Prediction 2966
Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | ParĂ¡ |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=PA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 24.57 | 6.87 | 8.32 | 10.58 | 15.85 | 37.77 | 55.90 | 71.37 | 86.70 |
2024-10-13 | 28.54 | 7.98 | 9.66 | 12.29 | 18.41 | 43.87 | 64.92 | 82.88 | 100.69 |
2024-10-20 | 33.14 | 9.27 | 11.21 | 14.27 | 21.38 | 50.94 | 75.38 | 96.24 | 116.91 |
2024-10-27 | 38.47 | 10.76 | 13.02 | 16.57 | 24.82 | 59.13 | 87.51 | 111.72 | 135.73 |
2024-11-03 | 44.65 | 12.49 | 15.11 | 19.23 | 28.80 | 68.63 | 101.57 | 129.67 | 157.53 |
2024-11-10 | 51.80 | 14.49 | 17.53 | 22.31 | 33.41 | 79.62 | 117.84 | 150.44 | 182.76 |
2024-11-17 | 60.07 | 16.80 | 20.33 | 25.87 | 38.75 | 92.33 | 136.64 | 174.45 | 211.93 |
2024-11-24 | 69.61 | 19.47 | 23.56 | 29.98 | 44.90 | 107.00 | 158.35 | 202.16 | 245.59 |
2024-12-01 | 80.60 | 22.54 | 27.27 | 34.71 | 51.99 | 123.88 | 183.33 | 234.06 | 284.35 |
2024-12-08 | 93.20 | 26.06 | 31.54 | 40.14 | 60.12 | 143.26 | 212.01 | 270.67 | 328.82 |
2024-12-15 | 107.61 | 30.09 | 36.42 | 46.35 | 69.41 | 165.40 | 244.78 | 312.51 | 379.65 |
2024-12-22 | 123.97 | 34.67 | 41.95 | 53.40 | 79.97 | 190.56 | 282.01 | 360.04 | 437.39 |
2024-12-29 | 142.43 | 39.83 | 48.20 | 61.34 | 91.87 | 218.92 | 323.99 | 413.63 | 502.50 |
2025-01-05 | 163.02 | 45.59 | 55.17 | 70.21 | 105.15 | 250.57 | 370.82 | 473.42 | 575.14 |
2025-01-12 | 185.67 | 51.92 | 62.83 | 79.97 | 119.77 | 285.39 | 422.36 | 539.21 | 655.07 |
2025-01-19 | 210.14 | 58.77 | 71.11 | 90.51 | 135.55 | 323.00 | 478.01 | 610.27 | 741.39 |
2025-01-26 | 235.91 | 65.97 | 79.83 | 101.61 | 152.17 | 362.61 | 536.63 | 685.10 | 832.30 |
2025-02-02 | 262.14 | 73.31 | 88.71 | 112.91 | 169.10 | 402.93 | 596.31 | 761.30 | 924.87 |
2025-02-09 | 287.65 | 80.44 | 97.35 | 123.89 | 185.55 | 442.14 | 654.33 | 835.38 | 1014.86 |
2025-02-16 | 310.89 | 86.94 | 105.21 | 133.90 | 200.54 | 477.86 | 707.20 | 902.87 | 1096.86 |
2025-02-23 | 330.13 | 92.32 | 111.72 | 142.19 | 212.95 | 507.43 | 750.95 | 958.73 | 1164.72 |
2025-03-02 | 343.64 | 96.10 | 116.29 | 148.01 | 221.67 | 528.20 | 781.69 | 997.97 | 1212.39 |
2025-03-09 | 350.08 | 97.90 | 118.47 | 150.78 | 225.82 | 538.09 | 796.33 | 1016.66 | 1235.10 |
2025-03-16 | 348.75 | 97.53 | 118.02 | 150.21 | 224.96 | 536.05 | 793.31 | 1012.81 | 1230.41 |
2025-03-23 | 339.80 | 95.03 | 114.99 | 146.35 | 219.19 | 522.29 | 772.95 | 986.81 | 1198.84 |
