Prediction 2966

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 ParĂ¡

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=PA (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 24.57 6.87 8.32 10.58 15.85 37.77 55.90 71.37 86.70
2024-10-13 28.54 7.98 9.66 12.29 18.41 43.87 64.92 82.88 100.69
2024-10-20 33.14 9.27 11.21 14.27 21.38 50.94 75.38 96.24 116.91
2024-10-27 38.47 10.76 13.02 16.57 24.82 59.13 87.51 111.72 135.73
2024-11-03 44.65 12.49 15.11 19.23 28.80 68.63 101.57 129.67 157.53
2024-11-10 51.80 14.49 17.53 22.31 33.41 79.62 117.84 150.44 182.76
2024-11-17 60.07 16.80 20.33 25.87 38.75 92.33 136.64 174.45 211.93
2024-11-24 69.61 19.47 23.56 29.98 44.90 107.00 158.35 202.16 245.59
2024-12-01 80.60 22.54 27.27 34.71 51.99 123.88 183.33 234.06 284.35
2024-12-08 93.20 26.06 31.54 40.14 60.12 143.26 212.01 270.67 328.82
2024-12-15 107.61 30.09 36.42 46.35 69.41 165.40 244.78 312.51 379.65
2024-12-22 123.97 34.67 41.95 53.40 79.97 190.56 282.01 360.04 437.39
2024-12-29 142.43 39.83 48.20 61.34 91.87 218.92 323.99 413.63 502.50
2025-01-05 163.02 45.59 55.17 70.21 105.15 250.57 370.82 473.42 575.14
2025-01-12 185.67 51.92 62.83 79.97 119.77 285.39 422.36 539.21 655.07
2025-01-19 210.14 58.77 71.11 90.51 135.55 323.00 478.01 610.27 741.39
2025-01-26 235.91 65.97 79.83 101.61 152.17 362.61 536.63 685.10 832.30
2025-02-02 262.14 73.31 88.71 112.91 169.10 402.93 596.31 761.30 924.87
2025-02-09 287.65 80.44 97.35 123.89 185.55 442.14 654.33 835.38 1014.86
2025-02-16 310.89 86.94 105.21 133.90 200.54 477.86 707.20 902.87 1096.86
2025-02-23 330.13 92.32 111.72 142.19 212.95 507.43 750.95 958.73 1164.72
2025-03-02 343.64 96.10 116.29 148.01 221.67 528.20 781.69 997.97 1212.39
2025-03-09 350.08 97.90 118.47 150.78 225.82 538.09 796.33 1016.66 1235.10
2025-03-16 348.75 97.53 118.02 150.21 224.96 536.05 793.31 1012.81 1230.41
2025-03-23 339.80 95.03 114.99 146.35 219.19 522.29 772.95 986.81 1198.84
2025-03-30 324.17 90.66 109.70 139.62 209.11 498.27 737.41 941.43 1143.71
2025-04-06 303.38 84.84 102.67 130.67 195.70 466.32 690.11 881.06 1070.36
2025-04-13 279.18 78.08 94.48 120.24 180.09 429.12 635.07 810.78 984.98
2025-04-20 253.27 70.83 85.71 109.08 163.37 389.29 576.13 735.53 893.56
2025-04-27 227.08 63.50 76.85 97.80 146.48 349.03 516.54 659.46 801.15
2025-05-04 201.67 56.40 68.25 86.86 130.09 309.99 458.76 585.68 711.52
2025-05-11 177.78 49.72 60.16 76.57 114.68 273.26 404.40 516.29 627.22
2025-05-18 155.80 43.57 52.73 67.11 100.50 239.48 354.42 452.48 549.69
2025-05-25 135.94 38.02 46.00 58.55 87.69 208.95 309.22 394.78 479.60
2025-06-01 118.20 33.06 40.00 50.91 76.25 181.68 268.88 343.27 417.03
2025-06-08 102.52 28.67 34.69 44.15 66.13 157.57 233.20 297.72 361.68
2025-06-15 88.74 24.82 30.03 38.22 57.24 136.40 201.86 257.71 313.08
2025-06-22 76.70 21.45 25.96 33.04 49.48 117.90 174.48 222.75 270.61
2025-06-29 66.23 18.52 22.41 28.52 42.72 101.79 150.65 192.33 233.65
2025-07-06 57.13 15.98 19.34 24.61 36.85 87.82 129.97 165.93 201.58
2025-07-13 49.26 13.78 16.67 21.22 31.78 75.72 112.06 143.06 173.80
2025-07-20 42.45 11.87 14.37 18.29 27.39 65.26 96.57 123.29 149.78
2025-07-27 36.58 10.23 12.38 15.75 23.59 56.22 83.20 106.22 129.04
2025-08-03 31.50 8.81 10.66 13.57 20.32 48.42 71.66 91.49 111.15
2025-08-10 27.13 7.59 9.18 11.68 17.50 41.70 61.71 78.79 95.72
2025-08-17 23.36 6.53 7.91 10.06 15.07 35.91 53.14 67.84 82.41
2025-08-24 20.11 5.62 6.81 8.66 12.97 30.91 45.75 58.41 70.96
2025-08-31 17.31 4.84 5.86 7.46 11.17 26.61 39.38 50.28 61.09
2025-09-07 14.90 4.17 5.04 6.42 9.61 22.91 33.90 43.28 52.58
2025-09-14 12.83 3.59 4.34 5.53 8.28 19.72 29.18 37.26 45.27
2025-09-21 11.04 3.09 3.74 4.76 7.12 16.98 25.12 32.07 38.96
2025-09-28 21.16 5.92 7.16 9.11 13.65 32.52 48.13 61.45 74.65
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