Prediction 2967

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=PB (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 39.92 9.32 11.69 15.29 24.32 66.37 106.58 141.92 181.05
2024-10-13 46.36 10.83 13.58 17.76 28.25 77.08 123.77 164.81 210.25
2024-10-20 53.83 12.57 15.76 20.62 32.79 89.49 143.71 191.36 244.11
2024-10-27 62.48 14.59 18.30 23.93 38.07 103.88 166.81 222.13 283.36
2024-11-03 72.51 16.93 21.24 27.77 44.17 120.55 193.57 257.76 328.83
2024-11-10 84.10 19.64 24.63 32.21 51.24 139.83 224.54 298.99 381.42
2024-11-17 97.50 22.77 28.56 37.34 59.40 162.10 260.30 346.62 442.18
2024-11-24 112.94 26.38 33.08 43.26 68.81 187.78 301.54 401.53 512.23
2024-12-01 130.70 30.52 38.28 50.06 79.63 217.31 348.95 464.66 592.77
2024-12-08 151.05 35.28 44.24 57.85 92.03 251.13 403.27 536.99 685.04
2024-12-15 174.24 40.69 51.03 66.74 106.16 289.70 465.20 619.45 790.23
2024-12-22 200.52 46.83 58.73 76.80 122.17 333.38 535.34 712.85 909.38
2024-12-29 230.01 53.72 67.37 88.10 140.14 382.41 614.08 817.71 1043.14
2025-01-05 262.73 61.36 76.95 100.63 160.07 436.82 701.45 934.04 1191.54
2025-01-12 298.47 69.70 87.42 114.32 181.85 496.23 796.85 1061.08 1353.61
2025-01-19 336.67 78.63 98.61 128.95 205.12 559.75 898.84 1196.89 1526.86
2025-01-26 376.36 87.90 110.23 144.15 229.30 625.73 1004.80 1337.98 1706.85
2025-02-02 416.02 97.16 121.85 159.34 253.47 691.67 1110.69 1478.98 1886.72
2025-02-09 453.59 105.93 132.85 173.73 276.36 754.15 1211.01 1612.57 2057.14
2025-02-16 486.58 113.64 142.51 186.37 296.46 808.98 1299.07 1729.83 2206.72
2025-02-23 512.28 119.64 150.04 196.21 312.11 851.71 1367.68 1821.20 2323.28
2025-03-02 528.27 123.37 154.72 202.34 321.86 878.31 1410.39 1878.06 2395.82
2025-03-09 532.90 124.45 156.08 204.11 324.68 886.00 1422.74 1894.51 2416.81
2025-03-16 525.65 122.76 153.96 201.33 320.26 873.95 1403.39 1868.75 2383.94
2025-03-23 507.32 118.48 148.59 194.31 309.09 843.47 1354.44 1803.57 2300.79
2025-03-30 479.77 112.05 140.52 183.76 292.31 797.67 1280.89 1705.63 2175.85
2025-04-06 445.53 104.05 130.49 170.65 271.45 740.74 1189.49 1583.91 2020.58
2025-04-13 407.29 95.12 119.29 156.00 248.15 677.16 1087.38 1447.94 1847.13
2025-04-20 367.46 85.82 107.62 140.74 223.88 610.94 981.05 1306.36 1666.50
2025-04-27 327.99 76.60 96.07 125.63 199.84 545.32 875.68 1166.05 1487.51
2025-05-04 290.27 67.79 85.02 111.18 176.85 482.61 774.97 1031.95 1316.45
2025-05-11 255.17 59.59 74.74 97.74 155.47 424.25 681.27 907.17 1157.27
2025-05-18 223.16 52.12 65.36 85.47 135.96 371.03 595.80 793.36 1012.08
2025-05-25 194.39 45.40 56.93 74.45 118.44 323.19 518.99 691.08 881.60
2025-06-01 168.82 39.43 49.45 64.66 102.86 280.68 450.72 600.17 765.64
2025-06-08 146.28 34.16 42.84 56.03 89.12 243.21 390.54 520.05 663.42
2025-06-15 126.54 29.55 37.06 48.47 77.09 210.38 337.83 449.85 573.86
2025-06-22 109.32 25.53 32.02 41.87 66.60 181.75 291.85 388.63 495.77
2025-06-29 94.35 22.03 27.63 36.14 57.48 156.86 251.89 335.42 427.89
2025-07-06 81.37 19.00 23.83 31.17 49.58 135.29 217.25 289.29 369.04
2025-07-13 70.14 16.38 20.54 26.87 42.74 116.62 187.27 249.37 318.12
2025-07-20 60.44 14.12 17.70 23.15 36.83 100.49 161.37 214.88 274.12
2025-07-27 52.07 12.16 15.25 19.94 31.72 86.57 139.01 185.10 236.13
2025-08-03 44.84 10.47 13.13 17.18 27.32 74.55 119.72 159.42 203.37
2025-08-10 38.61 9.02 11.31 14.79 23.53 64.20 103.09 137.28 175.12
2025-08-17 33.25 7.76 9.74 12.73 20.26 55.28 88.76 118.19 150.78
2025-08-24 28.62 6.68 8.38 10.96 17.44 47.59 76.42 101.76 129.81
2025-08-31 24.64 5.75 7.22 9.44 15.01 40.97 65.79 87.60 111.75
2025-09-07 21.21 4.95 6.21 8.12 12.92 35.27 56.63 75.41 96.20
2025-09-14 18.26 4.26 5.35 6.99 11.12 30.36 48.75 64.91 82.81
2025-09-21 15.72 3.67 4.60 6.02 9.58 26.13 41.96 55.87 71.28
2025-09-28 34.37 8.03 10.07 13.17 20.94 57.15 91.77 122.20 155.89
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