2025-03-30 | 324.17 | 90.66 | 109.70 | 139.62 | 209.11 | 498.27 | 737.41 | 941.43 | 1143.71 |
2025-04-06 | 303.38 | 84.84 | 102.67 | 130.67 | 195.70 | 466.32 | 690.11 | 881.06 | 1070.36 |
2025-04-13 | 279.18 | 78.08 | 94.48 | 120.24 | 180.09 | 429.12 | 635.07 | 810.78 | 984.98 |
2025-04-20 | 253.27 | 70.83 | 85.71 | 109.08 | 163.37 | 389.29 | 576.13 | 735.53 | 893.56 |
2025-04-27 | 227.08 | 63.50 | 76.85 | 97.80 | 146.48 | 349.03 | 516.54 | 659.46 | 801.15 |
2025-05-04 | 201.67 | 56.40 | 68.25 | 86.86 | 130.09 | 309.99 | 458.76 | 585.68 | 711.52 |
2025-05-11 | 177.78 | 49.72 | 60.16 | 76.57 | 114.68 | 273.26 | 404.40 | 516.29 | 627.22 |
2025-05-18 | 155.80 | 43.57 | 52.73 | 67.11 | 100.50 | 239.48 | 354.42 | 452.48 | 549.69 |
2025-05-25 | 135.94 | 38.02 | 46.00 | 58.55 | 87.69 | 208.95 | 309.22 | 394.78 | 479.60 |
2025-06-01 | 118.20 | 33.06 | 40.00 | 50.91 | 76.25 | 181.68 | 268.88 | 343.27 | 417.03 |
2025-06-08 | 102.52 | 28.67 | 34.69 | 44.15 | 66.13 | 157.57 | 233.20 | 297.72 | 361.68 |
2025-06-15 | 88.74 | 24.82 | 30.03 | 38.22 | 57.24 | 136.40 | 201.86 | 257.71 | 313.08 |
2025-06-22 | 76.70 | 21.45 | 25.96 | 33.04 | 49.48 | 117.90 | 174.48 | 222.75 | 270.61 |
2025-06-29 | 66.23 | 18.52 | 22.41 | 28.52 | 42.72 | 101.79 | 150.65 | 192.33 | 233.65 |
2025-07-06 | 57.13 | 15.98 | 19.34 | 24.61 | 36.85 | 87.82 | 129.97 | 165.93 | 201.58 |
2025-07-13 | 49.26 | 13.78 | 16.67 | 21.22 | 31.78 | 75.72 | 112.06 | 143.06 | 173.80 |
2025-07-20 | 42.45 | 11.87 | 14.37 | 18.29 | 27.39 | 65.26 | 96.57 | 123.29 | 149.78 |
2025-07-27 | 36.58 | 10.23 | 12.38 | 15.75 | 23.59 | 56.22 | 83.20 | 106.22 | 129.04 |
2025-08-03 | 31.50 | 8.81 | 10.66 | 13.57 | 20.32 | 48.42 | 71.66 | 91.49 | 111.15 |
2025-08-10 | 27.13 | 7.59 | 9.18 | 11.68 | 17.50 | 41.70 | 61.71 | 78.79 | 95.72 |
2025-08-17 | 23.36 | 6.53 | 7.91 | 10.06 | 15.07 | 35.91 | 53.14 | 67.84 | 82.41 |
2025-08-24 | 20.11 | 5.62 | 6.81 | 8.66 | 12.97 | 30.91 | 45.75 | 58.41 | 70.96 |
2025-08-31 | 17.31 | 4.84 | 5.86 | 7.46 | 11.17 | 26.61 | 39.38 | 50.28 | 61.09 |
2025-09-07 | 14.90 | 4.17 | 5.04 | 6.42 | 9.61 | 22.91 | 33.90 | 43.28 | 52.58 |
2025-09-14 | 12.83 | 3.59 | 4.34 | 5.53 | 8.28 | 19.72 | 29.18 | 37.26 | 45.27 |
2025-09-21 | 11.04 | 3.09 | 3.74 | 4.76 | 7.12 | 16.98 | 25.12 | 32.07 | 38.96 |
2025-09-28 | 21.16 | 5.92 | 7.16 | 9.11 | 13.65 | 32.52 | 48.13 | 61.45 | 74.65 |