.60 69.00 92.68 150.51 437.40 714.03 957.39 1232.76
2024-10-27 299.38 63.44 80.18 107.69 174.89 508.26 829.68 1112.47 1432.45
2024-11-03 347.83 73.71 93.16 125.13 203.19 590.52 963.97 1292.53 1664.30
2024-11-10 404.07 85.63 108.22 145.36 236.05 686.00 1119.84 1501.51 1933.39
2024-11-17 469.31 99.46 125.69 168.83 274.16 796.76 1300.64 1743.94 2245.55
2024-11-24 544.94 115.49 145.95 196.03 318.34 925.15 1510.23 2024.97 2607.42
2024-12-01 632.53 134.05 169.40 227.54 369.51 1073.85 1752.97 2350.44 3026.51
2024-12-08 733.84 155.52 196.54 263.98 428.69 1245.85 2033.74 2726.91 3511.25
2024-12-15 850.82 180.31 227.87 306.07 497.03 1444.45 2357.95 3161.61 4070.99
2024-12-22 985.59 208.87 263.96 354.55 575.75 1673.25 2731.44 3662.40 4715.83
2024-12-29 1140.36 241.67 305.41 410.22 666.17 1936.02 3160.38 4237.54 5456.39
2025-01-05 1317.37 279.18 352.82 473.90 769.57 2236.52 3650.93 4895.29 6303.33
2025-01-12 1518.66 321.84 406.73 546.31 887.16 2578.26 4208.79 5643.28 7266.46
2025-01-19 1745.83 369.98 467.57 628.03 1019.87 2963.94 4838.38 6487.45 8353.45
2025-01-26 1999.62 423.77 535.54 719.33 1168.12 3394.79 5541.71 7430.50 9567.75
2025-02-02 2279.26 483.03 610.44 819.92 1331.49 3869.56 6316.72 8469.66 10905.80
2025-02-09 2581.78 547.14 691.46 928.75 1508.21 4383.15 7155.12 9593.82 12353.31
2025-02-16 2901.06 614.80 776.97 1043.60 1694.72 4925.19 8039.95 10780.23 13880.97
2025-02-23 3226.95 683.87 864.25 1160.84 1885.10 5478.47 8943.12 11991.23 15440.29
2025-03-02 3544.78 751.22 949.37 1275.17 2070.77 6018.05 9823.95 13172.27 16961.04
2025-03-09 3835.58 812.85 1027.26 1379.78 2240.65 6511.76 10629.89 14252.90 18352.49
2025-03-16 4077.65 864.15 1092.09 1466.86 2382.06 6922.72 11300.75 15152.41 19510.73
2025-03-23 4249.49 900.57 1138.11 1528.68 2482.44 7214.46 11776.98 15790.95 20332.94
2025-03-30 4333.86 918.45 1160.71 1559.03 2531.73 7357.69 12010.80 16104.46 20736.62
2025-04-06 4321.67 915.86 1157.44 1554.64 2524.61 7337.00 11977.02 16059.17 20678.31
2025-04-13 4214.26 893.10 1128.68 1516.01 2461.86 7154.66 11679.36 15660.06 20164.40
2025-04-20 4023.06 852.58 1077.47 1447.23 2350.17 6830.05 11149.47 14949.56 19249.54
2025-04-27 3766.76 798.26 1008.82 1355.02 2200.44 6394.91 10439.14 13997.14 18023.17
2025-05-04 3467.25 734.79 928.61 1247.28 2025.48 5886.43 9609.08 12884.17 16590.07
2025-05-11 3145.78 666.67 842.51 1131.64 1837.69 5340.67 8718.19 11689.63 15051.94
2025-05-18 2820.35 597.70 755.35 1014.57 1647.58 4788.18 7816.29 10480.33 13494.81
2025-05-25 2504.47 530.76 670.76 900.94 1463.05 4251.91 6940.87 9306.54 11983.40
2025-06-01 2207.22 467.76 591.14 794.01 1289.40 3747.25 6117.07 8201.96 10561.11
2025-06-08 1933.85 409.83 517.93 695.67 1129.70 3283.14 5359.45 7186.12 9253.08
2025-06-15 1686.70 357.45 451.74 606.76 985.33 2863.55 4674.50 6267.72 8070.52
2025-06-22 1466.09 310.70 392.65 527.40 856.45 2489.02 4063.10 5447.94 7014.94
2025-06-29 1271.03 269.36 340.41 457.23 742.50 2157.85 3522.51 4723.10 6081.61
2025-07-06 1099.77 233.07 294.54 395.62 642.46 1867.10 3047.89 4086.70 5262.17
2025-07-13 950.19 201.37 254.48 341.82 555.08 1613.17 2633.36 3530.89 4546.49
2025-07-20 820.07 173.79 219.63 295.00 479.06 1392.25 2272.72 3047.34 3923.85
2025-07-27 707.18 149.87 189.40 254.40 413.12 1200.60 1959.88 2627.87 3383.73
2025-08-03 609.47 129.16 163.23 219.25 356.04 1034.71 1689.08 2264.78 2916.20
2025-08-10 525.02 111.26 140.61 188.87 306.71 891.35 1455.04 1950.97 2512.13
2025-08-17 452.13 95.82 121.09 162.64 264.12 767.59 1253.02 1680.09 2163.33
2025-08-24 389.25 82.49 104.25 140.03 227.39 660.85 1078.77 1446.45 1862.50
2025-08-31 335.06 71.01 89.74 120.53 195.74 568.84 928.59 1245.08 1603.21
2025-09-07 288.38 61.11 77.23 103.74 168.46 489.58 799.21 1071.60 1379.83
2025-09-14 248.17 52.59 66.47 89.28 144.98 421.33 687.78 922.20 1187.45
2025-09-21 213.56 45.26 57.20 76.82 124.75 362.56 591.84 793.56 1021.82
2025-09-28 164.15 34.79 43.96 59.05 95.89 278.68 454.93 609.98 785.43
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