Prediction 2964

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Mato Grosso do Sul

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=MS (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 38.93 2.58 4.02 6.54 14.89 97.22 235.37 382.71 577.46
2024-10-13 46.23 3.07 4.77 7.77 17.68 115.45 279.51 454.49 685.77
2024-10-20 54.90 3.64 5.66 9.22 20.99 137.10 331.92 539.71 814.35
2024-10-27 65.19 4.33 6.72 10.95 24.93 162.79 394.11 640.84 966.94
2024-11-03 77.39 5.14 7.98 13.00 29.60 193.27 467.90 760.82 1147.97
2024-11-10 91.87 6.10 9.48 15.43 35.13 229.41 555.40 903.10 1362.65
2024-11-17 109.02 7.23 11.25 18.31 41.69 272.24 659.10 1071.71 1617.06
2024-11-24 129.33 8.58 13.34 21.73 49.45 322.95 781.87 1271.33 1918.27
2024-12-01 153.34 10.17 15.82 25.76 58.63 382.91 927.03 1507.37 2274.42
2024-12-08 181.67 12.05 18.74 30.52 69.47 453.67 1098.35 1785.94 2694.74
2024-12-15 215.03 14.27 22.18 36.12 82.23 536.97 1300.02 2113.85 3189.52
2024-12-22 254.15 16.86 26.22 42.70 97.19 634.66 1536.54 2498.44 3769.80
2024-12-29 299.80 19.89 30.93 50.36 114.64 748.65 1812.50 2947.15 4446.86
2025-01-05 352.67 23.40 36.38 59.25 134.86 880.68 2132.14 3466.90 5231.09
2025-01-12 413.29 27.42 42.63 69.43 158.04 1032.06 2498.64 4062.83 6130.26
2025-01-19 481.81 31.97 49.70 80.94 184.24 1203.16 2912.87 4736.39 7146.57
2025-01-26 557.72 37.01 57.53 93.69 213.27 1392.71 3371.79 5482.60 8272.50
2025-02-02 639.49 42.43 65.97 107.43 244.54 1596.91 3866.15 6286.44 9485.39
2025-02-09 724.17 48.05 74.70 121.66 276.92 1808.37 4378.11 7118.89 10741.45
2025-02-16 807.09 53.55 83.26 135.59 308.63 2015.44 4879.43 7934.04 11971.41
2025-02-23 881.90 58.52 90.97 148.15 337.23 2202.24 5331.69 8669.43 13081.01
2025-03-02 941.20 62.45 97.09 158.11 359.91 2350.33 5690.22 9252.40 13960.63
2025-03-09 977.94 64.89 100.88 164.29 373.96 2442.07 5912.31 9613.52 14505.52
2025-03-16 987.17 65.50 101.83 165.84 377.49 2465.12 5968.11 9704.26 14642.43
2025-03-23 967.58 64.20 99.81 162.55 370.00 2416.21 5849.71 9511.73 14351.92
2025-03-30 921.93 61.17 95.10 154.88 352.54 2302.20 5573.69 9062.93 13674.74
2025-04-06 856.12 56.81 88.31 143.82 327.37 2137.88 5175.86 8416.04 12698.67
2025-04-13 777.54 51.59 80.21 130.62 297.33 1941.66 4700.81 7643.59 11533.16
2025-04-20 693.33 46.00 71.52 116.47 265.12 1731.36 4191.67 6815.74 10284.03
2025-04-27 609.26 40.43 62.85 102.35 232.98 1521.42 3683.41 5989.29 9037.04
2025-05-04 529.36 35.12 54.61 88.93 202.42 1321.90 3200.36 5203.85 7851.90
2025-05-11 456.02 30.26 47.04 76.61 174.38 1138.76 2756.98 4482.90 6764.09
2025-05-18 390.36 25.90 40.27 65.58 149.27 974.78 2359.98 3837.37 5790.08
2025-05-25 332.59 22.07 34.31 55.87 127.18 830.54 2010.76 3269.52 4933.27
2025-06-01 282.42 18.74 29.13 47.44 107.99 705.25 1707.42 2776.29 4189.06
2025-06-08 239.23 15.87 24.68 40.19 91.48 597.39 1446.31 2351.72 3548.43
2025-06-15 202.29 13.42 20.87 33.98 77.35 505.15 1222.98 1988.59 3000.51
2025-06-22 170.84 11.34 17.62 28.70 65.33 426.61 1032.84 1679.42 2534.02
2025-06-29 144.15 9.56 14.87 24.22 55.12 359.97 871.49 1417.05 2138.14
2025-07-06 121.55 8.07 12.54 20.42 46.48 303.54 734.87 1194.91 1802.96
2025-07-13 102.45 6.80 10.57 17.21 39.18 255.84 619.39 1007.14 1519.64
2025-07-20 86.32 5.73 8.90 14.50 33.01 215.56 521.89 848.60 1280.42
2025-07-27 72.72 4.83 7.50 12.22 27.81 181.59 439.63 714.85 1078.62
2025-08-03 61.25 4.06 6.32 10.29 23.42 152.95 370.28 602.09 908.47
2025-08-10 51.58 3.42 5.32 8.67 19.72 128.80 311.84 507.06 765.08
2025-08-17 43.44 2.88 4.48 7.30 16.61 108.46 262.60 426.99 644.26
2025-08-24 36.57 2.43 3.77 6.14 13.99 91.33 221.12 359.54 542.50
2025-08-31 30.80 2.04 3.18 5.17 11.78 76.90 186.18 302.74 456.79
2025-09-07 25.93 1.72 2.67 4.36 9.92 64.75 156.76 254.90 384.61
2025-09-14 21.83 1.45 2.25 3.67 8.35 54.52 131.99 214.62 323.83
2025-09-21 18.38 1.22 1.90 3.09 7.03 45.90 111.13 180.70 272.65
2025-09-28 32.78 2.18 3.38 5.51 12.54 81.86 198.18 322.25 486.23
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