Prediction 2965

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Mato Grosso

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=MT (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 32.35 7.72 9.69 12.53 19.31 52.92 84.01 112.44 144.26
2024-10-13 37.58 8.97 11.25 14.56 22.43 61.48 97.60 130.63 167.58
2024-10-20 43.66 10.42 13.07 16.91 26.06 71.42 113.38 151.75 194.68
2024-10-27 50.71 12.10 15.19 19.65 30.27 82.96 131.70 176.27 226.14
2024-11-03 58.91 14.05 17.64 22.82 35.16 96.36 152.98 204.74 262.67
2024-11-10 68.41 16.32 20.49 26.50 40.84 111.91 177.67 237.79 305.07
2024-11-17 79.45 18.95 23.79 30.78 47.42 129.96 206.32 276.15 354.27
2024-11-24 92.25 22.01 27.62 35.74 55.06 150.90 239.56 320.63 411.34
2024-12-01 107.08 25.55 32.06 41.49 63.92 175.17 278.09 372.20 477.49
2024-12-08 124.27 29.65 37.21 48.14 74.18 203.28 322.72 431.93 554.12
2024-12-15 144.15 34.39 43.16 55.85 86.05 235.81 374.36 501.04 642.79
2024-12-22 167.13 39.87 50.04 64.75 99.76 273.39 434.02 580.89 745.23
2024-12-29 193.62 46.19 57.98 75.01 115.58 316.73 502.82 672.98 863.37
2025-01-05 224.09 53.46 67.10 86.82 133.77 366.58 581.96 778.90 999.25
2025-01-12 259.02 61.79 77.56 100.35 154.61 423.71 672.66 900.29 1155.00
2025-01-19 298.86 71.30 89.49 115.78 178.40 488.89 776.13 1038.78 1332.66
2025-01-26 344.03 82.07 103.01 133.28 205.36 562.77 893.43 1195.77 1534.06
2025-02-02 394.79 94.18 118.21 152.95 235.66 645.81 1025.25 1372.21 1760.41
2025-02-09 451.19 107.64 135.10 174.80 269.33 738.08 1171.73 1568.25 2011.93
2025-02-16 512.91 122.36 153.58 198.71 306.17 839.04 1332.01 1782.77 2287.14
2025-02-23 579.07 138.15 173.39 224.34 345.66 947.26 1503.82 2012.72 2582.14
2025-03-02 648.05 154.60 194.04 251.06 386.83 1060.10 1682.95 2252.47 2889.72
2025-03-09 717.32 171.13 214.79 277.90 428.19 1173.43 1862.86 2493.27 3198.63
2025-03-16 783.41 186.90 234.58 303.51 467.64 1281.54 2034.49 2722.97 3493.33
2025-03-23 842.01 200.87 252.12 326.21 502.61 1377.39 2186.66 2926.63 3754.60
2025-03-30 888.43 211.95 266.02 344.19 530.32 1453.32 2307.21 3087.99 3961.60
2025-04-06 918.36 219.09 274.98 355.79 548.19 1502.28 2384.94 3192.01 4095.06
2025-04-13 928.71 221.56 278.08 359.80 554.37 1519.22 2411.82 3227.99 4141.22
2025-04-20 918.36 219.09 274.98 355.79 548.19 1502.28 2384.94 3192.01 4095.06
2025-04-27 888.43 211.95 266.02 344.19 530.32 1453.32 2307.21 3087.99 3961.60
2025-05-04 842.01 200.87 252.12 326.21 502.61 1377.39 2186.66 2926.63 3754.60
2025-05-11 783.41 186.90 234.58 303.51 467.64 1281.54 2034.49 2722.97 3493.33
2025-05-18 717.32 171.13 214.79 277.90 428.19 1173.43 1862.86 2493.27 3198.63
2025-05-25 648.05 154.60 194.04 251.06 386.83 1060.10 1682.95 2252.47 2889.72
2025-06-01 579.07 138.15 173.39 224.34 345.66 947.26 1503.82 2012.72 2582.14
2025-06-08 512.91 122.36 153.58 198.71 306.17 839.04 1332.01 1782.77 2287.14
2025-06-15 451.19 107.64 135.10 174.80 269.33 738.08 1171.73 1568.25 2011.93
2025-06-22 394.79 94.18 118.21 152.95 235.66 645.81 1025.25 1372.21 1760.41
2025-06-29 344.03 82.07 103.01 133.28 205.36 562.77 893.43 1195.77 1534.06
2025-07-06 298.86 71.30 89.49 115.78 178.40 488.89 776.13 1038.78 1332.66
2025-07-13 259.02 61.79 77.56 100.35 154.61 423.71 672.66 900.29 1155.00
2025-07-20 224.09 53.46 67.10 86.82 133.77 366.58 581.96 778.90 999.25
2025-07-27 193.62 46.19 57.98 75.01 115.58 316.73 502.82 672.98 863.37
2025-08-03 167.13 39.87 50.04 64.75 99.76 273.39 434.02 580.89 745.23
2025-08-10 144.15 34.39 43.16 55.85 86.05 235.81 374.36 501.04 642.79
2025-08-17 124.27 29.65 37.21 48.14 74.18 203.28 322.72 431.93 554.12
2025-08-24 107.08 25.55 32.06 41.49 63.92 175.17 278.09 372.20 477.49
2025-08-31 92.25 22.01 27.62 35.74 55.06 150.90 239.56 320.63 411.34
2025-09-07 79.45 18.95 23.79 30.78 47.42 129.96 206.32 276.15 354.27
2025-09-14 68.41 16.32 20.49 26.50 40.84 111.91 177.67 237.79 305.07
2025-09-21 58.91 14.05 17.64 22.82 35.16 96.36 152.98 204.74 262.67
2025-09-28 27.85 6.64 8.34 10.79 16.62 45.55 72.32 96.79 124.17
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