Prediction 2962

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=MA (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 6.84 1.39 1.81 2.39 3.94 11.91 19.60 26.69 34.34
2024-10-13 8.01 1.63 2.12 2.80 4.61 13.96 22.97 31.27 40.25
2024-10-20 9.39 1.91 2.48 3.28 5.41 16.36 26.92 36.65 47.16
2024-10-27 11.00 2.24 2.91 3.84 6.34 19.17 31.54 42.94 55.27
2024-11-03 12.89 2.62 3.41 4.50 7.43 22.47 36.96 50.32 64.76
2024-11-10 15.10 3.08 3.99 5.27 8.70 26.32 43.30 58.96 75.88
2024-11-17 17.70 3.60 4.68 6.18 10.19 30.84 50.73 69.08 88.90
2024-11-24 20.73 4.22 5.48 7.24 11.94 36.13 59.43 80.92 104.14
2024-12-01 24.28 4.94 6.42 8.48 13.98 42.31 69.61 94.77 121.97
2024-12-08 28.43 5.79 7.51 9.93 16.38 49.55 81.51 110.98 142.82
2024-12-15 33.28 6.78 8.80 11.62 19.17 58.00 95.41 129.90 167.18
2024-12-22 38.94 7.93 10.29 13.59 22.43 67.86 111.63 151.99 195.60
2024-12-29 45.53 9.27 12.03 15.89 26.22 79.35 130.53 177.72 228.71
2025-01-05 53.19 10.83 14.06 18.57 30.64 92.70 152.49 207.62 267.20
2025-01-12 62.07 12.64 16.41 21.67 35.75 108.17 177.95 242.28 311.80
2025-01-19 72.31 14.72 19.11 25.25 41.65 126.03 207.32 282.27 363.27
2025-01-26 84.07 17.12 22.22 29.35 48.42 146.52 241.02 328.16 422.33
2025-02-02 97.45 19.84 25.76 34.02 56.13 169.84 279.39 380.40 489.56
2025-02-09 112.52 22.91 29.74 39.28 64.81 196.11 322.60 439.24 565.28
2025-02-16 129.25 26.32 34.16 45.12 74.45 225.27 370.57 504.54 649.32
2025-02-23 147.45 30.02 38.97 51.48 84.93 256.99 422.75 575.59 740.75
2025-03-02 166.72 33.94 44.07 58.20 96.03 290.57 477.99 650.80 837.55
2025-03-09 186.37 37.94 49.26 65.06 107.35 324.82 534.33 727.51 936.27
2025-03-16 205.39 41.82 54.29 71.71 118.31 357.97 588.87 801.78 1031.84
2025-03-23 222.49 45.30 58.81 77.68 128.16 387.77 637.89 868.52 1117.73
2025-03-30 236.19 48.09 62.43 82.46 136.05 411.65 677.16 921.99 1186.55
2025-04-06 245.10 49.90 64.78 85.57 141.18 427.17 702.69 956.75 1231.28
2025-04-13 248.19 50.53 65.60 86.65 142.96 432.56 711.56 968.82 1246.82
2025-04-20 245.10 49.90 64.78 85.57 141.18 427.17 702.69 956.75 1231.28
2025-04-27 236.19 48.09 62.43 82.46 136.05 411.65 677.16 921.99 1186.55
2025-05-04 222.49 45.30 58.81 77.68 128.16 387.77 637.89 868.52 1117.73
2025-05-11 205.39 41.82 54.29 71.71 118.31 357.97 588.87 801.78 1031.84
2025-05-18 186.37 37.94 49.26 65.06 107.35 324.82 534.33 727.51 936.27
2025-05-25 166.72 33.94 44.07 58.20 96.03 290.57 477.99 650.80 837.55
2025-06-01 147.45 30.02 38.97 51.48 84.93 256.99 422.75 575.59 740.75
2025-06-08 129.25 26.32 34.16 45.12 74.45 225.27 370.57 504.54 649.32
2025-06-15 112.52 22.91 29.74 39.28 64.81 196.11 322.60 439.24 565.28
2025-06-22 97.45 19.84 25.76 34.02 56.13 169.84 279.39 380.40 489.56
2025-06-29 84.07 17.12 22.22 29.35 48.42 146.52 241.02 328.16 422.33
2025-07-06 72.31 14.72 19.11 25.25 41.65 126.03 207.32 282.27 363.27
2025-07-13 62.07 12.64 16.41 21.67 35.75 108.17 177.95 242.28 311.80
2025-07-20 53.19 10.83 14.06 18.57 30.64 92.70 152.49 207.62 267.20
2025-07-27 45.53 9.27 12.03 15.89 26.22 79.35 130.53 177.72 228.71
2025-08-03 38.94 7.93 10.29 13.59 22.43 67.86 111.63 151.99 195.60
2025-08-10 33.28 6.78 8.80 11.62 19.17 58.00 95.41 129.90 167.18
2025-08-17 28.43 5.79 7.51 9.93 16.38 49.55 81.51 110.98 142.82
2025-08-24 24.28 4.94 6.42 8.48 13.98 42.31 69.61 94.77 121.97
2025-08-31 20.73 4.22 5.48 7.24 11.94 36.13 59.43 80.92 104.14
2025-09-07 17.70 3.60 4.68 6.18 10.19 30.84 50.73 69.08 88.90
2025-09-14 15.10 3.08 3.99 5.27 8.70 26.32 43.30 58.96 75.88
2025-09-21 12.89 2.62 3.41 4.50 7.43 22.47 36.96 50.32 64.76
2025-09-28 5.83 1.19 1.54 2.04 3.36 10.17 16.72 22.77 29.30
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